Details of Obama's stimulus still being negotiated: Biden

Barack Obama’s transition team is still negotiating the nuts and bolts of its economic-stimulus plan with Congress, but no deal has been reached, Vice President-elect Joseph Biden says.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:51 pm

Stocks fluctuate as investors sift through data (AP)

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York December 23, 2008. (Lucas Jackson/Reuters)AP - Wall Street fluctuated in quiet pre-holiday trading Tuesday after a government report on the economy met expectations and eased some concerns that the recession is deepening.



Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:48 pm

Wall Street stocks sink on US housing data

US stocks turned negative after an early rally in thin volumes as investors digested the government's final and unchanged figure on third-quarter GDP and more data on the housing market.
Source: Financial Times - US homepage | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:48 pm

Stocks Hitting 52-Week Highs (ALGT, AGNC, LOPE, ROCM, RGLD)

Money_stack_pic_2 There are still some stocks doing extremely well despite all the interests outside against ythe economy.  Allegiant Travel Co. (NASDAQ: ALGT), American Capital Agency Corp. (NASDAQ: AGNC), Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (NASDAQ: LOPE), Rochester Medical Corporation (NASDAQ: ROCM), and Royal Gold (NASDAQ: RGLD) are all either on 52-week or all-time highs.  Here is a synopsis on each:

Allegiant Travel Co. (NASDAQ: ALGT) shares hit $47.45 before selling off back under the prior 52-week high of $47.34.  Trading volume is still under 100,000 shares, and it normally trades 344,000 shares per day.  This is a 200% gain from its 52-week lows.  If we told you a couple months ago that a a leisure travel company which provides scheduled passenger services from small cities to leisure destinations would be at 52-week highs, would you have believed it?

American Capital Agency Corp. (NASDAQ: AGNC) is another strange leader after it declared a $1.20 dividend last week.  This is a REIT that invests in mortgages, but many of its mortgages have government guarantees.  This is at $21.85, above its $21.69 prior high and almost a double off its lows.

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (NASDAQ: LOPE) barely put in a new high of $17.73, only a penny above its post-IPO high.  While education is supposed to do well, this IPO has done much better than most would have guessed based on its pre-IPO coverage.

Rochester Medical Corporation (NASDAQ: ROCM) is apparently one of the medical device makers that is recession-proof and an Obama-friendly company.  It develops, manufactures, and markets urinary continence and urine drainage care products.  At $15.20, its 52-week range was $9.03 to $14.98.

Royal Gold, Inc. (NASDAQ: RGLD) is at it again.  We spoke with the company, and it seems that traders are buying this up over its future prospects on new properties it recently acquired.

Jon C. Ogg
December 23, 2008


Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:47 pm

SF Fed economist sees longest recession since WW2

CHICAGO (Reuters) - The United States will likely emerge from recession in the third quarter of 2009 after enduring an 18-month downturn, the longest since World War Two, according to an economist at the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank.

Source: Reuters: Business News | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:46 pm

Las Vegas Sands says lays off 500 in Macau

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Las Vegas Sands Corp , which runs the world's largest casino in Macau, said on Tuesday it has let go 500 staff there and plans to cut back workers' hours as it suspends construction activity.

Source: Reuters: Business News | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:46 pm

Whittard sold to private equity

The Whittard of Chelsea chain of shops has been sold to a private equity firm after going into administration.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:45 pm

Tech Stocks: Red Hat gains on earnings report while tech shares weaken

Tech stocks gave up earlier gains by midday Tuesday following a downturn on the broader market.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:42 pm

Currencies: Dollar little changed after data on U.S. home sales, confidence

The U.S. dollar remains slightly lower after reports show sales of new and existing homes slowing during November.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:41 pm

World economies limp to Christmas

WASHINGTON/ LONDON (Reuters) - The world's economies limped toward Christmas on Tuesday, with a U.S. contraction confirmed, Britain shrinking more sharply than thought and Spain and New Zealand languishing in recession.

Source: Reuters: Business News | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:39 pm

No Christmas cheer as recession gathers steam

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Existing home sales fell by a record amount last month as the recession picked up pace although a collapse in gasoline prices gave consumer sentiment a rare lift, data on Tuesday showed.

Source: Reuters: Business News | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:37 pm

GM and Ford take another nosedive

Shares of General Motors and Ford Motor took a dive on Tuesday after ratings agencies issued bleak outlooks for the U.S. auto industry.
Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:32 pm

Darrell Delamaide's Political Capital: Why Mary Schapiro is the right person for the SEC job

WASHINGTON (MarketWtch) -- Most successful professionals who enter government at a high level take a pay cut, but Mary Schapiro, President-elect Barack Obama's pick to be the new chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, faces one of the steepest as she moves from what may be the highest-paid job in financial regulation to a much lower government salary.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:32 pm

Consumer confidence inches up

Consumer confidence rose slightly this month, coming off 28-year lows thanks to cheaper oil and deep discounts during the holiday-shopping season.
Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:31 pm

FTSE-100 index closes up 6.82 points at 4,255.98 (AP)

AP - Share prices on the London Stock Exchange closed higher Tuesday.
Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:24 pm

Oil falls further as demand slows

Oil prices extend their losses due to growing signs of weakening demand from consumers amid the global economic slowdown.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:20 pm

Why '09 may be better

Here's hoping that 2009 is a better year than 2008. It's hard to imagine how it could be much worse.
Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:16 pm

No Christmas gift for U.S. automakers seen in Dec sales

DETROIT (Reuters) - General Motors Corp and Chrysler may have won a $17.4 billion gift from the U.S. government a week before Christmas, but at their showrooms, barely a creature was stirring.

Source: Reuters: Business News | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:15 pm

World stocks mixed after more grim US housing news (AP)

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York December 23, 2008. (Lucas Jackson/Reuters)AP - World stock markets were little changed Tuesday in very light pre-Christmas as early gains were erased by further woeful U.S. economic data.



Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:13 pm

Europe Markets: European shares finish almost unchanged in holiday week

Shares climb in European trading in a holiday-shortened week, with defensive food producers and utility firms among the strongest performers.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:10 pm

Stocks retreat in rocky trade

Stocks fell Tuesday in a thinly traded session as dour readings on the housing market vied with an upbeat report on consumer sentiment.
Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:08 pm

Outlook for economy keeps market in check (Reuters)

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York December 23, 2008. (Lucas Jackson/Reuters)Reuters - Fading hope for a recovery in the housing market and worry about the outlook for consumer spending kept U.S. stocks in check on Tuesday, with weakness in retailers and car makers getting in the way of an early rally.



Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:08 pm

Outlook for economy keeps market in check (Reuters)

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York December 23, 2008. (Lucas Jackson/Reuters)Reuters - Fading hope for a recovery in the housing market and worry about the outlook for consumer spending kept U.S. stocks in check on Tuesday, with weakness in retailers and car makers getting in the way of an early rally.



Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:08 pm

Outlook for economy keeps market in check

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Fading hope for a recovery in the housing market and worry about the outlook for consumer spending kept U.S. stocks in check on Tuesday, with weakness in retailers and car makers getting in the way of an early rally.

Source: Reuters: Business News | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:08 pm

London Markets: Shares in London inch higher as financials, insurers recover

London shares advance, with battered banking firms such as Royal Bank of Scotland taking back some lost ground.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:07 pm

Energy Stocks: Benchmarks all move higher; Transocean, Williams stand out

Oil and gas stocks stake out gains in thin pre-holiday trading, regaining some of the ground lost in Monday's session, as all three of the widely followed sector benchmarks move higher.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:06 pm

NewsWatch: U.S. stocks see-saw between gains and loses in light trade

U.S. stocks tilt higher after the government reported an as-expected drop in gross domestic product for the third quarter and as investors pored over data on the troubled housing market.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:00 pm

Textron shares drop 19% on earnings warning, job cuts

Textron Inc. shares plunge 19% in early trades after the company slashes its fourth-quarter earnings estimate, announces more than 2,000 job cuts and says it is exiting most of its commercial-finance business.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:57 pm

US existing home sales plunge 8.6%

The pace of US existing home sales plunged by 8.6 per cent in November, dashing economists' expectations, as buyers retreated from the housing market in spite of falling prices
Source: Financial Times - US homepage | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:55 pm

Economic Report: U.S. Nov. existing home fall 8.6%; home-price drop a record

Resales of U.S. single-family homes and condos fell 8.6% in November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.49 million, the National Association of Realtors reported Tuesday, even as home prices fell at the fastest annual pace on record.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:54 pm

US economy shrinks as IMF warns of Great Depression (AFP)

Shoppers enter the Leytonstone branch of Woolworths in east London, December 11. Britain edged ever closer to a recession on Tuesday and the IMF's top economist warned of a second Great Depression, as stock markets awaited fresh US growth data in the hope of some Christmas cheer.(AFP/File/Shaun Curry)AFP - The US economy shrank in the third quarter, official data confirmed Tuesday, as the IMF's top economist warned of a second Great Depression offering no respite from relentless gloom ahead of Christmas.



Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:47 pm

U.S. economy shifts into reverse

The gross domestic product, the broadest measure of the U.S. economy, fell by the annual rate of 0.5% in the summer, according to the Commerce Department's final revision, released on Tuesday.
Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:44 pm

Rabobank's Stretch Says Dollar to `Gain Traction' Again in 2009


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:44 pm

Oil falls below $39 on U.S. economic downturn

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil prices fell below $39 on Tuesday on a string of data confirming U.S. economic downturn.

Source: Reuters: Business News | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:40 pm

AJMC National / International Monetary Fund LLC (WWW.AJMC-NATIONAL-INTERNATIONAL-MONETARY-FUND-LLC.INFO) Provides Assistance in Specific Areas of the Nation to Establish Strength From Within

WARREN, R.I., Dec. 23 /PRNewswire/ -- The AJMC National/International Monetary Fund LLC focuses on financial access to managed SPOT FOREX accounts, new energy efficiency...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:37 pm

Sell-Side Analysts Say Uncertain Economy Is No Excuse for Companies To Suspend Earnings Guidance

MWW Group Survey Finds 76% of Sell-Side Analysts Believe Market Will Penalize Companies that Suspend Earnings Guidance CHICAGO, Dec. 23, /PRNewswire/ -- With year-end
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:32 pm

Moody's Outlines Default Risks For SIRIUS (SIRI)

Sirius_logo As if you didn't know there were problems at SIRIUS XM Radio Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI), Moody's has decided in its infinite wisdom to downgrade the debt rating of Sirius Satellite Radio Inc.'s debt. 

This downgrade is showing an increased probability of default rating and lowered its corporate family rating to "Ca" from "Caa1" now.  The company's rating outlook is negative and its speculative grade liquidity rating remains positioned at SGL-4, indicating poor liquidity.

According to Moody's, "With nearly $1.0 billion of its $3.3 billion total debt coming due in the New Year ($190 million in February, $350 million in May and $433 million in December), and given the current background of capital market dislocation and the company's poor liquidity situation, the rating actions anticipate that Sirius will be unable to repay or refinance its maturing debts without negotiating some sort of compromise arrangement with at least a portion of the affected constituents."  Sirius has already initiated transactions to refinance portions of its debt....Moody's considers these transactions as being analogous to a distressed exchange...

 

Moody's outlined the rest of the cuts, but frankly there is nothing really new here.  It just outlines the notion that the overseers are growing more and worried and that their confidence is reflective of today's price.  Too bad they had to wait until shares were at $0.12 before the call.

Jon C. Ogg
December 23, 2008


Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:31 pm

Microfinance Leader Makes Multi-million Dollar Investment in Microinsurance Companies

ACCION Invests $4.2m in New Microinsurance Initiatives to Help Move Microfinance Beyond Credit WASHINGTON, Dec. 23 /PRNewswire/ -- ACCION(R) International, a...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:30 pm

Grey Wolf Nearly, Finally Merged (GW, PDS, BAS)

The shareholders of Grey Wolf, Inc. (NYSE:GW) have overwhelmingly chosen to accept cash instead of stock in Precision Drilling Trust (NYSE:PDS) as consideration for Precision's buyout of Grey Wolf. We've been following the story for some months now, but Grey Wolf shareholders approved the merger this morning and the deed is now done.

But for a lot less than everybody originally planned. Precision's original offer was worth $9.02 in cash or 0.4225 of a Precision common unit. The final deal for common units went down at $2.98. That's why the choice of cash was oversubscribed. Grey Wolf shareholders will get some pro-rated portion of $5 cash/share of Grey Wolf stock and 0.1883 of a Precision common unit.

If Grey Wolf shareholders had approved a July agreement with Basic Energy Services, Inc. (NYSE:BAS), they would have received better than $7.00 per share. Precision's share price is off nearly 5% this morning, trading at around $6.80/share.

Paul Ausick
December 23, 2008


Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:28 pm

No Gas Cartel in the Near Future

Energy industry publisher Platts is reporting that the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) are meeting in Moscow this week, and are expected to sign a framework agreement to set up a natural gas exporters forum. However, the GECF does not plan to form a natural gas cartel similar to OPEC.

Essentially what the GECF has done is formalize a loose framework that has existed for many years. The forum will now try to agree on building a permanent office, with staff and all the trimmings. That should be interesting. The leading contenders for the headquarters are Algeria, Qatar, Iran, and Russia.

Russia, which has always avoided joining OPEC, has been leading the charge for a strong group of natural gas producers. More than two years ago, Vladimir Putin, then Russia's president, rejected the idea of a natural gas cartel. Cartelization does not appeal to the Russians, especially if they cannot force the cartel to adopt the Russian position.

And a natural gas cartel faces a lot of problems. Natural gas has historically been a national or regional commodity. LNG shipments have begun to change that somewhat, but until the LNG spot market is far more liquid than it is today, there won't be an truly global market for natural gas. Without that market, cartel pricing just won't work.

That level of liquidity is years away, and the GCEF knows it. Algeria's oil minister puts it this way: "Basically, the [GECF] will be a forward-looking forum and how members can protect their interests in the long term, in terms of getting the best price they can get for the product to ensure that gas is competitive with other products such as gasoil, fuel oil, nuclear power and solar energy."

Paul Ausick
December 23, 2008


Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:25 pm

Exporters meet to create 'gas Opec'

Energy ministers from 12 of the world's leading exporters of natural gas met in Moscow to create a group consumers fear could develop into an Opec-style cartel
Source: Financial Times - US homepage | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:23 pm

Hold your tears for Japan's automakers

A fair amount of crocodile tears are being shed on this side of the Pacific over the travails of Japanese automakers.
Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:20 pm

Wanted: Phoenix/Tempe Mortgage Professionals

Local Labor Market Continues to Create Jobs Despite Rising Unemployment PHOENIX, Dec. 23 /PRNewswire/ -- While the unemployment rate in Arizona rises to 6.3% with no...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:20 pm

PNC and National City Shareholders Approve Acquisition

PNC expects transaction to close on December 31, 2008 PITTSBURGH, Dec. 23 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- The href="http://www.pnc.com">PNC Financial Services Group,...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:18 pm

Kitcher Resources Enters Into Merger Agreement With Blue Waters of Key West, Inc.

NEW YORK, Dec. 23 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Kitcher Resources, Inc. (OTC Bulletin Board: KTCH) is pleased to announce that the company has entered into an agreement to...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:17 pm

Continental Airlines to Launch Seasonal Service to London/Heathrow From Cleveland

Replaces seasonal service to London/Gatwick; seasonal flights to Paris from Cleveland ending CLEVELAND, Dec. 23 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Continental Airlines...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:15 pm

Energy industry braces for Obama

Despite public praise, the energy industry is wary of President-elect Barack Obama's incoming energy team - who will likely call for major changes in the country's energy plan.
Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:11 pm

US new home sales at 17-year-low

US new home sales slow to their lowest level in 17 years, while new home prices drop by the biggest amount in eight months.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:09 pm

Nortel Possible Unit Sale Adds Little Worth (NT)

Burning_money_pic_2 Nortel Networks Corp. (NYSE: NT) is trading higher today on news reports that it has received three offers worth nearly U.S. $1 billion for the company's Metro Ethernet unit.  What is interesting is that the company is apparently still trying to determine whether its best route to profitability would be to sell more of the company.

The genius in management is also exploring options including sales of its carrier networks and its enterprise divisions.  Maybe it can plug the pension gap and declining business operations for a few more quarters with the cash.

Also this upcoming reverse stock split is nothing to be excited about. Unless you are a short seller.  How many reverse splits in the last decade have been a success for the stock.

Is it any shock that a former Motorola executive in charge of Nortel would restructure this company into the dirt?  Hell no it isn't.  If CEO Mike Zafirovski wants to help Nortel out, he'd pack his office up and sneak out between Christmas and New Years.  He is one of our 10 CEOs TO GO IN 2009.  He can sell this division, he can sell more and more.  He has waited beyond the business cycle and now the worth of a sale is too little too late.

Nortel is also supposed to have held at least some discussions with the Department of Finance and Industry Canada about assistance.  For banks, there is a TARP.  We have joked about the auto bailout being a CARP. In Canada, there could be a NARP. 

Our viewpoint hasn't changed.  The company has waited too long and burned too many bridges.  Nortel may easily become No-Tel, and that is with unit sales or not.

Nortel shares were up more at $0.33 early this morning, but now the gain is only 12% at $0.28.  Today's news is really only cause for a gap-and-crap scenario. 

Jon C. Ogg
December 23, 2008


Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:09 pm

Home sales, prices in deep plunge

The number of existing homes sold during November plummeted 8.6% as prices plunged by record amounts, according to a closely watched housing industry report issued Tuesday.
Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:07 pm

Florida's Existing Home Sales Rise in November 2008

ORLANDO, Fla., Dec. 23 /PRNewswire/ -- For the third month in a row, Florida's existing home sales rose in November, with Florida Realtors(R) reporting a 4 percent...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:05 pm

Once-in-a-generation sales on investments

Once-in-a-generation sales have sprung up in this crazed market.
Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:03 pm

Weight-Optimized F-35 Test Fleet Adds Conventional Takeoff and Landing Variant

FORT WORTH, Texas, Dec. 23 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ --Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) rolled out the first weight-optimized conventional takeoff and landing (CTOL) variant of the F-35...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:03 pm

Foursquare Recalls Hooded Youth Jackets With Drawstrings Due to Strangulation Hazard

WASHINGTON, Dec. 23 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- The U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission, in cooperation with the firm named below, today announced a voluntary recall of the...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:01 pm

Sanford's big haul in rough sea

The New Zealand sharemarket has been hammered this year by global economic turmoil but one stock not caught in the net is fishing company Sanford. Shares in Sanford closed at $5 yesterday - up 24 per cent for the year to date....
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:00 pm

NZ halfway through downturn, say economists

The recession deepened in the three months to September, as demand evaporated in every major sector of the economy except the Government, and economists predict worse to come. Gross domestic product fell 0.4 per cent in the quarter,...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:00 pm

NZ dairy farmers check out Russia

A New Zealand accountancy firm is hoping to entice Kiwi dairy farmers to expand their investment horizons through a joint venture into Russia. Staples Rodway director Wade Glass said the firm was approached by Russian businessman...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:00 pm

Fran O'Sullivan: Countdown to a worldwide meltdown

Right from the start of this year it was apparent the "Goldilocks economy" had given way to the "sandwich economy" - at least as far as New Zealand was concerned - a trend which would ultimately see the savings, spending power and...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:00 pm

Ross Bay: Wrong, Gordon - greed is never good

Greed is good, greed is right, greed works, greed clarifies, cuts through and captures the essence of the evolutionary spirit. Greed in all of its forms has marked the upward surge of humankind. So declared Gordon Gekko, the character...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 4:00 pm

When mortgage rescues go bad

That lenders are ramping up their attempts to help troubled home borrowers stay in their homes is the good news.
Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:57 pm

SocGen's Hilliard Discusses Foreclosures, New Home Sales


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:50 pm

Stocks hold gains after disappointing housing data

NEW YORK -- Investors were relieved today after a government report on the economy met expectations and eased their concerns that the recession is deepening.
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:50 pm

IRS: Fry's exec stole $65M to pay gambling debts

SAN FRANCISCO -- A Ferrari-driving vice president of Fry's Electronics Inc. who was allegedly such a heavyweight gambler that casinos chartered private planes to fly him to Las Vegas has been arrested...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:48 pm

Existing home sales, prices drop at record pace (Reuters)

A house sits for sale in North Aurora, Illinois July 24, 2008. (Jeff Haynes/Reuters)Reuters - The pace of existing home sales plunged a record 8.6 percent in November and prices fell a record amount as layoffs and a stock market crash worsened an already grim housing market, a real estate trade group said Tuesday.



Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:44 pm

US economy shrinks at fastest rate since 9/11

The US economy shrank at its fastest pace in the third quarter since the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, figures released today showed.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:40 pm

Wind Turbines, India, and Private Equity

Last summer, Suzlon Energy Limited had a nasty problem with its wind turbine blades. Blades shipped to the US started cracking. Then blades sold in the company's home country, India, also started cracking. The WSJ noted that one customer said, "The machines are not fit to handle the wind." That stings.

Now, according to Reuters, Mumbai-traded Suzlon wants to raise $500 million, more than half of which the company plans to use to complete the purchase of a majority stake in a German wind turbine maker REPower. But Suzlon can't get its financing in order, and REPower's price target was cut in half last week by HSBC (NYSE:HBC). The HSBC analyst noted the stock performance does not depend on fundamental data but on the potentially complete takeover by Suzlon. But there are no transaction guarantees due to financial limitations at Suzlon, and any deal failure would raise concern. Ahem.

Two US private equity firms, The Carlyle Group and TPG Capital, are reportedly looking at investing in Suzlon. Neither commented on the reports. Suzlon is also considering offering debt or selling off some assets.

Suzlon appears to be capable of bringing down itself and REPower. It doesn't make much sense for either Carlyle or TPG Capital to join the parade.

Paul Ausick
December 23, 2008


Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:26 pm

Store traffic weak just before holidays (Reuters)

Shoppers spend the last weekend before the Christmas holiday looking for deals in the Fair Oaks Mall in Virginia, December 21, 2008. (Larry Downing/Reuters)Reuters - Just 38.7 percent of Americans went shopping during the final weekend before Christmas, the lowest turnout in at least six years, according to a survey released on Tuesday.



Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:20 pm

Store traffic weak just before holidays

CHICAGO (Reuters) - Just 38.7 percent of Americans went shopping during the final weekend before Christmas, the lowest turnout in at least six years, according to a survey released on Tuesday.

Source: Reuters: Business News | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:20 pm

New home sales fall 2.9 percent in November (Reuters)

Construction workers are seen at a townhouse complex in a Denver, Colorado suburb May 16, 2008. (Rick Wilking/Reuters)Reuters - Sales of newly built U.S. single-family homes slowed in November to the weakest levels since 1991, according to Commerce Department data on Tuesday that offered fresh evidence of housing market distress.



Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:18 pm

November new-home sales drop 2.9 percent

WASHINGTON -- Sales of new homes fell in November to the slowest pace in nearly 18 years, while new home prices dropped by the biggest amount in eight months.
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:18 pm

Madoff investor sues SEC

Phyllis Molchatsky, a 61-year-old retiree of Valley Cottage, New York, who lost almost $2 million investing with Bernard Madoff, filed an administrative claim for relief against the U.S. Securities and...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:16 pm

Hosing Housing

For_sale_sign_2There was no way the November housing data was going to be good. There are too few people chasing too many homes. In some markets like Florida and Michigan, there are no people chasing too many homes.

Sales of new US homes fell 2.9% to 407,000. That is the lowest level since 1991.

The drop was slightly above the 400,000 pace expected by economists surveyed by MarketWatch.

Resales of U.S. single-family homes and condos dropped 8.6% in November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.49 million. Resales are down 10.6% in the past year. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch had expected sales to fall to an annual rate of 4.9 million. In the past year the median sales price fell 13.2% -- the largest decline since data collection began in 1968 and likely since the Great Depression -- to $181,300.

There is every reason to think that these figures will not improve in December. Unemployment is rising. Although mortgage rates are well down from earlier this year, running 5.2% for 30-year fixed loans, the criteria for getting a new home loan are extremely tight. Banks can't afford chances.

Default and foreclosure rates are still high, which will also keep downward pressure on prices.

Those looking for a silver lining won't find it here.

Douglas A. McIntyre


Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:10 pm

Consumers' mood boosted by lower prices in December

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. consumer confidence rose in December due to declining prices, although job losses and falling income continued to weigh on sentiment, a survey showed on Tuesday.

Source: Reuters: Business News | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:04 pm

Consumers' mood boosted by lower prices in December (Reuters)

A sign advertising sales is seen as a man window shops in a shoe store in New York November 18, 2008. (Shannon Stapleton/Reuters)Reuters - U.S. consumer confidence rose in December due to declining prices, although job losses and falling income continued to weigh on sentiment, a survey showed on Tuesday.



Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:04 pm

Economy declined 0.5 percent in third quarter

WASHINGTON -- The economy was shrinking in the summer and corporate profits were falling even before the financial crisis struck with full force. Analysts are forecasting that those small declines will...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 2:40 pm

Thacher Proffitt is latest US legal casualty

Thacher Proffitt & Wood, a 160 year-old New York law firm, has become the fourth US firm to dissolve this year after more than half of its lawyers defected to a rival.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 23 Dec 2008 | 2:34 pm

Price of stamps set to rise again

The price of first and second-class stamps will rise from next April by 3p respectively, the Royal Mail says.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 23 Dec 2008 | 2:33 pm

Homes Sick

The slumping housing market cannot find a floor: It is now burrowing into a previously unknown subbasement.

Economic data show how sick the market is. Sales of existing homes tumbled 8.6 percent in November, to an annual rate of 4.5 million homes, according to the National Association of Realtors. It was a steeper fall than expected and the sharpest decline on record.

The median sales price of a home fell 13.2 percent over the last 12 months, to $181,300. That is the biggest price decline since the trade group began collecting data in 1968.

Sales of new homes sank 2.9 percent in November, to an annual rate of 407,000, the Commerce Department said. It was also a weaker report than expected. The median price of a new home fell 11.5 percent, to $220,400 in November.

Foreclosures are swelling a glut of homes on the market. Despite new lows in mortgage interest rates, the weak economy and fears about the job market are limiting any buying. The N.A.R. report says that there is now 11.2 months' worth of homes on the market.

The oversupply and the slide in prices means that we have a long way to go before the market adjusts. Falling prices mean that millions more homes will be worth less than the value of the mortgages on them. These homeowners will have to decide whether to continue, in essence, throwing money away to keep to their contract. Others will have lost their jobs and can no longer afford their mortgages. Even more houses will come on the market as result.


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Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 23 Dec 2008 | 2:30 pm

GDP shrank in third quarter as economy chilled (Reuters)

Stores offering sales to shoppers at Fair Oaks shopping mall in Fair Oaks, Virginia, November 29, 2008. (Larry Downing/Reuters)Reuters - The economy shrank at a 0.5 percent annual pace in the third quarter as expected after consumers and businesses cut spending and the country's recession gathered steam, government data showed on Tuesday.



Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 2:26 pm

PC Trends: Notebooks Pass Desktops & Disturbing Apple Trends (AAPL, HPQ, DELL)

The good news is that PC sales are not dead if the latest iSuppli data is accurate.  But there are some trends in here which are going to revolutionize the PC industry.  We have harped on and on about all the low cost notebooks that can be purchased now for under $400.00 about this may wreck many PC and tech business models.  Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is also finding itself in a position it is not used to.

Worldwide PC unit shipments rose 15% to 79 million units during the Q3 period, which is still impressive considering the slowing economies. The caveat is that this is Q3 data, and it wasn't really until Q4 where the bottom fell out of Joe Q. Public's back pocket.

iSuppli is confirming that notebook computers have now surpassed desktops and tower PC's in the third quarter.  The Q3 data shows that notebook shipments rose nearly 40% to 38.6 million units and desktop shipments fell 1.3% to 38.5 million units.  This trend is one which has been building, but this is the first such inversion.

The most notable change is in that of Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL).  It is not a good change.  iSuppli noted that the company's market share fell by a half-point from Q2 down to 3.2%.  We had previously noted that Apple was seeing some weak sales data.  It seems that this was also reflected.  Again, this is Q3 data, but it confirms some trends.  Apple also has no laptop answer to the sub-$400 laptop market.  Even though that would only hurt its margins, the sub-$400 laptop (and other more powerful models for $700) is bringing in many new laptop buyers that were previously excluded from the consumer pool.

The order of market share leaders remained the same with Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) as the leader, followed by Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL), Acer, Lenovo, and Toshiba.  Acer is the one which saw the largest gains.

All in all, this reflects the trends we have seen in the computer companies.  But this is going to possibly take some enthusiasm out of those who have been "perma-bulls" in the Apple camp. It seems that no companies are immune from the economy.  Not even Forrest Gump's fruit company that Captain Dan got him invested in.

Jon C. Ogg
December 23, 2008


Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 23 Dec 2008 | 2:26 pm

Putin says 'cheap gas era' ending

Russia's Vladimir Putin warns that the era of inexpensive natural gas is coming to an end, in a keynote speech to gas-exporting nations.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 23 Dec 2008 | 2:25 pm

Legg Mason's (LM) Bill Miller To Manage Another Fund...WTF?

Bill Miller is the Legg Mason (NYSE: LM) money manager, whose two funds have each lost more than 50% this year, has been asked to help run a third fund as the firm tries to halt record outflows.

Before we get into the minutiae of the fund that Bill Miller will assist in managing, I just wanted to remind potential investors of some of his recent top stock picks. He loaded up shares of Citi (NYSE: C) and Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN), but where Bill Miller really fell apart is buying shares hand over fist of Countrywide, Yahoo (Nasdaq: YHOO), American International Group (NYSE: AIG) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE).

Read more...

LM, AMZN, C, YHOO, AIG, FRE


Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 23 Dec 2008 | 2:11 pm

Mortgage lending 'shrinks again'

UK mortgage lending by the major banks has fallen sharply with approvals for house purchases 60% lower than a year ago.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 23 Dec 2008 | 2:09 pm

AIG moves closer to selling Filipino unit

The stricken US insurer has moved a step closer to selling its Philippine unit, believed to be worth up to $1bn, after releasing a detailed information memorandum to potential buyers
Source: Financial Times - US homepage | 23 Dec 2008 | 1:56 pm

Q3 GDP Revisions Final Failure

Burning_money_pic The final revision for Q3 GDP is still indicative of a recession.  The NBER already declared a recession was in effect since last December, but this was the first quarter to actually show negative real GDP.  The final revision came in unchanged at -0.5%, and the estimate was -0.6%.

Corporate profits after taxes were revised lower to -3.2% to roughly $1.3 trillion in the July through September Q3 period.  Consumer spending was revised to a tad worse -3.8% in Q3, which accounted for 2.75 points of the drop in GDP.  Durable goods spending by consumers was down 14.8%.

You can look further and further into the numbers, but if you want a decent holiday season we'd advise you not to.  That was also just the real start of it to show up in the numbers, so what lies ahead should reflect the far-worse numbers we have been seeing over the last 75 days or so.

What is far more important than revision after revision is what is expected for Q4.  We have heard that estimates are running as deep as -6% from many.  There will be many changes to those numbers, particularly after we start to see actual earnings in mid-January from key companies.

The new acronym for "GDP" during the holiday season is, "Got Depression Presents?"

Jon C. Ogg
December 23, 2008


Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 23 Dec 2008 | 1:42 pm

EU approves UK finance measures

The European Commission gives the go ahead for British government changes to its support package for the banking sector.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 23 Dec 2008 | 1:37 pm

Tory Treasurer Michael Spencer admits using £15m Numis stake to secure loan

Michael Spencer, Treasurer of the Conservative Party and one of the City’s richest men, has had to admit he has pledged a parcel of shares worth about £15 million in a company which he chairs to a bank as security to a loan without informing the stock market.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 23 Dec 2008 | 1:33 pm

IMF criticises the UK's VAT cut

The International Monetary Fund's chief economist says the UK's cut in VAT is unlikely to influence consumer spending.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 23 Dec 2008 | 1:27 pm

Don't They Know It's Christmas?

Watch in January for some store chains to file for bankruptcy protection, for thousands and thousands of retail jobs to be eliminated, and for the kinds of deep-discounted sales that might lead you to think that other stores are going out of business.

Why is such a bleak scenario a near certainty? Because the holiday shopping season is turning out to be one of the ugliest in years.

And anyone awaiting a late surge of shopping has now been greatly disappointed. In the final weekend before Christmas, just 38.7 percent of Americans went shopping, according to the survey by America's Research Group and UBS, Reuters reports. It was down from 41.6 percent in 2007, and the slowest store traffic in at least six years.

The final Saturday before Christmas, known as Super Saturday in the industry, is nearly as important to retailers as Black Friday, the day after Thanksgiving that is the traditional start of the holiday shopping season.

To be sure, the winter storms in the Midwest and Northeast hurt shopping badly last weekend. If fears about their jobs and their debt were not enough to persuade consumers to stay home, the snow and ice clinched the deal. A total of 784 inches of snow fell in 260 major cities last week, according to a Weather Trends report. And that is nearly three times the average for that same week in December over the last 20 years.

Those who did get out and shop increasingly went to discounters like Wal-Mart Stores, a trend that has been seen throughout this holiday shopping season.

The final revision to the  third-quarter gross domestic product today confirmed the slowdown in consumer spending. In the three months that ended September 30, consumer spending shrank 3.8 percent. It was the biggest contraction since 1980, when the economy was roiled by oil price shocks.


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Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 23 Dec 2008 | 1:00 pm

'Coup bid' in Guinea after president dies

The death of Guinea's long-serving president has plunged the world's leading bauxite producer into uncertainty as the president of the national assembly said an attempted coup was under way after a group of army officers said the constitution and the government had been suspended
Source: Financial Times - US homepage | 23 Dec 2008 | 12:56 pm

Ex-PM charged with solving Belgian crisis

Wilfried Martens, a former PM, has been handed the unenviable task of finding a solution to Belgium's latest political crisis after the government resigned over accusations officials tried to prevent a court ruling blocking the dismantling of Fortis
Source: Financial Times - US homepage | 23 Dec 2008 | 12:42 pm

Wal-Mart starts $2.66 billion tender offer for Chile's D&S

SANTIAGO (Reuters) - No. 1 global retailer Wal-Mart launched on Tuesday its $2.66 billion tender offer for all of the issued and outstanding shares, including American Depositary Shares, of Chile's leading supermarket D&S.

Source: Reuters: Business News | 23 Dec 2008 | 12:42 pm

Whittard collapses as EPIC plans a deal

Ernst & Young has put tea and coffee chain Whittard of Chelsea into administration this afternoon while the accountancy firm is racing to complete a deal to sell the bulk of the stores to a private equity firm.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 23 Dec 2008 | 12:39 pm

The fallen giants of finance

A look at the most powerful players in the financial crisis
Source: Financial Times - US homepage | 23 Dec 2008 | 12:19 pm

Contraction of UK economy speeds up

The UK economy shrank faster than previously thought between July and September, official figures show.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 23 Dec 2008 | 11:55 am

Last-minute increase in shoppers

The number of shoppers on UK High Streets grew on Monday, compared with the corresponding Monday in 2007, new figures show.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 23 Dec 2008 | 11:46 am

UK mortgage approvals fell to record low in Nov. (AP)

AP - British mortgage approvals fell to their lowest level since at least 1997 in November as buyers were deterred by falling house prices and fears that the economic slowdown will hit their budgets, the British Bankers' Association (BBA) said Tuesday.
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 11:15 am

UK current account deficit widens to £7.72bn

The gap in Britain’s balance of payments widened from July to September, it was confirmed today, despite the growing weakness of sterling.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 23 Dec 2008 | 10:53 am

Manic Monday brings a little cheer to high street

Festive cheers have arrived belatedly on the high street as official figures showed the number of shoppers rose sharply yesterday.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 23 Dec 2008 | 10:41 am

Whittards faces administration

The 132-store Whittard of Chelsea chain of specialist tea and coffee retailers, also known for its quirky tea pots and mugs, was on Tuesday facing administration as talks between Baugur, its Icelandic...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 10:35 am

Hong Stock index drops 2.8 percent (AP)

AP - Hong Kong's key stock index dropped 2.8 percent on Tuesday as a lower-than-expected cut in Chinese interest rates led investors to unload shares in financial companies.
Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 23 Dec 2008 | 10:30 am

London shares stable in opening trading (AFP)

The London stocks market steadied in opening deals on Tuesday, with many investors away for extended Christmas holidays.(AFP/File/Carl de Souza)AFP - The London stocks market steadied in opening deals on Tuesday, with many investors away for extended Christmas holidays.



Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 23 Dec 2008 | 8:30 am

Premiere prepares to launch 450m rights issue

FRANKFURT, Dec 23 - German pay-TV broadcaster Premiere said on Tuesday it reached agreement with its banks and main shareholder News Corp on a debt restructuring, conditional on raising fresh cash from...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 8:20 am

Oil falls below $40 on renewed demand worries$

Oil prices continued to trade below $40 a barrel this morning, weighed down by further signs of weakening global energy demand. The price of a barrel of US crude for delivery in February slipped 51 cents to $39.40 a barrel.$
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 23 Dec 2008 | 8:14 am

China's Shanghai stock index falls 4.6 pct (AP)

AP - Chinese stocks fell Tuesday as investors disappointed over a meager interest rate cut, and worried over its potential impact on banks' balance sheets, dumped financial shares and other heavyweights.
Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 23 Dec 2008 | 8:00 am

China's Shanghai stock index falls 4.6 pct (AP)

AP - Chinese stocks fell Tuesday as investors disappointed over a meager interest rate cut, and worried over its potential impact on banks' balance sheets, dumped financial shares and other heavyweights.
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 8:00 am

Fry's executive held on embezzlement charges

The IRS says Ausaf Umar Siddiqui, a vice president of the electronics retailer, cut side deals with some suppliers that netted him more than $65 million. ...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 8:00 am

Shoppers bring haggling skills to the mall

Customers are asking for and receiving partial refunds on sale items, extended return policies and on-the-spot discounts as retailers try desperately to make cash registers ring. ...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 8:00 am

Stocks fall after Toyota cuts profit outlook

NEW YORK (AP) -- Wall Street began a holiday-shortened week with a moderate pullback Monday as investors recoiled at bleak news from Toyota Motor Corp. and drugstore operator Walgreen Co.
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 23 Dec 2008 | 8:00 am

Madoff investor seeks relief from SEC: report (Reuters)

The offices of Bernard Madoff, who confessed to defrauding investors of 50 billion dollars, are seen on 885 Third Avenue in New York December 15, 2008. An investor who lost nearly $2 million investing with Bernard Madoff has filed a claim against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) alleging the agency was negligent in failing to detect an alleged decades-long fraud, the Wall Street Journal said. (Chip East/Reuters)Reuters - An investor who lost nearly $2 million investing with Bernard Madoff has filed a claim against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) alleging the agency was negligent in failing to detect an alleged decades-long fraud, the Wall Street Journal said.



Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 23 Dec 2008 | 7:15 am

Australian stocks: Market closes slightly lower

MELBOURNE - The Australian share market slipped in the red to close around 0.7 per cent lower, led down by weaker major mining stocks. At 1615 AEDT, the benchmark S&P/ASX200 index was down 26 points, or 0.73 per cent, to 3,531.4,...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 7:06 am

NZ stocks: Market suffers slight dip

Sizeable falls among the blue chip stocks weighed on the sharemarket today, with some moderate gains for second-tier stocks unable to lift the mood. The benchmark NZSX-50 index closed down 18.01 points, or 0.67 per cent, to 2661.74,...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 6:36 am

Currency: Dollar softens on weak economy data

The New Zealand dollar softened today after data confirmed the economy had headed further into recession, but the news was as expected and created little excitement. By 5pm, the kiwi had eased a touch to US57.47c from US57.60c...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:38 am

Smart Money, R.I.P.

Hedge funds. Private equity. Bill Miller. Yale. Ken Griffin. Stephen Feinberg. Harvard. Palm Beach wealth. Goldman Sachs. Sam Zell.
 
The ninth year of the 21st century officially marked the end of this era's "smart money." Every cycle has its winners and losers, but this global economic retraction has left the two columns decidedly lopsided.
 
While 2007 officially ushered in the subprime crisis and the U.S. economic recession, it was 2008 that chewed up the smartest investors and spat them out with glee. Beginning with the collapse of Bear Stearns in March and ending with the Bernard Madoff scandal in December, almost no billionaire investor survived this ruthless year unscathed.
 
What drove the smart money to the top of their game is ultimately what pushed them down: their committed drive for alpha, or greater returns relative to the risk taken. Hedge funds were supposed to outperform any market by hedging their bets. Private equity practically guaranteed returns by taking on significant leverage at discounted prices. Investment banks were going to profit by spreading subprime risk around with their mortgage securitizations. Warren Buffett was going to profit by investing when the market signaled a bottom.
 
Nothing doing. Turns out you have to be more than just "in it" to "win it."
 
While the cruel market of 2008 clobbered even the least risky investors, it is the most spectacular collapses that never cease to amaze. Even the managers of endowments at Harvard and Yale, long considered pillars of wisdom among the investing elite, have come clean with strategies that now no one wants to replicate.
 
Bill Miller, formerly known as a masterful value investor who produces steady, consistent gains in his popular Legg Mason mutual funds, made a series of near fatal investment decisions in 2008. By buying more and more shares of battered financial stocks like American International Group, Wachovia, and Freddie Mac as they fell from the sky, Miller's definition of "cheap stock" took on a whole new meaning. "I was naïve," he now acknowledges.
 
The carnage goes on and on. Citadel's Ken Griffin was once known as "the most feared man on Wall Street" with his multi-billion dollar payday and the constant speculation that his firm would soon go public. In 2008, he was forced to halt withdrawals at his two biggest funds after they fell by 50 percent. Citadel also shuttered its Tokyo office and laid off half the staff in its Hong Kong operations.
 
Other investors who were aggressively climbing their way up the smart money ladder had their knuckles pounded so relentlessly that they had no choice but fall to the ground. No matter what he does in the future, Sam Zell will always be remembered for his foolish and tragic Tribune deal. And Eddie Lampert? No one will ever make the mistake of comparing him to Warren Buffett again. And speaking of the Oracle of Omaha, even he made enough minor missteps in 2008 that the annual Berkshire Hathaway shareholders meeting next year may feature just a bite or two of humble pie.
 
And Cerberus! Oh, Cerberus. Your three-headed dog did nothing to scare off the demons on Wall Street this year. Between your ownership of nearly bankrupt Chrysler and your majority ownership of G.M.A.C., things really couldn't have been much worse in 2008. In fact, your portfolio is so rotten, the media hardly made note of the fact that the Japanese lender you own, Aozora Bank, may have lost $137 million in the Madoff scheme.
 
Hedge funds generally took a beating this year, with the Marc Dreier and Bernard Madoff scandals producing a swift, one-two kick out the door. Private equity may have fared a bit better in 2008, but that's only because it takes so long to destroy assets that are locked up for many years.
 
Of course, average investors also took it on the chin by the vicious oh-eight, but it was the smart money that was supposed to consistently perform well in both good times and bad.
 
Perhaps it's fitting that the gigantic Madoff unraveling took place at the end of the year, as if to remind everyone that it really is okay to lose money every now and again. Just imagine the skepticism if Yale and Harvard had produced their typically magical 25 percent returns this year.
 
Smart money fails, but it will inevitably rise again with new names in the marquee lights. And when it does, the ninth year of the 21st century will no doubt be a distant memory in investors' minds.
 

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Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:00 am

It's a Wonderful Thought

Over the years, Frank Capra's It's a Wonderful Life has become a Christmas classic—a heartwarming, eye-watering parable about virtue being its own reward.

The story of George Bailey, the big-hearted proprietor of Bailey Savings & Loan, is morally uncomplicated. Bailey is a generous lender and lenient collector; his rival, a miserly, hard-hearted millionaire banker named Henry Potter is an unrepentant villain who derides Bailey for his lack of business acumen and lax lending standards.

But knowing what we know now, about the dangers of subprime mortgages and the virtues of disciplined bankers, perhaps it's time to reconsider the financial—if not the sentimental—lesson of It's a Wonderful Life. In short: Was George Bailey a reckless subprime lender? Was Henry Potter a sober, misunderstood businessman?

The difference between the two men is captured in one particularly memorable scene, in which civic leaders of the small town in which the movie is set discuss the recent death of George Bailey's saintly father, Peter. He'd founded the savings and loan, and was as generous as his son.


POTTER

Peter Bailey was not a businessman. That's what killed him. Oh, I don't mean any disrespect to him, God rest his soul. He was a man of high ideals, so-called, but ideals without common sense can ruin this town. (Picking up papers from table.) Now, you take this loan here to Ernie Bishop...You know, that fellow that sits around all day on his brains in his taxi. You know...I happen to know the bank turned down this loan, but he comes here and we're building him a house worth five thousand dollars. Why?

GEORGE

Well, I handled that, Mr. Potter. You have all the papers there. His salary, insurance. I can personally vouch for his character.

POTTER

(Sarcastically) A friend of yours?

GEORGE

Yes, sir.

POTTER

You see, if you shoot pool with some employee here, you can come and borrow money. What does that get us? A discontented, lazy rabble instead of a thrifty working class. And all because a few starry-eyed dreamers like Peter Bailey stir them up and fill their heads with a lot of impossible ideas. Now, I say...


Our typical reaction: "Boo, Mr. Potter! Yay, George Bailey! You give that loan to good ol' Ernie Bishop, on the basis of his character."

And yet, this time around, the whole exchange is strangely...tainted. As we spend this holiday season in the jaws of a subprime meltdown, the heretofore-Manichean parable seems a little bit less black and white.

We're not saying that Bailey versus Potter is a perfect allegory for today's credit crunch; Angelo Mozilo and his predatory buddies are no latter-day George Baileys, "starry-eyed dreamers" giving up their own riches to give the Ernie Bishops of the world a chance at the American Dream.

And the majority of the bad loans that have crippled our credit markets were not made to folks like Ernie Bishop, working tirelessly to put a roof over their families' heads. A fair few of those loans enabled bad real estate investments by people who had no business buying or building homes as big as they did.

But consider this: Perhaps Mr. Potter wasn't just a heartless Scrooge. Perhaps Mr. Potter, in the absence of sufficient regulatory oversight, was the one voice of sanity keeping the good people of Bedford Falls from over-leveraging themselves.

Perhaps, if we had all taken Mr. Potter a little bit more seriously, we wouldn't be in this mess to begin with.

Script excerpt from Internet Movie Script Database.
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Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 23 Dec 2008 | 5:00 am

Passenger numbers down at Auckland Airport

Passenger numbers fell at Auckland International Airport last month, as the global economic crisis hit both international and domestic travel. That was despite a 7 per cent increase in international flights compared with a year...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 3:30 am

Metlifecare to suspend dividend, raise funds

Retirement village operator Metlifecare is hoping to strengthen its balance sheet by suspending its dividend payment and raising up to $40 million in new shares. Metlifecare's 82-per cent shareholder, Retirement Villages New Zealand,...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 23 Dec 2008 | 2:30 am

Shareholders set to vote on US bank deals

Stockholders are expected to favour two bank deals forged at the height of the financial crisis, helping mark the end of a year of changes for the US banking industry
Source: Financial Times - US homepage | 23 Dec 2008 | 2:07 am

Mortgage activity surges at US banks

Banks are having trouble dealing with a flurry of mortgage applications, after record loan defaults and job cuts have stretched resources to the limit
Source: Financial Times - US homepage | 23 Dec 2008 | 12:48 am

Fiat pays $10.6m in Iraq settlement

Italian carmaker agrees settlement with SEC over kickbacks paid to Saddam Hussein regime under the oil-for-food programme
Source: Financial Times - US homepage | 23 Dec 2008 | 12:44 am

In Brief - Monday

PPG Industries (PPG), a paint and chemicals maker, forecast Q4 EPS of 35-45 cents, well below views of 72 cents. Shares fell 4.2% to 39.71.


Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 23 Dec 2008 | 12:16 am

Business Briefs - Monday

Aaron Rents rises as buying ebbs. The rent-to-own chain raised its '09 EPS outlook by a nickel to $1.70-$1.85, the midpoint above views for $1.74....


Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 23 Dec 2008 | 12:16 am

After The Close - Monday

CIT GROUP (CIT), a commercial finance firm, received the Fed's OK to become a bank holding company, clearing the way for CIT to get up to $2.5 bil...


Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 23 Dec 2008 | 12:16 am

Alternative Energy, Medical Technologies Head List Of Likely IPOs

The initial public offering calendar remains empty, but smart investors always keep an eye on the future. What's going on farther up the pipeline?


Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 23 Dec 2008 | 12:16 am

Trends & Innovations - Monday

Young Americans watch less TV


Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 23 Dec 2008 | 12:16 am

Warner Music doesn’t want to share its videos on YouTube any more

Madonna, James Blunt and Estelle began disappearing from YouTube yesterday in a row that raises uncomfortable questions about the viability of the video-sharing website’s business.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 23 Dec 2008 | 12:05 am

EDF concessions leave Centrica to rethink

Centrica may reduce the £3.1 billion offer that it has made to EDF for a 25 per cent stake in British Energy after European regulators placed strict conditions on the French group's takeover of the nuclear generator.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 23 Dec 2008 | 12:00 am

Commission's timely power play

The Government received a small Christmas present from Brussels yesterday when the European Commission gave its conditional approval for Electricité de France to buy British Energy.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 23 Dec 2008 | 12:00 am

Tynan of Argus Research Says Auto Bailout Equates to Bankruptcy


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 22 Dec 2008 | 10:48 pm

Hear: Scenes From A Recession

description

Click for full picture.

Christopher Dael
 

Today on Planet Money:

-- Adam Davidson visits Frank Caracciolo, owner of the Universal Printing Company in Brooklyn, New York. Carcciolo says business is down, but you may be suprised at who's still buying big.

-- Listener Christopher Dael of Riverside County, Calif., says his local mall's tree looks nothing like the ones in years' past. What's up with that? (The 2006 tree is after the jump.

-- Putting off the purchase of a big flat-screen TV? You're not alone. Chana Joffe-Walt of KPLU says the decline in sales is having an unexpected -- and unwelcome -- effect on recycling.

Download the podcast; or subscribe. Intro music: Carl Douglas' "Kung Fu Fighting." Find us: Twitter/ Facebook/ Flickr.

Christopher Dael forwarded this image of the Christmas tree at the same mall, from two years back.

description

2006 was like that.

Courtesy of My City Corona
 

» E-Mail This     » Add to Del.icio.us


Source: NPR Blogs: Planet Money | 22 Dec 2008 | 10:40 pm

Hartzell Says ETFs Provide `Cushion' In Volatile Markets


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 22 Dec 2008 | 10:22 pm

VIX Index of U.S. Stock Option Prices Retreats 1% to 44.56


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 22 Dec 2008 | 10:19 pm

Housing crisis worsens as economy weakens (Reuters)

A house for sale is seen in California in a file photo. (Erin Siegal/Reuters)Reuters - The desperate straits of many U.S. homeowners showed in new data released on Monday, suggesting efforts to help them are having limited success.



Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 22 Dec 2008 | 9:12 pm

Are You Stimulated?

For many businesses, Christmas may come in January, when Congress is expected to pass an economic stimulus package containing billions of dollars in new spending and tax breaks.

Construction companies could benefit from massive investment in roads, bridges and other infrastructure projects. High-tech companies stand to gain from expansion of broadband services to rural areas, purchases of new computers for classrooms and nationwide integration of electronic medical records. Environmental efficiency specialists could find lots of work retrofitting government buildings and schools.

State governments could receive help in paying their bills, especially for unemployment insurance and Medicaid. Plus, tax cuts could put more money in the hands of both consumers and businesses.

If all this sounds expensive, it is—the stimulus package could cost up to $1 trillion over the next two years.

With so much money at stake, business groups and other special interests are lobbying hard to be included in the package.

President-elect Barack Obama has promised "the single largest new investment in our national infrastructure since the creation of the federal highway system in the 1950s."

This could be a boon to the construction industry, which has shed more than 770,000 jobs over the past two years. State and local officials have identified up to $73 billion in "ready to go" infrastructure projects that already have gone through the planning and approval process.

Federal funding of these projects "will immediately employ people, support small businesses and stimulate Main Street economies," said Miami Mayor Manny Diaz, president of the U.S. Conference of Mayors.

"Investing immediately in shovel-ready projects—whether roads or rails, broadband, energy or water—will create jobs and strengthen America's competitiveness," said Tom Donohue, president and C.E.O. of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.

The types of projects funded also are important. Repairs and maintenance of existing infrastructure not only are needed, but these labor-intensive projects also create more jobs than building new facilities, according to Building America's Future, a coalition representing state and local officials.

Congress should establish clear criteria for infrastructure projects to "make sure the investments are smart and strategic," said Polly Trottenberg, the coalition's executive director.

"We want to make sure there are no bridges to nowhere," she said.

The Reason Foundation, however, contends it found plenty of pork in the infrastructure list compiled by the U.S. Conference of Mayors, including dog parks, sports complexes and cultural centers. A surge in infrastructure spending would lead to "thousands of tennis centers to nowhere," wrote Robert Poole, the libertarian foundation's founder.

The infrastructure piece of the stimulus package also could lead to a business vs. labor fight. Associated Builders and Contractors, a trade association representing non-union construction companies, urged Obama to oppose any efforts to require that federally funded construction projects be built by union labor.

More than 85 percent of the construction work force is not unionized, the contractors' group pointed out in its letter to Obama.

"Denying those firms and their millions of employees the right to work on publicly funded projects is not good business or good budget sense, and certainly not what our nation needs at this time of economic turmoil," the group wrote.

The stimulus package also could include tax cuts. The National Federation of Independent Business has proposed a six-month holiday from the 6.2 percent tax that both employers and employees pay for Social Security.

"No other stimulus provision will be as immediate and as effective as the payroll tax holiday in getting money in the hands of both employers and employees who are struggling to make ends meet," said Dan Danner, executive vice president of N.F.I.B.

The National Retail Federation also supports a payroll tax holiday or some other form of direct tax relief for consumers. Consumer spending accounts for about 70 percent of the economy, it noted.

"We don't see how recovery can be achieved without something that benefits the consumer and thereby boosts consumer spending," said N.R.F. Vice President J. Craig Shearman.

The National Association of Home Builders, meanwhile, reports that builder confidence in the market for new single-family homes remained at a record low in December. It wants Congress to increase the current $7,500 tax credit for first-time homebuyers and make it available at the time of closing, which would make it easier to use as a down payment. It also wants the federal government to buy down mortgage rates.

"Congress and the administration must step in with substantial incentives to bring qualified buyers back to the table as well as effective foreclosure relief programs if we are to end this negative spiral," said N.A.H.B. Chairman Sandy Dunn, a home builder from Point Pleasant, West Virginia.

Related Links
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Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 22 Dec 2008 | 9:00 pm

Analyst McGranahan Says Retail Closings Are a Certainty


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 22 Dec 2008 | 8:51 pm

Market reforms transform Shenzhen

Thirty years ago this month, Chinese leaders used the small fishing village of Shenzhen to test free-market principles. The experiment paid off as foreign investors poured in, making the city China's richest. But big challenges may be ahead for Shenzhen. Scott Tong reports.
Source: Marketplace | 22 Dec 2008 | 8:34 pm

Harvey Pitt Says Madoff Scam Will Be `Mess' to Unwind


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 22 Dec 2008 | 7:59 pm

Listener Thwacks Us

Sylvia in Wilmington heard the podcast last week in which we called Chrysler's plans to shut down for a month a sign the economy is still contracting. She writes:

[The podcast] mentioned the one-month auto shutdown. It did NOT mention that at this time of year there is normally a 2-week shutdown, so the incremental shutdown, while bad, is not one month.
it also did not discuss the possibility that this is a tactical move on the part of the auto industry--- see what will happen if you dont bail us out, want some more?-- like Clintons government shutdown which served admirably to get Gingrich to quit fooling around and play ball. Just a couple of short phrases touching on these two things would have gone a long way toward more credible reporting.

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Source: NPR Blogs: Planet Money | 22 Dec 2008 | 7:26 pm

Financial products need new regulation

The crash of the financial markets and the pile up of investment scams have some people asking -- Where were the regulatory agencies in all of this? Commentator Amelia Tyagi says financial products need to be regulated as strictly as the drug, toy and cosmetic industries to prevent further meltdowns.
Source: Marketplace | 22 Dec 2008 | 7:15 pm

Listener Finds Mall Empty

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Seen in California.

 

Dave writes that he and his girlfriend went shopping in San Francisco's North Bay this weekend and found an outdoor mall deserted. Where, he wondered, were the people? And what will become of the stores? He writes, "[I] feel odd about highlighting what must be a devastating time for them."

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Source: NPR Blogs: Planet Money | 22 Dec 2008 | 7:09 pm

Fiat settles SEC case for over $10 million (Reuters)

A FIAT sticker celebrating the company's 100 years appears on a FIAT store in Rome. The Italian auto giant has agreed to pay 17.8 million dollars in penalties for giving illegal kickbacks to the previous Iraqi government under the UN oil-for-food scandal, US officials said Monday.(AFP/File/Andreas Solaro)Reuters - Italian automobile and truck maker Fiat SpA agreed to pay more than $10 million to settle allegations of kickbacks linked to the sale of goods to Iraq under the U.N. oil-for-food program, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said on Monday.



Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 22 Dec 2008 | 6:47 pm

Madoff Defies Gravity

The Bespoke Investment Group charts the returns on a single dollar invested with Bernie Madoff. Let's just say it puts a new spin on vertical integration.

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Source: NPR Blogs: Planet Money | 22 Dec 2008 | 6:43 pm

Lombard's Dumas Says Market Tone Is Now `Modestly Positive'


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 22 Dec 2008 | 6:40 pm

Florida family lives the simple life

Beth and Scott Greenlee were living the middle-class life in Connecticut. But after Scott was laid off, the family was forced to change their lifestyle. Katie Ball reports on how it's the simple things that matter for the Greenlees now.
Source: Marketplace | 22 Dec 2008 | 6:25 pm

The state of commercial real estate

General Growth Properties, one of the nation's largest mall owners, got some help from its lenders this week when they agreed to a forbearance. But, such a move is rare. What about the rest of the commercial property industry? Tess Vigeland speaks with professor Susan Wachter about the rocky road ahead for the commercial real estate industry.
Source: Marketplace | 22 Dec 2008 | 6:18 pm

Laid-off employees get litigious

Employers hoping to cut costs are laying off workers across the nation. But laid-off employees who feel they've been wrongfully terminated aren't going down easily. They're fighting back -- with workplace discrimination lawsuits. Mitchell Hartman reports.
Source: Marketplace | 22 Dec 2008 | 6:18 pm

Tech workers forced to take holiday

Tech companies feeling the effects of the recession are forcing employees to stay home for the holidays. Janet Babin reports on the forced furloughs some companies are making their white collar workers take.
Source: Marketplace | 22 Dec 2008 | 6:18 pm

Are money market funds in trouble?

Money market funds, cash invested in short-term debt, used to be pretty reliable places for investors who wanted to get moderate returns. But with interest rates near zero, yields on funds are tumbling. Jeremy Hobson reports.
Source: Marketplace | 22 Dec 2008 | 6:18 pm

DiBartolomeo Knew Madoff's Returns Were Amiss 10 Years Ago


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 22 Dec 2008 | 6:17 pm

Former U.S. Prosecutor Hochberg Sees Jail Sentence for Madoff


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 22 Dec 2008 | 6:12 pm

Can Hedge Fund Wealth Vanish?

You asked about hedge funds. Columbia University professor Wei Jiang has delivered, with a first round of answers. We'll be posting more questions and answers in the days to come. For now....

In the last few years a number of the new names to Fortune's "Richest people" list were hedge fund managers. All of the people on the list had over $1 billion net worth. Why/how are the hedge fund managers raking in so much money? Are their earnings stable/permanent, or might they evaporate like so much other "wealth" has lately?

Prof. Jiang writes: A hedge fund manager is compensated with both management fees (as a percentage of assets under management, 70 percent of the hedge funds charge between 1 percent and 2 percent), and a performance fee (as a percentage of returns in excess of benchmarks -- more than 60 percent of the hedge funds charge between 20 percent and 25 percent). The 10 largest hedge funds managed more than $20 billion dollars in 2007, and in a good return year, these people indeed can be loaded.

However, there are more than 10,000 hedge funds in the U.S. , and only a handful of the hedge fund managers made to Fortune's list. The median hedge fund managed less than $100 million in early 2007 (before the trouble started), and the median hedge fund barely beats the benchmark (because it cannot be that everybody is above the average, which is the market return). A median hedge fund would earn a total fee close to $2 million, with which it would have to cover system cost, research, and salaries (of a whole team), etc.

Personally, I don't believe the exorbitant earnings of some hedge fund managers are permanent or sustainable. Early this year, Warren Buffett challenged hedge funds to bet on their beating the S&P500 over the next 10 years. I am betting with Warren Buffett (I am mostly investing with Vanguard index funds). Of course, in any given year, out of 10,000 hedge funds, even just by sheer luck some of them will yield phenomenal returns, making investors happy even after the handsome fees.

Would you please address the tax implications for the investors both who make money and are defrauded? This sounds more like a blind trust than a rational investment strategy. Are most people in hedge funds individuals? Can there be public retirement funds tied up there, too?

Profesor Jiang writes: If you were asking about the alleged Madoff Ponzi scheme, it would be bad news for investors who thought that they made money by investing with Madoff and who might already have consumed the "profits" they received from the fund. If it could be proved that their "profits" were actually coming out of later investors' principal, they could be asked to return the money! Of course, they could file amended returns and get back the tax they paid on those gains.

Hedge funds are open both to institutions and "high net-worth" individuals. The larger the hedge funds, the higher percentage of institutional money. Among the 10 largest hedge funds, institutional money makes up between 75 percent and 100 percent of the total. Smaller hedge funds and funds that are part of hedge funds are more likely to court individuals. The minimum investment requirement is a good indication of whether the fund is primarily targeting institutions or individuals.

In recent years, it has been common for public retirement funds to allocate money to "alternative investment." Some pension funds (one employee pension fund from a Connecticut town and a state pension fund in Massachusetts) are caught up in the Madoff case.

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Source: NPR Blogs: Planet Money | 22 Dec 2008 | 6:04 pm