|
Obama picks NY official as HUD secretaryUS President-elect Barack Obama named the head of New York's urban housing agency to run the Washington department that attempts to make housing affordable for all Americans and end lingering racial discriminationSource: Financial Times - US homepage | 13 Dec 2008 | 2:57 pm 8 really, really scary predictionsSource: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 13 Dec 2008 | 2:11 pm Is Consumer Spending Stabalizing? More Grand News For Wal-Mart (WMT) Apple (AAPL) And Amazon (AMZN), Bad News For Sears (SHLD)
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Poll shows a little uptick last week. But, coming in the holidays, people's spirits many be brightening. Come the cold and Winter dark days of January and the pendulum may swing back toward despair. New research from consumer polling company ChangeWave contains a bit of good news, if it is not a mirage that will disappear by their next survey. The survey of 2,715 U.S. consumers was conducted from December 2nd to the 9th. Some of the findings: "Three-in-five (60%) U.S. respondents say they'll spend less money over the next 90 days, 1-pt worse than the previous survey in November 2008. Just 11% say they'll spend more money – 1-pt better than previously." "Three-in-five (60%) U.S. respondents say they'll spend less money over the next 90 days, 1-pt worse than the previous survey in November 2008. Just 11% say they'll spend more money – 1-pt better than previously." "For the seventh consecutive ChangeWave survey, Wal-Mart (WMT; Net Score = +6) and Costco (COST; +6) remain the retail leaders going forward. However, Wal-Mart shows the most momentum, gaining 1-pt for the second consecutive survey. Costco, on the other hand, has fallen 2-pts since November." "Once again, the greatest weakness going forward is among the traditional retailers – led by Sears (SHLD; -13), Bed, Bath & Beyond (BBBY; -12), Macy's (M; -10), JC Penney (JCP; -9) and Linens N Things (-8)." "Amazon (23%; up 2-pts) and Apple (11%; up 2-pts) are the clear momentum leaders in terms of home entertainment and networking shopping – while Circuit City (9%; down 5-pts) and Target (5%; down 3-pts) show the greatest weakness going forward." "Respondents were also asked about their current impressions of the economy, and two-thirds (66%) think the overall direction of the U.S. economy is going to worsen over the next 90 days – 9-pts worse than a month ago. Only 9% believe the economy will improve, which is 6-pts worse than a month ago. Moreover, two-thirds (64%) report they are dissatisfied with their personal finances, unchanged from November, while just 4% say they are Very Satisfied – also unchanged. " Douglas A. McIntyre Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 13 Dec 2008 | 2:00 pm NewsWatch: Investor guide to key terms in today's great economic debateAn epic debate rages about a new age for the dismal science, forcing investors to get familiar with economic concepts that are often arcane and controversial. Herein, a guide for the lay person.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 13 Dec 2008 | 2:00 pm Pain of auto crisis felt beyond DetroitThe Big Three automakers' troubles are wreaking havoc on state and local budgets far beyond the Rust Belt. And a collapse of even one of Detroit's car manufacturers would hit governments while they are down.Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 13 Dec 2008 | 1:58 pm 8 really, really scary predictionsSource: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 13 Dec 2008 | 1:53 pm How to save your 401(k)Whether you're three months - or three decades - away from retirement, our targeted 401(k) checkup will help you make all the right moves.Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 13 Dec 2008 | 1:46 pm CNN.com: Obama names HUD choiceSource: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 13 Dec 2008 | 1:38 pm Treasury bailout targeted for Big 3The Bush administration said Friday it might use taxpayer dollars set aside to bail out banks and Wall Street firms to keep troubled U.S. automakers out of bankruptcy.Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 13 Dec 2008 | 1:29 pm China's inflation to weaken further in DecemberChina's inflation will weaken further in December as the economy continues to slow, a key policy maker said Saturday, while also confirming next year's economic growth target will be eight...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 1:26 pm Madoff's alleged $50 billion fraud hits other investorsNEW YORK (Reuters) - Investors scrambled to assess potential losses from an alleged $50 billion fraud by Bernard Madoff, a day after the arrest of the prominent Wall Street trader.Source: Reuters: Business News | 13 Dec 2008 | 1:18 pm US fraud scheme to cost Spanish savers three billion: pressThe collapse of a pyramid scheme run by a Wall Street broker could cost Spanish investors well over three billion dollars, Madrid dailies said Saturday. Most of the cash was...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 1:17 pm The Car Industry Wildfire Spreads To Toyota (TM)
Even in the US, Toyota has been a winner. Its market share is approaching 15%. Most months it sells more vehicles than Ford (F). But, it is ending up being king of the hill on top of a pile of dung. Less than two years ago, Toyota's share price was over $135, giving it a market cap of over $200 billion. It was the only large car company with a total stock value bigger than its annual sales. By that measurement, it was worth ten times Ford or GM on a share- value-to-revenue basis. Now Toyota's stock is at $63 and that company may post a loss in the second half, an extraordinary piece of news. According to Reuters, "Toyota Motor Corp is likely to further cut its earnings forecasts and report an operating loss of about 100 billion yen ($1 billion) in the October-March period." Does that put Toyota in deep trouble? Yes and no. It has the balance sheet to make it through a few quarters in the red, but it would become more financially troubled of US vehicle sales keep dropping. The market is Toyota;s largest. Most analysis says that a failure of a US car company could knock out a number of suppliers which send parts to all of the firms which have plants in America. That means that production across the entire industry could be undermined for months. Even Toyota may not be able to handle a breakdown of that magnitude. The Japanese government could be headed toward getting into the bailout business. Douglas A. McIntyre Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 13 Dec 2008 | 1:03 pm Personal Finance Daily: The week's 10 best Personal Finance stories: Dec. 8-12In case you missed them, here are the top 10 Personal Finance stories from MarketWatch for the week of Dec. 8-12:Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 13 Dec 2008 | 1:01 pm Russia to attend OPEC summitThe head of OPEC says Russia and three other non-cartel members will take part in the oil producers' summit next week in Oran, Algeria. Chakib Khelil says Russia will send its deputy...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:47 pm After slump, muni bond investors hopeful for return to stabilityAfter the worst year in the past two decades, securities known for modest and stable returns may have nowhere to go but up, even as more local governments wrestle with a bruising recession.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:00 pm Auto Review: 2009 Ford Flex Limited: An Element on steroids?When you first look at the Ford Flex and then sit behind the wheel you may think: “Man alive, is this thing big.” Turn to the charts, however, and you’ll discover that this new box on wheels is, in fact, not that big.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 13 Dec 2008 | 11:01 am Bush may tap bailout fund to aid automakersWASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Bush administration said on Friday it could be willing to provide emergency aid to the teetering U.S. auto industry, keeping open the prospects for a bailout the day after Congress failed to approve a deal.Source: Reuters: Business News | 13 Dec 2008 | 10:43 am Global car crisis far from over: executives (Reuters)
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 13 Dec 2008 | 10:40 am Global car crisis far from over: executivesPARIS (Reuters) - Top European car makers warned of a bleak 2009 as signs grew that the deep crisis facing the auto sector went far beyond the U.S. industry's life-or-death struggle.Source: Reuters: Business News | 13 Dec 2008 | 10:40 am Global car crisis far from over: executivesPARIS (Reuters) - Top European car makers warned of a bleak 2009 as signs grew that the deep crisis facing the auto sector went far beyond the U.S. industry's life-or-death struggle.Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 10:40 am Investors reel at '$50bn fraud'Investors rush to assess serious potential losses after a Wall Street financier is charged with fraud, estimated at $50bn.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 13 Dec 2008 | 8:56 am LA hospital CEO pleads guilty to health care fraudA former hospital executive admitted Friday he paid a man to recruit homeless people for unnecessary medical treatment in a scheme to bilk government health programs out of millions of...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 8:36 am Asian powers seek action on economy, NKoreaThe leaders of China, Japan and South Korea called Saturday at a rare joint summit for action to shield Asia from the global economic crisis and renewed efforts to end North Korea's nuclearSource: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 8:04 am Retail sales drop 1.8% in NovemberThe downturn is led by a 2.8% decline in auto sales. Producer prices, or the cost of goods before they reach store shelves, also fall as gasoline and other energy prices retreat. ...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 8:00 am Teen retailer Abercrombie & Fitch won't let hefty discounts become its styleThe apparel company refuses to join its rivals in offering massive markdowns -- its executives believe that offering major price reductions could hurt the brand's integrity and appeal in the long run...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 8:00 am Kohl's, Forever 21 to take over 46 Mervyns storesThey jointly bid $6.25 million for the bankrupt retailer's locations. The move gives Kohl's access to 'under-penetrated markets' and enables Forever 21 to begin big-box expansions. ...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 8:00 am Where's your bailout? Hold on, it may be comingThe anti-bailout camp in Congress now has tried twice to halt the use of tax dollars to rescue the private sector.Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 8:00 am Auto bailout's death seen as a Republican blow at unionsFor some Senate Republicans, a vote against the bailout was a vote against the United Auto Workers, and against organized labor in general. ...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 8:00 am Stocks advance amid hope for automaker rescueThe Dow, S & P 500 and Nasdaq rise, despite fresh signs of economic weakness. Stocks rebounded from an early...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 8:00 am Stocks extend losses as auto bill dies in SenateNEW YORK -- Wall Street faced fresh concerns about a deepening recession and extended a sell-off to a second session today following the Senate's rejection of a $14 billion lifeline for the auto industry...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 8:00 am Madoff's reliable returns aroused doubtsHis gains even in volatile markets spurred warnings long before he was accused of a $50-billion fraud. For years,...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 8:00 am Bush considering use of Wall Street bailout funds to aid auto industryBecause the proposed automaker bailout died in the Senate, President Bush might change his opposition to using Wall Street funds for the Big Three U.S. car manufacturers, White House says. ...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 8:00 am Jack Black on riding pterodactyls, heavy metal and his new video gameThe actor has been secretly working with game developer Tim Schafer for three years on Brtal Legend, in which players can slay enemies by cranking out heavy metal music. ...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 8:00 am West Coast Bank's Woodburn West Branch is Damaged in Bombing BlastBusiness is Transferred to the Company's East Woodburn Branch LAKE OSWEGO, Ore., Dec. 13 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- West Coast Bank's (Nasdaq: WCBO) Woodburn WestSource: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 6:26 am German bourse opens office in Beijing: statementDeutsche Boerse, the operator of the German stock exchange, has opened a representative office in Beijing, the latest bourse to do so in a bid to attact Chinese initial public offerings.Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 6:18 am German bourse opens office in Beijing: statement (AFP)
Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 13 Dec 2008 | 6:18 am Toyota likely to report loss in second halfTOKYO (Reuters) - Toyota Motor Corp is likely to further cut its earnings forecasts and report an operating loss of about 100 billion yen ($1 billion) in the October-March period, JapaneseSource: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 6:18 am Toyota likely to report loss in second halfTOKYO (Reuters) - Toyota Motor Corp is likely to further cut its earnings forecasts and report an operating loss of about 100 billion yen ($1 billion) in the October-March period, Japanese media reported on Saturday.Source: Reuters: Business News | 13 Dec 2008 | 6:18 am Stocks advance amid hope for automaker rescue (AP)
Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 13 Dec 2008 | 5:15 am White House mulls car rescueThe White House is considering using money earmarked to rescue the banking industry to bail out the country's carmakers.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 13 Dec 2008 | 5:10 am SEC seeks to salvage assets of NY financier (AP)
Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 13 Dec 2008 | 5:07 am GMAC Makes Final Amendments to the Exchange Offers After Reaching Agreement With a Substantial Portion of BondholdersExtends the early delivery time to Tuesday, December 16 NEW YORK, Dec. 12 /PRNewswire/ -- GMAC Financial Services (GMAC) today announced that it has amended and...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 13 Dec 2008 | 4:47 am Madoff fraud case raises questions about SEC (AP)
Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 13 Dec 2008 | 4:37 am For Madoff investors, big returns trumped concerns (AP)
Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 13 Dec 2008 | 4:34 am Retail sales and prices fall again (AP)
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 13 Dec 2008 | 3:51 am Stocks may brake for GM, Fed, GoldmanNEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street's recovery push from 11-year lows could hit major speed bumps next week as investors fret about the U.S. automakers' fate and the Federal Reserve holds its last scheduled policy meeting of 2008.Source: Reuters: Business News | 13 Dec 2008 | 2:36 am Stocks may brake for GM, Fed, Goldman (Reuters)
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 13 Dec 2008 | 2:36 am Stocks may brake for GM, Fed, Goldman (Reuters)
Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 13 Dec 2008 | 2:36 am Money managers brace for unorthodox FedNEW YORK (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve will stretch the boundaries of monetary policy to shore up the economy but a direct purchase of equities is unlikely, money managers told the Reuters Investment Outlook Summit this week.Source: Reuters: Business News | 13 Dec 2008 | 2:33 am Wall Street climbs on hopes for auto aid, tech supportNEW YORK (Reuters) - Stocks rose on Friday on hopes that a lifeline for struggling U.S. automakers could still materialize, while investors bet the large stockpiles in cash at technology companies will help them weather the economic downturn.Source: Reuters: Business News | 13 Dec 2008 | 2:12 am Trends & Innovations - FridayJava perks up hopes for biofuelsSource: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 13 Dec 2008 | 1:16 am Madoff's alleged $50 billion fraud hits other investors (Reuters)
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 13 Dec 2008 | 1:08 am Ecuador defaults on sovereign bondsRafael Correa, Ecuador's leftist president, announced the country's second foreign debt default in a decade, saying the debt was illegitimate and describing bondholders as 'real monsters'Source: Financial Times - US homepage | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:56 am Ecuador defaults on foreign debtEcuador will default on billions of dollars of foreign debt it considers "illegitimate", says President Rafael Correa.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:49 am Siemens ready to settle SEC corruption caseSiemens has offered to pay about $800m to settle accusations it breached anti-corruption laws in the US, in a move that could lead to the largest ever fine on a company accused of overseas briberySource: Financial Times - US homepage | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:47 am Biotech Firm Hoping For Wider Approval Of Drug For Liver CancerEveryone is afraid of cancer, but a diagnosis of liver cancer is especially gloomy. Fewer than 20% of such cancers can be entirely removed by...Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:28 am In Brief - FridayClorox (CLX), the consumer products maker, was rated a buy by Jefferies & Co., which initiated coverage with a prediction that Clorox will...Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:28 am Business Briefs - FridayBristol inks deal for cancer drugs. The drug giant will team up with biotech Exelixis EXEL to develop two drugs designed to curb the growth of...Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:28 am Not So Down In The DumpsRepublic Services CFO Tod Holmes was in a good mood Dec. 5.Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:28 am Weekend Edition: Investor guide to key terms in today's great economic debateAn epic debate rages about a new age for the dismal science, forcing investors to get familiar with economic concepts that are often arcane and controversial. Herein, a guide for the lay person.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:22 am Weekend Investor: Retirement plans derailed as bear market mauls target-date fundsIf you were expecting your target-date retirement funds to keep your nest egg on track, you've been off target this year. Some of these investments have saddled shareholders with stiff losses, and probably no one feels more on edge than investors in their 60s who intend to stop working in a couple of years.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:17 am Investors fear $50bn loss in Madoff's 'big lie'Investors around the world were rushing to assess potential losses from a multi-billion-dollar scheme allegedly perpetrated by investment manager Bernard Madoff in what could be biggest fraud yet on Wall Street.Source: Financial Times - US homepage | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:16 am Hall Says OPEC Will `Shock' With 2.5 Million-Barrel Oil CutSource: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:04 am Grim holidays loom with spread of redundancyMore than 3,000 jobs were lost across the United Kingdom yesterday as banks, retailers, media and construction groups braced for a grim Christmas and a tough new year.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:00 am Get rid of this man who broke the bankWith yesterday's shareholder meeting in Birmingham, HBOS formally surrendered its independence and tolled the death knell for two once great financial institutions, Halifax Building Society and Bank of Scotland.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:00 am Anglo American to cut mining expansion plans by $4bn$Anglo American is expected to announce a $4 billion ($£2.7 billion) cut in capital expenditure next year as it lowers production to cope with a drop in demand for metals.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:00 am White House throws lifeline to US carmakersTim Reid: the politics of the U-turn | Bush throws eleventh-hour lifeline | Long road to recovery | Tom Baldwin: wrong type of carSource: Latest Business News from Times Online | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:00 am Fallout from Lehman Brothers collapse still spreadingWhen Dick Fuld left Lehman Brothers' headquarters at 745 Seventh Avenue for the last time on September 15, the broker-dealer he ran may have been defunct, but there were three like it still left. Three months after Lehman went bust, they are all gone and the reverberations of Lehman's collapse are still being felt across America.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:00 am Need to know: Honda production cuts ... Pfizer job cuts ... Lonrho contractsView video and Need to Know interactive heatmapSource: Latest Business News from Times Online | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:00 am Nintendo breaks records with Wii sales in AmericaNovember sales of Wii, the games console produced by Nintendo, more than doubled in the United States from the same period last year to a record-breaking two million units.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:00 am Channel 4 in melting pot as decision looms on fight for fundsChannel 4 faces the fight of its life: in the next six weeks it will know whether it is likely to be privatised, forced to accept huge cuts, or bailed out, possibly by the unlikely means of a merger with part of the BBC.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:00 am Gatwick's falling passenger numbers likely to knock sale priceBAA's hopes of securing a top price for Gatwick received a setback yesterday when it was revealed that passenger numbers at the airport in November were down 13.5 per cent on the same month last year.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:00 am India heads for slowdown after rapid fall in factory outputA shock slump in factory output in India, the first decline in at least 13 years, has compounded fears that the country is heading for a rapid slow-down as global demand for exports withers.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 13 Dec 2008 | 12:00 am Regional banks in Georgia, Texas failState regulators closed local banks in Georgia and Texas Friday, bringing the total number of failed banks this year to 25.Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 12 Dec 2008 | 11:58 pm Sanderson State brings total U.S. bank failures to 25The FDIC and state regulators seize banks in Texas and Georgia on Friday, marking the 24th and 25th bank failures of the year amid the credit crisis and economic slowdown.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 12 Dec 2008 | 11:53 pm Economic Diary on FOMC Meeting, Consumer Prices, HousingSource: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 12 Dec 2008 | 11:52 pm After Hours: GM, Ford shares rise as bailout efforts roll onShares of automakers rise Friday evening as work continues on the beleaguered industry’s request for a package of emergency loans from Washington.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 12 Dec 2008 | 11:52 pm Lesley Stahl Compares New Web Site to a `Ladies Lunch'Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 12 Dec 2008 | 11:50 pm This Week’s LinksReadWriteWeb covers the Information Valet Project, an effort to save quality news content while smoothly transferring print news online. Dean Baker on how labor statistics’ innate bias means the situation is even worse than it looks. Spiegel on how graffiti has sold out–or the borg has absorbed it. New York Magazine on how short seller Jim Chanos is doing really, really well. Financial Armageddon has a long, but informative post that’s essentially qualitative research on the state of things right now. Source: Business Pundit | 12 Dec 2008 | 11:47 pm Canadian Markets: Toronto benchmark erases drop; ends with daily, weekly gainsCanadian stocks ended up Friday, reversing an opening drop, as investors backed off fears that a U.S. car maker bankruptcy would that could push the world further into recession.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 12 Dec 2008 | 11:44 pm Fuld weighs comeback with advisory boutiqueDick Fuld, the former chief executive of Lehman Brothers, is planning a comeback and has told friends he might launch a small advisory firm to harness his contacts in US companies once the dust settles on Lehman's bankruptcySource: Financial Times - US homepage | 12 Dec 2008 | 11:43 pm Latin American Markets: Equities rise as investors hope for U.S. auto sector bailoutLatin American stocks finish higher Friday, with Brazilian shares climbing more than 2% on revived optimism that the ailing U.S. auto industry will win a package of emergency loans.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 12 Dec 2008 | 11:42 pm VIX Index of U.S. Stock Option Prices Retreats 2.7% to 54.28Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 12 Dec 2008 | 11:28 pm WisdomTree's Schwartz Says ETFs Are `Still Shining'Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 12 Dec 2008 | 11:26 pm Stocks rally on bailout hopesStocks rose Friday, erasing the day's losses, as investors welcomed the Treasury Department's indication it might step in and bail out the troubled automakers after a $14 billion bill collapsed in the Senate.Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 12 Dec 2008 | 11:08 pm Bush may tap bailout fund to aid automakers (Reuters)
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 12 Dec 2008 | 11:06 pm Wall Street recovers as White House vows auto helpUS stocks recouped early losses and ended higher this morning (NZT) as traders looked past weak economic news and drew encouragement from a White House pledge to stave off the collapse of Detroit carmakers. The Dow Jones Industrial...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 12 Dec 2008 | 10:40 pm On the Ball: OK State, a Sports Economy, 2nd Heisman for Tebow?Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 12 Dec 2008 | 10:36 pm November Retail Sales Down, Fed Rates, Bailouts, Super Bowl AdsSource: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 12 Dec 2008 | 10:34 pm Veteran deal maker leaves Morgan StanleyRobert Scully, one of Morgan Stanley's most experienced deal-makers and a former co-president, is to retire after 12 years with the investment bank and more than three decades on Wall Street.Source: Financial Times - US homepage | 12 Dec 2008 | 10:34 pm Hear: Too Big To Fail, Take TwoToday on Planet Money: -- Jay Rosen wants to know why, when the Senate spikes a rescue for U.S. automakers, Japanese stocks go down. One answer comes from Vinny Catalano, president of Blue Marble investment firm and keeper of a cool blog. -- Automakers in Detroit say they're too big to fail. As business historian John Steele Gordon tells David Kestenbaum, we've heard that one before -- from the U.S. steel industry. -- Last year, Adam Davidson went to Pittsburgh to see what remained of the steel industry and its workers. Also, to find out what a "cake eater" might be. After the jump, a letter from Utah. Download the podcast; or subscribe. Get the opening clip in full. Intro music: The Breeders' "Flipside." Find us: Twitter/ Facebook/ Flickr.
Ted writes: I work for a small water treatment service company in Utah, so I go into many different companies each month to provide services. I haven't seen any companies go under yet, but most have some kind of freeze going on...generally either a hiring or purchasing freeze. One of my larger accounts just lost an order, which means 2 months of planned production instantly disappeared. They asked for a price reduction last week, only a few months before we were going to come to them for an increase. We also provide some services to the oil fields in Wyoming, Utah, Colorado, and South Dakota and they have been decimated with the drop in gas prices. I know most people won't feel much sympathy for the roughnecks that populate these boom-and-bust towns, but as the high-powered executives run with their windfall profits, they leave their workers behind...and then the ripple effect follows: We hired two new employees in September to cover additional rigs, and barely have enough to keep them afloat because rigs keep stacking. I personally had 9 rigs a month ago and am now down to 2. That cuts into my pocketbook. Personally, I'm not worried about my job because buildings will always need maintenence, but we had a baby a couple of months ago and my wife quit working so we're having our own purchasing freeze. Last month we had to cut $400 out of our monthly budget to stay afloat. And most of Christmas is going on credit cards this year (not that it hasn't in past years, just less this time). My wife is a speech pathologist, so if times really got rough, she could easily find a job, but she wants to be home with our 3-year-old and newborn as much as possible. We bought our home in 2005, a couple years before the bubble reached its bursting point. We've recently looked at moving to a new home with a mother-in-law apartment in the basement so we could rent it out, we even found one we wanted. Unfortunately, with our deflated equity and lack of eager loaners (not loners), we'll be here awhile. » E-Mail This » Add to Del.icio.us Source: NPR Blogs: Planet Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 10:27 pm Berner Says Consumer Spending `Gloomiest In a Long Time'Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 12 Dec 2008 | 10:27 pm Wall Street rallies on car hopesWorld stock markets fall sharply after the US carmaker bail-out package is rejected by the Senate.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 12 Dec 2008 | 10:06 pm The 52-Week Low Club (XL)(PJI)(UNP)(PLCM)
PerkinElmer (PKI) Concerns about declining tech spending. Falls to $13.10 from 52-week high of $29.95. Union Pacific (UNP) Railroad shipments are slowing. Sells down to $41.48 from 52-week high of $85.80. Polycom (PLCM) Financial analyst presentation must have gone poorly. Dips to $14.03 from 52-week high of $28.94. Douglas A. McIntyre Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 12 Dec 2008 | 10:05 pm Retail sales drop for 5th month, sentiment upWASHINGTON (Reuters) - Sales at U.S. retailers fell for a fifth straight month in November, the longest decline in at least 16 years, as gasoline sales tumbled by a record amount, according to government data on Friday.Source: Reuters: Business News | 12 Dec 2008 | 9:59 pm Fear of a worthless car warrantyGeneral Motors has repeatedly said that "bankruptcy is not an option," largely because it's afraid no one will want to buy from a carmaker that might go under, leaving customers with a worthless warranty.Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 12 Dec 2008 | 9:57 pm Retail sales drop for 5th month, sentiment up (Reuters)
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 12 Dec 2008 | 9:50 pm Day in the Work Life: Ballet dancerOn this week's "A Day in the Work Life," we go on stage with Heather Myers, soloist with Boston Ballet.Source: Marketplace Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 9:48 pm Getting PersonalEconomics editor Chris Farrell and host Tess Vigeland take questions on foreclosure, buying land, saving for retirement and safe short-term places to keep money.Source: Marketplace Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 9:47 pm LettersListeners weigh in on our recent coverage of childcare options, mileage reimbursement math, homeowners turned landlords, credit cards, and holiday party alternatives.Source: Marketplace Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 9:47 pm Once upon a recession...With the financial fallout hitting individuals and businesses hard, the B word is getting thrown around more and more. Marketplace's Sean Cole tells the bankruptcy story, starting with Chapter 7.Source: Marketplace Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 9:47 pm Shrinking your gift footprintAs budgets get tighter, there's a new mentality about holiday gift giving on the rise. Sharon McNary reports on the "New Simplifiers."Source: Marketplace Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 9:47 pm Investment Club: Revisiting VirginiaHost Tess Vigeland revisits Formerly Baroque, one of the investment clubs she followed throughout 2007, to see how they've weathered the stormy year on Wall Street.Source: Marketplace Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 9:47 pm Straight Story: Flight to safetyAs investors are willing to accept zero yield for Treasury Bills, economics editor Chris Farrell sets the story straight on our collective search for mattresses to stash our cash under.Source: Marketplace Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 9:46 pm Wall Street climbs on hopes for auto aid, tech support (Reuters)
Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 12 Dec 2008 | 9:46 pm Muni bonds fall out of favorInstability in the financial markets has investors viewing yesterday's safe bets with suspicious eyes. Host Tess Vigeland talks to USA Today's John Waggoner about the rush away from municipal bonds.Source: Marketplace Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 9:46 pm Time for a new Part D prescriptionSeniors have until the end of the year to select the plan they'd like under Medicare Part D. Host Tess Vigeland asks health policy analyst Jack Hoadley how to choose the right one.Source: Marketplace Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 9:46 pm Instant Syllabus"Ivy League university turns crisis into coursework." » E-Mail This » Add to Del.icio.us Source: NPR Blogs: Planet Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 9:34 pm Santander to cut 1,900 jobs in UKThe Spanish bank is to cut about 8 per cent of its 23,000 UK employees as it integrates the acquisitions that have made it one of the country's largest lendersSource: Financial Times - US homepage | 12 Dec 2008 | 9:08 pm Oil down nearly $2, pares losses with Wall StreetNEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil prices settled nearly $2 lower on Friday after the collapse of a $14 billion rescue plan for U.S. automakers kept Wall Street and oil markets volatile.Source: Reuters: Business News | 12 Dec 2008 | 8:52 pm Oil slides after US auto bailout collapse (AFP)
Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 12 Dec 2008 | 8:50 pm Serwer: 'Financial psychopaths' wreak havocWith everything that has happened on Wall Street over the past 18 months, you'd think we had seen just about everything right? Wrong!Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 12 Dec 2008 | 8:21 pm Boyd Gaming Files To Raise Cash (BYD)
Boyd did not name any formal underwriters in the filing. The use of proceeds was also the traditional "for general corporate purposes." Boyd has endured a very tough year and in a very tough economy that is expected to only get tougher. Shares are up marginally today by more than 1%. But at $4.09, they are still down well over 80% from their highs. Its market cap is only about $360 million.
Jon C. Ogg Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 12 Dec 2008 | 8:17 pm Global stocks: Negative end to week's tradingEuropean shares closed lower overnight (NZT) amid a global stocks sell-off on worries the US auto industry may go bust after the Senate refused to grant it a US$14 billion lifeline. However, losses were not as sharp as earlier...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 12 Dec 2008 | 8:05 pm Pound in fifth day of euro lowsThe pound has fallen to a fresh low against the euro, while the dollar declines on a US bail-out plan failure.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 12 Dec 2008 | 7:42 pm Can we see the bottom from here?With the big exceptions of the auto industry and Bernard Madoff, things weren't so bad this week on Wall Street. Trader Andy Brooks and Fortune magazine's Leigh Gallagher tell Kai Ryssdal they see a few positive signs in this week's events.Source: Marketplace | 12 Dec 2008 | 7:42 pm EU urges world to follow its lead on climateEuropean Union leaders called on other countries to follow their example and adopt ambitious climate-change targets, rebuffing critics who said their latest plan conceded too much to heavy industrial pollutersSource: Financial Times - US homepage | 12 Dec 2008 | 7:38 pm Where the automakers go from here...The Treasury Department may dip into the $700-billion bailout fund to rescue the ailing auto industry. Kai Ryssdal speaks with John Dimsdale about what's next for the automakers.Source: Marketplace | 12 Dec 2008 | 7:31 pm Ominous Solar News: Job Cuts (SOLR)
It is only 25 employees and is said to be in the Merrimack solar furnace operations. The company says that "all other segments and at the company’s other locations are being maintained at full strength based on continued strong demand for its polysilicon reactors." But the GT Solar also says that this "reduction was related to slower directional solidification system (DSS) furnace production rates over the next six months as a result of the slower economy and several customer requests in this environment to delay shipments of DSS furnaces under existing contracts." The company also says that this lower capacity was reflected in the company's guidance already given in November. It also said that it has so far not received any order cancellations. This should not be a surprise. We have seen many solar companies reduce their expectations for 2009. But technically and reality frequently do not prevent any shock factors from catching people by surprise. This stock has been public only a few months and ranks among the poorest IPO performers in 2008. This may have been reflected in the prior numbers and may be reflected in the shares as the stock trades under $3.00. What is not reflected here is the poor PR that is going to come from this action. You can imagine the headlines at local news stations tomorrow:
Whatever the story is, the last time we have seen a layoff announcement come this quick since an IPO was from the dot.com stocks which came public in the spring and summer of 2000. Extremely low oil prices is taking its toll in many areas investors thought would be immune from the economy and immune from politics.
Jon C. Ogg Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 12 Dec 2008 | 7:27 pm Madoff pulls a PonziBroker Bernard Madoff has been arrested on charges that he ran a $50 billion Ponzi scheme, using money from old investors to pay off new ones. He may have even outdone Ponzi himself. Jeremy Hobson reports.Source: Marketplace | 12 Dec 2008 | 7:22 pm Pension, retirement-fund rules easedCongress has given corporations and retirees a break by letting businesses delay payments to pension plans and relaxing rules on mandatory withdrawals from IRAs and 401k's for people over 70. Nancy Marshall Genzer reports.Source: Marketplace | 12 Dec 2008 | 7:13 pm Levitt, Foerster Discuss Madoff's $50 Billion Fraud ConfessionSource: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 12 Dec 2008 | 7:09 pm Defining 'Ponzi Scheme'Just before he was arrested on charges of federal securities fraud Thursday, fund manager Bernard L. Madoff is alleged to have told his employees that his firm was "basically, a giant Ponzi scheme." Vinny Catalano, president of the New York-based investment firm Blue Marble, says a Ponzi scheme involves borrowing from Peter to pay Paul. But it doesn't stop there. "A Ponzi scheme is what they call a fraudulent investment," he says. For an investment fund, the process starts when a fund manager approaches potential clients for money to invest. The clients loan the manager a certain amount, hoping to make a profit in the market. The hedge fund manager indeed begins sending the clients a regular check -- but the money isn't coming from profits in the market. Instead, the manager has gone to other clients and asked them for loans under the guise of investing in the market. He or she uses the new money to pay the old clients, making it look as though the initial investment is doing well. That's an illusion. "The actual returns to the investor come from new money that's raised," Catalano explains. "So you borrow from Peter, you pay Paul. Then you borrow from John to pay Peter. It just keeps going on and on, until the whole thing collapses of its own weight." One way Ponzi schemes unravel is when individual investors unwittingly interrupt the chain by asking for their money back. Only then do they realize they've been lied to about the source of their returns. The Ponzi schemer has put them in the position of lending to others without knowing they were taking that risk. How can people protect themselves from Ponzi schemes? Catalano advises researching fund managers and double-checking the paperwork involved. "Frankly, there's a fair amount of trust that goes into it," he says. » E-Mail This » Add to Del.icio.us Source: NPR Blogs: Planet Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 7:07 pm Daiwa's Moran Sees Some `Good Reports' on U.S. HousingSource: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 12 Dec 2008 | 7:06 pm Treasury signals rescue for carmakersThe US administration was scrambling to save Detroit's troubled car industry, as General Motors said it was closing most of its North American manufacturing plants for the month of January in the wake of the Senate's failure to agree a $14bn loan for GM and ChryslerSource: Financial Times - US homepage | 12 Dec 2008 | 6:57 pm Japan unveils emergency measures on economyJapan unveiled a package of "emergency measures" for its recession-mired economy, pledging Y4,000bn ($43.8bn) in spending and tax cuts and Y3,000bn in promised credit for companies as well as raising its limit for public fund injections for financial institutions to Y12,000bnSource: Financial Times - US homepage | 12 Dec 2008 | 6:54 pm Gas prices down, confidence up?Gas prices are down and the mood of consumers is surprisingly up. Is cheap gas the cause for rising consumer confidence? Sally Herships reports.Source: Marketplace | 12 Dec 2008 | 6:48 pm The Inevitable Recapitalization of Charter (CHTR)
If you have been a reader of ours this is of no surprise. In our weekly "10 Stocks Under $10" letter, we have frequently referred to this as one of the top recapitalization candidates which would not be favorable for stockholders. In fact, we have even labeled this one as a takeoff on a biblical verse as "walking through the Valley of the Shadow of Debt." The company this morning it had 7.3% revenue growth and its net customer additions grew more than 50%. Charter noted that its cash and equivalents as of December 10 was in excess of $900 million. As of its most recent balance sheet, Charter also had over $21 billion in long-term debt and almost $24 billion in total liabilities. Unfortunately, the company is waiting until there is very limited access to the capital markets. If the bondholders don't want to seize control of a highly leveraged cable operator, then they may have to enter into discussions with the company. The strategy of waiting until there is limited access to capital markets is an all-or-none Hail Mary pass. It leaves the options on all sides very limited. The company cannot claim that it had hopes that this would change. It is not a new situation. Management's only defense is that they did not want to read in media and analyst reports what was being said about the company so that it could focus on operations. If that defense is employed, then an endorsement of driving companies into the dirt will be given the proverbial green-light. This was also added to our list of companies which are unlikely to make it in their current forms in 2009. That list was updated last night.
Jon C. Ogg Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 12 Dec 2008 | 6:40 pm Taking Stock: Keeping the faithIn these tough economic times, your faith may be the only thing pulling you through. Kai Ryssdal talks with Rev. Mark Bozzuti-Jones, who preaches from the pulpit at Trinity Church on Wall Street.Source: Marketplace | 12 Dec 2008 | 6:39 pm GM slashes production in North AmericaDETROIT (Reuters) - General Motors Corp is slashing its first-quarter North American production by 60 percent compared with the same period this year, in response to a collapse in U.S. vehicle demand.Source: Reuters: Business News | 12 Dec 2008 | 6:35 pm European stocks close down on US car sector fears (AP)
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 12 Dec 2008 | 6:33 pm European stocks close down on US car sector fears (AP)
Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 12 Dec 2008 | 6:33 pm Madoff Fallout StartsHedge fund manager Bernard L. Madoff is in a world of trouble. Madoff now stands accused of pulling investors into a Ponzi scheme -- think borrow from Peter to pay Paul, borrow from Ann to pay Peter, etc. Meanwhile, Madoff's clients are in a world of pain.Total losses could reach $50 billion. The accounting has begun. » E-Mail This » Add to Del.icio.us Source: NPR Blogs: Planet Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 6:25 pm Deconstructing your consumptionWith the holidays upon us and the financial crisis hurting our pocketbooks, commentator Rob Walker tells us why it's a good time to look at our spending habits.Source: Marketplace | 12 Dec 2008 | 6:11 pm WTO abandons plan for trade talksWorld Trade Organization chief Pascal Lamy says there is not enough consensus to resume world trade talks this year.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 12 Dec 2008 | 6:03 pm JCPenney’s Doghouse is Best in ShowIf you haven’t seen the Doghouse video yet, you’re not only missing an entertaining piece of film, but also a fantastic example of how one company has: 1. taken a a proactive move to turn a negative into a positive 2. bypassed cheesy TV commercials and product placement/integration 3. taken viral marketing to the next level Instead of sulking away after a sexy video claiming to promote JCPenney, but not actually produced by them, hit inboxes last summer, the company fought back. In the process, they’ve created a masterful vial campaign. B.L. Ochman at Advertising Age explains why the Doghouse video went viral:
I wanted to make sure the video was actually put out by the retailer, and it is. The home page for the promotion provides a way to get out of the doghouse: JCPenney Jewelers. They’ve even included an interactive way to send warnings or put men into the doghouse, therefore spreading the video further. Brilliant, JCPenney! Bravo Source: Business Pundit | 12 Dec 2008 | 6:03 pm Fund boss held 'for $50bn fraud'A US hedge fund manager is arrested and charged with securities fraud, in one of the biggest fraud cases yet.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 12 Dec 2008 | 5:46 pm World stocks tumble as US scrambles to save auto industry (AFP)
Source: Yahoo! News: Stock Markets News | 12 Dec 2008 | 5:44 pm HBOS shareholders back takeoverHBOS shareholders approve the takeover deal with Lloyds TSB but a gloomy trading update sends its shares down 22%.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 12 Dec 2008 | 5:33 pm GM Idling Plants In Cost Cuts (GM)General Motors (NYSE: GM) is finally taking a step in the obvious direction. The company is now apparently cutting about 250,000 units of production in the first quarter. This will be accomplished via temporary shut downs of its manufacturing and assembly plants for about 30% of the first quarter in 2009. Some of the cuts include numbers previously given, but some do not. UPDATE TO STORY (12:31): The Detroit Free Press first broke this data and a press release has now confirmed the data. This is a scenario where almost everyone is at fault. It is not just a union problem, it is not just an economic problem, and it is not just a management problem. We now believe Rick Wagoner's chances of staying on as Chairman & CEO are growing more and more slim. We named him as a CEO TO GO FOR 2009 and the chances of his departure (willingly or forced) are rising each day. Like it or not, major changes are coming to this U.S. automaking industry. Management is going to be under a microscope. The UAW is going to have to accept that its ranks are going to earn less money. More dealerships are likely to shrink or go under. And these companies are going to have to continue shrinking. The list goes on.
Jon C. Ogg Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 12 Dec 2008 | 5:31 pm Auto fearsUS carworkers express their fears for the futureSource: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 12 Dec 2008 | 5:31 pm In crisis, mutual funds fail to speak up (Reuters)Reuters - Lawmakers are angry and individual investors are livid. But if mutual funds are mad, they sure aren't showing it.Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 12 Dec 2008 | 5:30 pm Santander to shed 1,900 UK jobsSpanish bank Santander says it will cut 1,900 jobs in its three UK businesses - Abbey, Alliance & Leicester and Bradford & Bingley.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 12 Dec 2008 | 5:24 pm As GM bailout falters, GMAC races its own deadline (Reuters)Reuters - The auto and mortgage finance company GMAC LLC raced on Friday to meet a self-imposed deadline to complete a debt swap that would qualify it for federal aid, and avoid what analysts called a potential bankruptcy.Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 12 Dec 2008 | 5:20 pm What's With Japanese Stocks?Twitter pal @jayrosen_nyu checks in with a query: Will you explain to us today why, when a deal to save U.S. auto makers collapses, the Japanese market goes down? Why not up? I may have more on this in the podcast tonight, but the short answer appears to be that the Japanese economy depends on exports to countries like the U.S. Japanese investors get nervous at any sign that more Americans might be losing their jobs or feeling anxious enough to curb spending. Still, on first thought, you might expect Japanese automakers to benefit if their U.S. competitors tank. But shares of Toyota dropped by 12 percent after the Senate spiked the auto bailout. Honda fell by nearly 15 percent. The Times of London has this take: If a major US automaker were effectively forced to liquidate its assets and inventory, the world's largest car market would be immediately flooded with hundreds of thousands of new cars at fire-sale prices. In that scenario, anyone selling Japanese cars at regular prices in America would lose out. » E-Mail This » Add to Del.icio.us Source: NPR Blogs: Planet Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 5:17 pm This Week’s Weird and Unusual JobsLet’s be honest. Most of us either know someone who is out of work, or we’re heading that direction ourselves. Fortunately, the economy of the weird always provides. If you’re willing to shovel snow for 12 hours at a time, dress up like a mermaid, or “cook” PBJ sandwiches for kids, you can still have an income. Check out what else you can do in this week’s unusual jobs: 1. Alaska: snow shovelers wanted 8 to 12 hours per snowfall, night and day shoveling, Ouch. Now hiring responsible, detail-oriented people for FULL-TIME evening/night positions. In the past few years, the gaming industry has exploded. Everyone is trying to find a career in one of the most interesting and exciting industries in California. Benefits include: Medical 4. Maui: Mermaid Models WANTED! We are currently looking for Mermaids. For Inde FILM Projects. Calendars, Posters , Web etc. We do Modeling Trade for photos and we Pay for larger projects. * Compensation: We do Modeling Trade for photos and we Pay for larger projects. Usually $100 for 2 hours at the beach or waterfall. 1 hour to get into costume and an hour for shooting Film or photos! 5. Hawa’ii: Gogo Dancer (Bellagio - Club Black Jack) Need a young gogo dancer. Send current full body photo from the last six months and a contact number. Current position is open and will hire immediately. Best views in the house, if you can handle being stared at for six hours at a time.
I will be filming with National Geographic in January. I have a high definition camera and housing with lots of experience. Aloha You are cool enough to work for National Geographic, but you need a job, too. Huh? We can’t find the treasure! Won’t you help us? Well, actually: 8. Austin: Cook for daycare - Learning Center Tic-Tac-Toe Learning Center is looking for a person to cook snacks and meals for our daycare in NW Austin. Great hours for stay at home mom 9:30 - 1:00 Monday - Friday. Must specialize in ants on a log, de-crusted PBJ sqaures, and Tang. Happy Friday! Source: Business Pundit | 12 Dec 2008 | 5:12 pm Gold Stock Challenging 52-Week & All-Time Highs (RGLD, NEM, ABX, GG, GDX)
The company has not announced anything. Trading volume has been right around average except for a couple of days in late November when it spiked. And the company's P/E ratio for the trailing 12 months is about 62, while its forward P/E is around 34. Pretty rich for a mining stock. Well, Royal Gold doesn't mine anything except royalty payments. The company owns bits and pieces of royalty interests in dozens of mining operations. Real miners, like Newmont (NYSE:NEM), Barrick (NYSE:ABX), and Goldcorp (NYSE:GG), are off 52-week highs by as much as 75% and down for the year between 20% and 40% while Royal is up for the year by about 30%. Even the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) which tracks the gold miner stocks is down about 50% from recent highs. Keeping its hands clean seems to be paying off for Royal and its shareholders. But those P/E ratios do look pretty bubbly. With this company amassing a mountain of cash, maybe some are speculating a large one-time dividend (after a recent dividend hike) or maybe the company is going to be able to take advantage of lower prices making new deals more attractive for the company. Whatever the reason is, seeing a gold stock challenging its 52-week highs is an odd event in this market.
Paul Ausick Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 12 Dec 2008 | 4:27 pm Ray Davies, Econ GuruAdd Ray Davies to the list of people who say they had a hunch about the financial crisis. The Kinks leader tells the New York Daily News: "I'm not saying I saw it coming. But I had felt we might be on the cusp of something for quite some time." I like the Kinks as much as anyone, but I'm thinking this maybe files best under Broken Watches Still Right Twice a Day. » E-Mail This » Add to Del.icio.us Source: NPR Blogs: Planet Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 4:22 pm Goldman Sachs Softens On Oil, Metals, and Commodities
Oil was first on deck. Goldman Sachs now believes that oil may average $45.00 per barrel in 2009. Some reports are saying that Goldman Sachs had been calling for $200 oil, but that was actually a number from the "super-spike scenario" it was running in late 2007 and into 2008. Interestingly enough, Goldman Sachs sees oil in the $30's in the coming months. Aluminum targets were cut to $1,410 per tonne from $2,310. Its 3-month target was cut to $1,300 (down 36%) and 6-month target was cut to $1,380 (down 37%). Targets on copper were cut to $2,950 from $5,230 for 2009, but cut 30% to $2,700 for 3-months and cut about 40% to $2,850 for 6-months. Even nickel was cut was cut by almost 30% and zinc by almost 20%. About the only right spot was a call that gold may actually rise. Goldman Sachs raised its gold target by about 1% to $700 per ounce with a 6-month target up over 7% at $785 per ounce. Goldman's thesis here is that Gold will be used as a haven. That has not held true in this last market tank, so it will be interesting to see how this pans out. Another part of the thesis is for a reversal in the recent dollar gains. Goldman Sachs has also noted that many agriculture demand scenarios will hold up, although it has lowered expectations for corn and wheat. Part of the premise here is an economic bottoming out in mid-2009 with a recovery starting in late-2009. The problem with making these assumptions is that the direction of 2009 is highly dependent upon the wheels not flying off the car. Literally in this case. Goldman believes stability or moderate increases could be seen in late 2009 and another upturn possible in 2010 after the economy recovers and as stimulus packages are being more effective and noticed in the economy. If Goldman Sachs is correct, then we won't have to worry about inflation at all in 2009. Stagflation is never good. But it turns out the deflation is perhaps the biggest fear of them all. No wonder short-term Treasury yields are effectively at ZERO PERCENT.
Jon C. Ogg Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 12 Dec 2008 | 4:08 pm Retirement dreams unravelFor thousands of New Zealanders nearing retirement the glow has gone from what should be their golden years. Their savings have been hit by the unprecedented convergence of a slowing property market and domestic recession, falling...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 12 Dec 2008 | 4:00 pm Brian Gaynor: Multitasker testing multiple loyaltiesRichina Pacific shareholders face a difficult decision at a special meeting in Auckland on Monday. The company, which has been a poor performer under the stewardship of Richard Yan, is proposing a complex amalgamation which will...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 12 Dec 2008 | 4:00 pm World Cup CEO blasts business for lack of unityNew Zealand's Rugby World Cup chief Martin Snedden has slammed the business community for its lack of cohesion and says he has major concerns the country will miss out on significant benefits from the event if a strategic body is...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 12 Dec 2008 | 4:00 pm Liam Dann: Let's hope party generation keeps supplying the snacksThe baby boomers were supposed to be the lucky generation. No depression, no world war - sex, drugs and rock'n'roll in the 60s and 70s and then... Well actually the 80s, 90s and the 2000s haven't been quite so flash for many in...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 12 Dec 2008 | 4:00 pm Bank of America to cut 30,000 jobsBank of America says it expects to cut 30,000 to 35,000 jobs over the next three years, as it faces a deteriorating economic environment and tries to absorb Merrill Lynch. The final number could be even higher, analysts say. The...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 12 Dec 2008 | 4:00 pm Services on Telecom lines popular, says commissionServices offered over Telecom's copper local loop by its competitors are proving popular, according to a monitoring report by the Commerce Commission. "Unbundled copper local loop is a new product wholesaled directly by Telecom's...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 12 Dec 2008 | 4:00 pm Mary Holm: Flaw in KiwiSaver plan fixedQ: With the new changes to KiwiSaver, "contributions to KiwiSaver will be lowered to 2 per cent of the weekly wage, matched by Government", the Herald said this week. "However, the changes (proposed before the election) meant those...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 12 Dec 2008 | 4:00 pm Jet delivery still a dreamBoeing has further delayed the initial test flight and delivery of its 787 Dreamliner, citing the impact of a recent strike and lingering production problems. The Chicago-based aerospace company said yesterday it was pushing back...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 12 Dec 2008 | 4:00 pm Earnings Warnings Hardly Affecting Many Stocks (LSCC, UTX, STLD, FUL, WAT)
Lattice Semiconductor (NASDAQ: LSCC) issued an earnings and revenue warning last night saying its expects a sequential revenue drop of 12% to 16% rather than flat to -4%. With shares close to $1.00 this might be all in the stock, but it joins the semiconductor warnings game. Shares are up a tad, but less than 1% at $1.28; 52-week trading range is $1.04 to $4.00. Stock trades at under tangible book value as long as its cash balances hold up. United Technologies (NYSE: UTX) predicted that revenue would decline by 3.3% in 2009 and it put earnings at plus or minus 5% and expects the economic deterioration to cause a drop in revenues next year. $4.90 is the pivot point that is the basis of a +/-5%, and First Call had estimates at $5.03 for 2009. Shares are actually up by a fraction of a percent after spending the first 25 minutes of trading and the pre-market in negative territory. Steel Dynamics (NASDAQ: STLD) guided for earnings to come at a loss of -$0.35 to -$0.40 versus $0.15 First Call consensus estimates. What the company said was that it believes the drop in scrap metals has run its course and may start to improve. Wall Street is trusting this as shares are up less than 1% at $10.85. Its 52-week trading range is $5.18 to $40.92. H.B. Fuller (NYSE: FUL) warned and gave guidance of $0.24 EPS versus $0.39 First Call consensus estimates. The adhesives and chemicals company said revenues were put at roughly $350 million, versus $367.58 million as the First Call consensus. Shares are down 1.5% at $13.84. Waters Corp. (NYSE: WAT) is one of the few which is trading way off on earnings warning. The analytical instrument manufacturer warned that revenue and earnings would be under expectations as new orders were not completed. Waters sees revenue at $410 million to $420 million for the quarter, yet analysts were looking for almost $450 million and the lowest estimate was $441 million. This one has also taken four analyst downgrades this morning from Deutsche Bank, Leerink Swann, Baird, and Cowen. Shares are down 16% at $35.14. Based upon what we are seeing from the trends in earnings warnings, if a company is only going to fall short of estimates by 10% or 15% then they better get that data out while Wall Street is still in a decent mood before the holiday bills and pink slips coincide with each other in January and February. We did not include the financial firms nor any companies who are entirely tied to the auto industry in any of this analysis. The reasons should be evident as to why.
Jon C. Ogg Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 12 Dec 2008 | 3:40 pm Where Was the S.E.C.?Here's what we know: The Securities and Exchange Commission was alerted to Bernard Madoff's suspicious returns several times during the past decade. The S.E.C. won't likely be forthcoming with these answers, but that shouldn't stop Madoff's investors from demanding them. Related LinksHedge Fund Managers Not Earning Their Keep Small Foundations Get Adventurous The Million Dollar Active vs Passive Wager Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 12 Dec 2008 | 3:30 pm Wanted: Guy Who Can Stack 22 Bricks on His HeadLike this man from Bangladesh: Office skills don’t come in terribly handy in those parts, do they? Source: Business Pundit | 12 Dec 2008 | 3:00 pm Big 3 Look To White HouseThe U.S. Senate spiked a bailout for the Big 3 automakers yesterday. Let's start in Detroit. From the Detroit Free Press: Editorial: A dreadful outcome for Detroit/World markets drop on rescue rejection/ Hope for auto rescue turns to White House. From the Miami Herald: Retail, wholesale prices fall again in November. From the BBC: Former NASDAQ chair charged with $50 billion fraud. From the Cleveland Plain Dealer: American Greetings cuts 175+ jobs/ Bank of America plans up 35,000 job cuts. » E-Mail This » Add to Del.icio.us Source: NPR Blogs: Planet Money | 12 Dec 2008 | 2:07 pm The Auto WreckIf the economy wasn't ugly enough, here comes the year-end highway pileup in the fog. The two auto makers have warned that they could run out of cash in the next few weeks. Ford Motor says it is in better shape and was not asking for aid, though it supported the rescue package. What happens now? There may still be a last-minute rescue, but a continued political impasse would intensify the economic turmoil, further depressing the labor market and creating more uncertainty among consumers and in the financial markets. As Edward Hadas on Breakingviews notes, "The worse options are still on the table." Sign of a Bottom? Pedal to the Medal on a Rescue Worst of Times Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 12 Dec 2008 | 1:30 pm
|