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Can Rentek Catch A Break? (RTK)The Emergency Economic Stabilization Act (aka, the Wall Street bailout bill) did more than provide $700 billion of taxpayer funds to jump start the economy. The legislation also included the Energy Improvement and Extension Act aimed at encouraging continued development of alternative energy sources. Rentek Inc. (AMEX:RTK) was recently touting what it gained from the new legislation. But shares have been gutted in recent selling and closed yesterday well under the $1.00 critical mass level at $0.6899 as speculative stocks and alternative energy stocks have been killed. The company noted extended and expanded excise tax credits for fuels created from the Fischer-Tropsch process (coal-to-liquids). Of particular importance to Rentek was the extension of the credit to include jet fuel, which the company plans to produce at its proposed plant in Natchez, Mississippi. Rentek also plans to take advantage of the new legislation's incentives to capture and sequester carbon emissions or to use the captured carbon in tertiary recovery of crude oil. Rentek can certainly use the help. It's cash flow from operations has been negative, and growing, for the past three years, and analysts are not expecting positive results for the rest of 2008 or 2009. And with financing nearly impossible to come by, the new incentives for alternative fuels could be too little, too late for Rentek.
Paul Ausick Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:22 pm Retailers report weak September sales (AP)
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:18 pm European shares claw back lossesEuropean stock markets recover some of their hefty early losses following co-ordinated rate cuts in the UK, Europe and the US.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:16 pm Monsanto quarterly loss shrinks, record sales seenKANSAS CITY, Missouri (Reuters) - Giant agricultural technology company Monsanto Co posted on Wednesday a smaller fourth-quarter loss on record revenues, as herbicide and seed sales climbed.Source: Reuters: Business News | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:15 pm Fed, central banks cut ratesLONDON/NEW YORK (Reuters) - Central banks around the world cut interest rates in unison on Wednesday in a joint response to the global financial crisis, giving a boost to battered stock markets.Source: Reuters: Business News | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:14 pm Fed, central banks cut rates (Reuters)
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:14 pm Central banks launch rate cutCentral banks around the world launched an emergency 0.5% cut in interest rates to tackle the global financial crisis that has seen banks refuse to lend to each other and a slowdown in economic activity. The euro and sterling rallied on the news, while equities rebounded and gold slipped backSource: FT.com - US homepage | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:10 pm Central banks in shock rate cutThe US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of England all cut interest rates.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:07 pm Wal-Mart September sales miss view; keeps forecastNEW YORK (Reuters) - Wal-Mart Stores Inc reported a slightly lower-than-expected 2.4 percent rise in September sales at U.S. stores open at least a year on Wednesday, but kept its forecast for third-quarter earnings.Source: Reuters: Business News | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:06 pm Wal-Mart September sales miss view; keeps forecast (Reuters)
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:06 pm Nikkei dives 9.4 percent, biggest 1-day fall since '87TOKYO (Reuters) - The Nikkei average plunged 9.4 percent on Wednesday, its biggest drop since the 1987 stock market crash, as growing fears of a global recession led investors to wipe $250 billion off the value of Tokyo shares.Source: Reuters: Business News | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:06 pm BlackBerry takes touch-screen world by StormResearch in Motion Wednesday launched a new touch-screen version of its BlackBerry blockbuster, turning the heat on rivals in the consumer segment ahead of the crucial holiday season.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:03 pm Bank of America prices $10 bln share offer at $22 a shareNEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Bank of America Corp. priced its secondary offering of 455 million shares at $22 a share Tuesday to raise $10 billion for its acquisition of Merrill Lynch & Co. and buttress its balance sheet against deepening losses.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:02 pm World stocks down despite central bank cutsLONDON (Reuters) - Stock markets across the world were lower on Wednesday despite coordinated interest rate cuts by world central banks designed to ease fears about the worst financial crisis in nearly 80 years.Source: Reuters: Business News | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:01 pm World stocks down despite central bank cuts (Reuters)
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:01 pm Fed: Emergency cutThe Federal Reserve, working in coordination with other central banks worldwide, enacted an emergency interest rate cut on Wednesday.Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:01 pm Oil prices slip on global woesRead full story for latest details.Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:58 am Europe Markets: Europe shares rebound off lows after global interest-rate cutsEuropean shares erase much of their early slump, reacting to a series of interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and other major central banks.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:55 am Costco profit up 7 percentNEW YORK (Reuters) - Costco Wholesale Corp reported a higher quarterly profit on Wednesday as price-conscious shoppers headed to the discount retailer's warehouse locations for bargains on food and gasoline.Source: Reuters: Business News | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:52 am MarketWatch First Take: Global economy needs more than rate cutsThis is not good, folks. The coordinated cuts from world's central banks sends a powerful message, but it may not be the one investors want to hear.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:51 am The Fed: Fed, major central banks slash rates in coordinated easingThe U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the European Central Bank and other major central banks all moved to slash key interest rates Wednesday as they struggle to head off global financial turmoil that has threatened to throttle world economic growth.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:48 am Wal-Mart (WMT) September Sales A Bit Light, Who Cares?
Wal-Mart's revenues were up almost 5% to $22.5 million. Most large store chains would lay down their lives for that. International sales were up over 7% to $9.4 million. The most impressive figures of all were from super-discount division Sam's Club where revenue moved up 8% The news is evidence that the consumer is still in the market buying essentials, but refuses to spend more than he absolutely has to. This would bode ill for stores that sell anything at a premium. Macy's (M) better get ready for a hard holiday season. Wal-Mart missed numbers? Not by any sane standards. Douglas A. McIntyre Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:47 am Indications: U.S. stock futures rise on coordinated rate cutsU.S. stock futures turned higher Wednesday after the Federal Reserve and other central banks stepped in with coordinated half-point rate cuts in a bid to stem the credit crisis that had locked up financial markets.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:47 am Wal-Mart sales boosted by food and clothingWal-Mart Stores reported September sales Wednesday that were at the low-end of of its own forecast as its mostly paycheck-to-paycheck customers continued to pull back on discretionary purchases other than clothing and groceries.Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:45 am Rescue plan for two banks' saversSavings bank ING Direct is buying up more than £3bn of deposits held by British savers with two Icelandic-owned banks.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:45 am Top Pre-Market Analyst Upgrades (AMAG, ANDE, BAC, BMC, CDNS, CTXS, IPAR, JEF, MDR, MYGN, NUVA, SYMC)These are some of the top pre-market analyst upgrades we are seeing this Wednesday morning:
Jon C. Ogg Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:43 am Tunnel fire hits Eurotunnel trafficThe blaze in the Channel Tunnel last month cost Eurotunnel €22 million in lost revenues, the company revealed today.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:38 am Top Pre-Market Analyst Downgrades (AUTH, DD, HST, RNWK, RLH)These are some of the top individual analyst downgrades we are seeing very early this Wednesday morning:
Jon C. Ogg Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:34 am Europe shares pare losses after rate moveEuropean equity markets pared early losses on Wednesday after the world's central banks unveiled co-ordinated rate cuts to quell the deepening financial crisisSource: FT.com - US homepage | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:33 am Earnings Watch: Updates, advisories and surprisesA roundup of the latest corporate earnings reports and what companies are saying about future quarters.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:31 am London Markets: British stocks rebound after global rate cutsShares in London skid to a level not seen in nearly five years on Wednesday, with banks falling sharply even after the U.K. government pledged to shore up the sector with a 50 billion pound capital injection.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:26 am Text of decision from Fed, other central banksText of the statement from the Federal Reserve and other central banks.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:22 am Citigroup Cuts Ford (F) And GM (GM) To "Sell"
According to MarketWatch, "After maintaining a cautious stance on automaker stocks throughout the past several months, the risk-reward balance has tilted decidedly negative with the continued tightening of global credit conditions," the broker said Douglas A. McIntyre Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:14 am Stock futures leap as central banks slash rates (Reuters)
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:10 am Stock futures leap as central banks slash ratesNEW YORK (Reuters) - Stock index futures turned positive on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates in concert with other global central banks to calm markets.Source: Reuters: Business News | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:10 am Stock futures leap as central banks slash rates (Reuters)
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:10 am Fed orders emergency rate cut to 1.5 percentWASHINGTON -- The Federal Reserve, acting in coordination with other global central banking authorities, cut a key U.S. interest rate by half a percentage point Wednesday to steady an economy teetering on a collapse reminiscent of the 1929 stock market crash.Source: L.A. Times - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:10 am UK launches bank bail-outBritain's largest banks are to be part-nationalised after the government took the momentous decision to pump tens of billions of pounds of public money into the sector to avert a banking collapseSource: FT.com - US homepage | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:08 am Central banks make emergency rate cutsThe Bank of England made an emergency half-point rate cut today, joining four other central lenders in reducing borrowing costs in another attempt to restore global financial stability.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:06 am Currencies: Global equity sell-off sends yen soaringThe British pound erases earlier losses against the U.S. dollar, bouncing back in choppy trade after the British government announces a 50 billion pound ($83 billion) plan to re-capitalize and shore up the nation’s ailing banking sector.Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 8 Oct 2008 | 11:01 am Rescue plan for UK banks unveiledThe UK government announces the details of a £50bn ($88bn) rescue plan for the UK banking system.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:53 am Extra help for Icesave customersChancellor Alistair Darling says he will ensure all UK savers with the closed Icelandic internet bank Icesave get all their money back.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:52 am Google (GOOG) Tries To Make Money On YouTube, Again (AAPL)(AMZN)
But, Google's stock is down to $350, a drop from a 52-week high of $747, so investors are beginning to worry about the search company's earnings prospects, In an effort to get YouTube's revenue on track, users will be allowed to download music from Apple (AAPL) iTunes or the Amazon (AMZN) music store. Watch the music video then buy the song. The trouble is that consumers are already used to going to iTunes. The content there is neatly arranged and can be easily searched. Who wants to wander around YouTube for hours looking for music video and then moving to the Apple store to get the tunes? Consumers will probably watch music videos at YouTube. They already do. They may pirate the songs, but they probably won't buy them. Apple's iTunes has that market locked up. Douglas A. McIntyre Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:40 am UK government steps in to help banksThe British government announced a 50 billion pounds ($87.5 billion) plan on Wednesday to partly nationalize major banks, with taxpayers taking stakes in a bid to shore up a financial...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:36 am Land of Leather directors defer pay as profits dive 88%Land of Leather's four directors and some senior managers have agreed to defer taking part of their salaries during the current difficult economic climate after the furniture retailer's pre-tax profits plunged by 88 per cent.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:32 am Pfizer's (PFE) Little White Lie
Pfizer (PFE) is the latest alleged cheater. It could not leave well enough on sales of one of its most popular drugs so it may have decided to bend the rules. According to The Wall Street Journal, "Pfizer Inc. marketers urged the suppression of medical studies that reached unfavorable conclusions about the effectiveness of the company's big-selling drug Neurontin, according to internal Pfizer documents submitted in a lawsuit against the company." It amounted to a cover-up which probably began with the company consulting with Richard Nixon for advice. As might be expected, Pfizer is fighting charges that it did anything wrong. It did not try to influence medical research. It did not burn documents of delete e-mails. No doctors were given envelops filled with $100 bills. Pfizer's problem is that no one will believe its defense. It has turned out that the alteration of drug testing or suppression of trial data has happened too many times before. The trial information on vitamins and aspirin may even be wrong. Where was the FDA when those products came out? Douglas A. McIntyre Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:30 am MarketAxess Announces Monthly Volume Statistics for September 2008NEW YORK, Oct. 8 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (Nasdaq: MKTX), the operator of a leading electronic trading platform for U.S. and European high-grade...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:30 am SectorWatch.biz Issues MarketStats for Healthy and Organic Companies ORGC, DF, WFMI, LWAY, COIN, and TOFIRVINE, Calif., Oct. 8 /PRNewswire/ -- SectorWatch.biz announces the availability of MarketStats for organic food companies and the release of articles and message boards...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:30 am Oil prices tumble close to one-year lowsOil prices sank close to one-year low points on Wednesday as plunging stock markets generated fresh fears of slowing economic growth and in turn weaker global demand for energy, traders...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:23 am Hop off the 'beat the market' bandwagonQuestion: I have had several money managers over the years from Merrill Lynch, to UBS to currently Wachovia. I am paying a fee of about 1% on average but am sure there are other fees that I don't know about. I'm not sure this is working. What should I do?Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:23 am Oil falls on economic slowdown fearsInvestor concerns that the U.S. credit crisis was enveloping the globe and will hurt demand for crude drove oil prices down Wednesday. For people worldwide worried about the erosion of...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:19 am BMW reports plunge in sales, blames financial crisisGerman carmaker BMW said Wednesday that the financial crisis led to a 15-percent plunge in unit sales in September, with deliveries in the United States alone dropping by more than a...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:14 am What A CDS Exchange Means To Debt Issuers & To You
CME and Citadel executed a non-binding term sheet on Tuesday to launch a joint venture company within 30 days. This will also be the first integrated Credit Default Swaps market and CME will act as the central counterparty. This venture will have its own board of directors and management team. Current CDS market participants have been invited to join as founding members and the exchange is allocating up to 30% of the equity in the venture. It is also offering certain market maker privileges to founding members to encourage participants to migrate existing positions and to trade new contracts on the platform. This new joint venture has also entered into preliminary licensing discussions with Markit, which is one of the financial information services companies that owns widely traded CDS indices and industry-standard CDS identifiers. But what does all of this mean? Credit default swaps are essentially insurance against the failure to repay debt or protection against an entire default of obligations. CDS's can even protect against rating downgrades and more. The problem today is that there are not truly liquid open exchanges where the public can see what is happening with credit spreads. Some even believe CDS markets can be manipulated rather easily. During the malaise of last week, credit default swaps were at levels never seen. That is part of why great firms such as General Electric (NYSE: GE) and Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) were having to pay up substantially for certain capital raises in recent days. That is also one of the reasons why Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A) was able to capitalize on the current situation. The current market is not perceived as being full of standardized contracts and standardized terms. This new venture aims to standardize the contracts. The existing trading is frequently done on spreads, and depending upon how you interpret its wording this new market aims to do this with fixed coupons for all the leading CDS indices and their underlying single-name components. This new market also will come with OTC market conventions, including credit event procedures. Considering that the CDS market is listed as a $45 trillion market in mid-2007 (International Swaps & Derivatives Association figure), you can see where a central marketplace and standardized terms would be helpful. Since these are essentially over-the-counter derivatives (OTC Derivatives), there is also counterparty risk in each transaction beyond normal market risk. In an environment where banks do not even want to lend to each other overnight, that becomes a serious issue. If, and it is a big "if," this is pulled off, then the actual counterparty risk will become much less reliant upon individual trading partners. CME has a well established clearing, settlement and risk management group. Citadel has become known as a strategic investor with high technology capabilities. This may also be true of existing mechanisms for trading CDS's, but the case against their liquidity and effectiveness today is mounting. It might be a bit premature to suddenly get the old hypothetical "AAA" spreads back to 35 basis points over treasuries with the spreads of "A" at 60 basis points and 100 basis points for "BBB" ratings (all hypothetical, but more historic than today's crazy spreads). But it will at least set the stage to normalize and standardize these spreads. In short, What happens if the cost of buying default insurance against a debt issuance is 500 basis points? Essentially that means that the issuer has to pay a full 5% more to borrow so that the borrower is protected against default. Add in the risk that the borrower is also taking on the counterparty risk of dealing with another firm, and it gets more complicated still. A standardized exchange will at work towards price discovery. It can't be expected to work overnight, but it is better than what is currently available. A new exchange will also allow for CME clearing to reducing bilateral credit risks. That will set the bar for capital requirements and higher trading in and out of positions. Over the recent weeks there has become a sudden and sharp need to reduce counterparty credit risks in the CDS market. This breakdown has been largely one of the major causes for the inability for companies to raise capital. If you have to pay 10% to raise capital and you have negative margin today or operate at 9% margin, then you have to go for leverage. That doesn't work in a de-leveraging environment. One other aspect it will fill is making for more transparency in the regulatory environment. We have been told how many regulators do not understand the risks in many OTC derivatives, including in CDS terms. Whether or not that is a norm or an exception is still an unfinished chapter. But the fewer variables and the more transparencies that exist, the more liquid these instruments will become and the easier they will be able to be monitored for risk management and regulation. It is highly unlikely that grandmas and auto workers will start making credit spread bets. It is highly unlikely that you will have boiler room brokers pitching these to the public. But there is at least a chance now that the hundreds of regular participants who have to access this market and the potentially thousands of outlying participants will begin to have the resemblance of something that looks more and more like a traditional liquid market. Some have argued that it is already efficient even keeping these as OTC. But the actions taken in recent weeks have probably thrown that out the window for some time. This is still subject to completion of definitive agreements and necessary regulatory approvals. If this CDS Exchange really comes to fruition, the ultimate cost will be lower borrowing costs and more liquidity for the companies and entities which need to borrow funds for normal operations. That will also make it easier for investors to actually analyze the risks of investing in companies. Now they just have to survive and make it work. Some of the data from early this year is already outdated because evolution takes place so quickly now, but Time warned of this being the "next" next thing to worry about earlier this year. Investopedia also some has some good brief background materials on this and related topics if you want to learn more about these derivatives.
Jon C. Ogg Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:14 am Asian stock markets tumble after selloff in JapanSHANGHAI -- Led by a massive selloff in Japan, Asian stock markets tumbled today in reaction to the persistent gloom on Wall Street and the growing realization that the global credit crunch and economic...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:14 am Asian stock markets tumble after selloff in JapanSHANGHAI -- Led by a massive selloff in Japan, Asian stock markets tumbled today in reaction to the persistent gloom on Wall Street and the growing realization that the global credit crunch and economic downturn will hammer export companies.Source: L.A. Times - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:14 am Will China Save The US Financial SystemWhen it comes to the potential failure of the US economy and banking system, China has an especially large dog in the fight. The central government and a number of large banks own hundreds of billions of dollars in US Treasury notes and paper from companies including Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE). An American disaster could turn into one for China as well. According to Reuters, "speculation is swirling that Beijing could also chip in with a vote of confidence by pledging to hold onto its vast dollar assets and even buy more to help fund the massive bailout of the U.S. financial system now under way." The communists have become capitalists and they would like the transition to work out. While China's motives may be selfish, they may work. One of the greatest fears within the US financial system is that the government of the world's most populated company will succumb to despair about the American banking system and dump securities to save itself. Since US shareholders are in the midst of selling off US stocks, even at historically low valuations, a Chinese move to get out before things get worse is not out of the question. If China gives the US economy a thumbs up, it may be one of the keys to stabilizing the markets. Douglas A. McIntyre Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:11 am Treasury: no British savers will lose cash from Icesave collapseThe Treasury today guaranteed that no British customers of Icesave would lose their savings after the Icelandic online bank collapsed yesterday.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:10 am FINANCE GUY Helps Businesses Cut Costs and Increase Cash FlowBusinesses can make it through tough times by focusing and downsizing payroll costs without downsizing future growth potential ORLANDO, Fla., Oct. 8 /PRNewswire/ --...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:10 am Linens 'n Things to hasten store closings: report(Reuters) - Bankrupt U.S. home furnishings retailer Linens 'n Things sought to speed up closing its remaining 371 stores and begin its going-out-of-business sales to avoid competition from...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:08 am Linens 'n Things to hasten store closings: report (Reuters)Reuters - Bankrupt U.S. home furnishings retailer Linens 'n Things sought to speed up closing its remaining 371 stores and begin its going-out-of-business sales to avoid competition from other retail failures, Bloomberg said.Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:08 am Linens 'n Things to hasten store closings: report(Reuters) - Bankrupt U.S. home furnishings retailer Linens 'n Things sought to speed up closing its remaining 371 stores and begin its going-out-of-business sales to avoid competition from other retail failures, Bloomberg said.Source: Reuters: Business News | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:08 am Fire hits Eurotunnel's earningsEurotunnel says it lost 21m euros as a result of the fire in the Channel Tunnel which halted traffic last month.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:08 am Stock futures point to sharp losses on Wall StPARIS (Reuters) - Stock index futures were sharply down on Wednesday as deepening fears that the credit crisis would make more victims and drag the global economy into recession sent...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:06 am Construction Advances on Oregon Wine Country's First Luxury Inn & SpaThe Allison's model room makes debut NEWBERG, Ore., Oct. 8 /PRNewswire/ -- A clear vision of Oregon wine country's first luxury inn and spa is quickly developingSource: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 10:00 am The Stock Market In The Emergency Room, The Fed Cutting Rates To A Negative 2%
As patients come through the ER, doctors and nurses do their best to see that each person gets the best care available, that no one gets special treatment, and that patients are either discharged to home or moved on to in- patient care. The sad fact is that some people cannot be helped much. They leave as ill as when they came to the ER. Wall St. has decided that some companies do not deserve a shot at triage. Because the supply of credit is so limited, some firms will simply be allowed to die before they can be stabilized. These are not worth time or consideration. If the system failed, companies such as Ford (F), Morgan Stanley (MS), or Bank of American (BAC) would be crushed into dust in the matter of a few short hours of trading. Asking traders to take a step back to breathe hasn't been an option for several days. Investors believe that if they leave the room for even a moment, that when they return their investments will be have been destroyed To make matters worse, companies which may have been competitors but also had worked together for years have turned on each other like jackals. There are concerns that the collapse of Lehman may have been caused, in part, because JP Morgan (JPM) froze some of its assets. Whether that is true, it has the benefit of sounding true. Fratricide has become the order of the day among financial companies. If the market is starved for capital, someone won't make it. The competition is for who lives to see the next day. Making money has always been marked by a certain cynicism and blood lust. Traders like to talk about how they take no prisoners. That works well until everyone is a prisoner and the warden is the economy. Then the backbiting becomes counterproductive. The Fed has tried to steady the deep fear which influences almost every trade. It is unprecedented for a central bank to put $900 billion at its emergency lending window and to offer to buy hundreds of billions of dollars in commercial paper from non-financial companies. It is as close to a universal salvation program as a government can offer. Even that has not worked. Investors run from their own shadows. Each trader suffers from a sort of agoraphobia, afraid to leave his house. The Fed has run low on options. Bill Gross, bond market genius and head strategist at bond house mammoth Pimco, wants the US central bank to cut rates to 1%. That would seem to be less significant than the gesture of buying huge amounts of commercial paper, essentially lending money directly to American companies. In other words, there is little reason to think it would work because a 1% cut is a lesser measure than a capital infusion. From the standpoint of the Treasury and the Fed, there are not many cards left in the deck. The value of the bailout is already well above a trillion dollars between the capital put toward buying toxic assets and that being loaned to banks and brokerage houses on an emergency basis often in exchange for collateral that is worth little more than toilet paper. The total effort expended to save the economy is colossal. All that may be left is for the Fed to mainline capital into the entire system. To do that it would have to take the unprecedented measure of cutting rates to a negative 1% or 2%, essentially paying the financial system a premium to take money. Most analysts would look at that as a deranged approach in part because it has no precedent and no assurance that it will work while it puts taxpayers at horrible risk There is a better way to look at it. For each $100 billion in capital the Fed would loan out under this program, it would have to come up with annual interest of $2 billion.That risk is not greater than any other in the effort to save the financial system. In some ways it may be less. The principal probably carries very little risk at all. If the Fed cut to that level, prime lending rates at banks would drop. All of the prime-plus loans for everything from houses to small businesses would reset much lower. The reasons for borrowing would rise. The risk of lending would fall. Ludicrously low interest rates make more businesses and people creditworthy. The federal government has already done a number of things which no one believed it would ever do. A year ago, almost no one would have believed that we would see this kind of intervention in the fate of Bear Stearns, AIG (AIG), Fannie Mae (FNM), and Freddie Mac (FRE). No one imagined that the Treasury would bail out banks. Paulson and Bernanke have made it clear that they are willing to exhaust all options as they try desperately to save the patient, the economy on the gurney in the ER. Douglas A. McIntyre Source: 24/7 Wall St. | 8 Oct 2008 | 9:59 am Banks volatile after government rescue planLondon equities fell sharply on Wednesday after sharp sell-offs in the US and Asia but banks were offered some hope by a government plan to part-nationalise the sector. The FTSE 100 fell 4.8 per cent or...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 9:40 am Darling unveils bank rescueBritain's largest banks are to be part-nationalised after the government took the momentous decision to pump tens of billions of pounds of public money into the sector to avert a banking collapse.The scheme...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 9:38 am Sainsbury's silent on Hampton moveShares in J Sainsbury were hit early on Wednesday despite better-than-expected trade, as ripples from the global financial crisis reached the UK supermarket group.Uncertainty about property tycoon Robert...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 9:29 am Robert PestonWhy bank shares are falling but HBOS is bucking the trendSource: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 8 Oct 2008 | 9:28 am Brown and Darling commit £500 billion for bank bailoutGordon Brown and Alistair Darling set out a radical £500 billion package today to restore confidence in the UK banking sector and break the crippling logjam in credit markets.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 8 Oct 2008 | 9:28 am Shares tumble in black day for Asia marketsJapanese shares dropped 9.4 per cent their biggest one-day fall since 1987 in a grim day for Asia Pacific markets as fears deepened that more financial institutions would fail after the International...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 9:13 am Falls force Russian markets closeSharp declines in share prices prompt the closure of Russia's two key stock marketsSource: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 8 Oct 2008 | 8:59 am Iceland's biggest bank gets Swedish loanKaupthing, Iceland's biggest bank, received funding from Sweden as a smaller competitor was swallowed by emergency legislation, while the government negotiates a €4bn loan from RussiaSource: FT.com - US homepage | 8 Oct 2008 | 8:58 am Britain Announces Bank Bailout Worth Hundreds of BillionsAs European leaders continued to clash over measures to ease the financial crisis, Britain announced an $87 billion bailout for its banks.Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 8:56 am Tokyo Shares Lose 9.4 Percent as Other Asian Markets SlideJapanese stocks suffered their biggest one-day fall in more than 20 years as fear shook Asian markets and prompted a trading halt in Indonesia.Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 8:51 am Indonesia, Russia exchanges suspend tradeIndonesia suspended share trading indefinitely while Russia's most liquid stock exchange, the rouble-denominated MICEX, suspended trade for two days after blue chips posted double-digit losses in the first...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 8:46 am Banks tumble after government rescue planLondon equities fell sharply on Wednesday after sharp sell-offs in the US and Asia but banks were offered some hope by a government plan to part-nationalise the sector. The FTSE 100 fell 5.6 per cent or...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 8:28 am Russia exchanges suspend tradeRussia's most liquid stock exchange, the MICEX <.MCX>, has suspended trade until Oct. 10 from 1105 local time (0705 GMT) on Wednesday, MICEX said after its index of liquid shares fell 14...Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 8 Oct 2008 | 8:22 am Moscow to pump $37bn into biggest state institutionsRussia stepped up efforts to tackle the financial crisis with a commitment to pump $37bn in long-term loans into its biggest state banks, amid signs that the turmoil was spreading to the real economySource: FT.com - US homepage | 8 Oct 2008 | 8:00 am British government unveils massive financial rescue planLONDON The British government Wednesday unveiled a massive rescue plan for its ailing banking system after days of unrelenting bad news for the financial industry here.Source: L.A. Times - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 7:50 am London shares dive on UK government rescueShares in London regained some ground this morning following a sharp 7 per cent fall after Royal Bank of Scotland's stock rebounded on its commitment to take part in "certain of the measures" in the Government's historic £50 billion plan.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 8 Oct 2008 | 7:36 am European consensus on rescue plan is elusiveEU finance ministers agree to boost bank deposit insurance but as discord continues, Britain plans its own rescue package.The 27 finance ministers of the European Union agreed Tuesday to increase the amount of bank deposits insured by governments. But more extensive coordinated steps to address the spreading economic crisis remained elusive, and Britain launched its own plan to shore up its ailing banks. Source: L.A. Times - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 7:00 am Big chains a headache for small drugstoresIndependent shops that haven't been swallowed up are facing ruthless competition.The pharmacy business in Southern California is cutthroat. Just ask John Tilley, the owner of four small drugstores in Downey. Source: L.A. Times - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 7:00 am AIG fiddles while Wall Street burnsA week at the spa can ease the pain of a bailout for callous, overpaid executives.When the going gets tough, the tough get pedicures. Source: L.A. Times - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 7:00 am Keeping bank deposits safe may cost saversBanks will have to pay more to shore up the government's depleted deposit insurance fund. That may result in higher fees and lower interest rates.When it comes to the money in your bank account, security has a price. And it's going up. Source: L.A. Times - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 7:00 am Federal Reserve to buy up short-term commercial debtAbout $1.3 trillion in commercial paper will be eligible for purchase, senior officials say. The hope is to encourage financial firms to start lending again.The Federal Reserve said Tuesday that it would become a lender of last resort to corporate America and signaled a possible interest rate cut, but the stock market nose-dived again as the financial crisis continued to defy the best efforts of policymakers. Source: L.A. Times - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 7:00 am High-end restaurants on a tightrope of economic uncertaintyCelebrity chefs behind Melisse, Anisette, Craft and other deluxe dining spots try to lure recession-wary diners.PEOPLE always have to eat, but do they have to dine out? That's the question Southern California's top chefs are facing after the last few weeks of grim economic news. Source: L.A. Times - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 7:00 am EU agrees common action on banks crisisEuropean Union governments sought to put aside their differences on how to stop the financial whirlwind sweeping through Europe and announced agreement on a set of principles for rescuing troubled banksSource: FT.com - US homepage | 8 Oct 2008 | 6:26 am Snoopy Braves the Turbulent Skies (Today From Barron's)This leading insurer has lots going for it -- like its undervalued stock.Source: SmartMoney.com | 8 Oct 2008 | 5:57 am MUFG says no plans to back out on Morgan StanleyTOKYO (Reuters) - Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group , Japan's top bank, said it has no plans to back out of its $9 billion investment in Morgan Stanley , even as the global market sell-off has sent shares of the U.S. firm sharply lower.Source: Reuters: Business News | 8 Oct 2008 | 5:57 am Currency: Dollar fluctuates in lower rangeThe New Zealand dollar fluctuated in a range today but was generally lower. After falling to US61.70c in the early hours of Tuesday morning the NZ dollar recovered but not to the levels prior to the plunge. It was US62.47c at...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 5:47 am Citi seeks potential partners for Wachovia bid: report(Reuters) - Citigroup Inc is looking for potential partners in its bid for Wachovia Corp , seeking to wrest the upper hand from Wachovia's other suitor Wells Fargo & Co , the Wall Street Journal said, citing people familiar with the matter.Source: Reuters: Business News | 8 Oct 2008 | 5:34 am Investing In Our FutureThere has been little discussion about what $700 billion would buy if the federal government were not spending it on the bailout. Maybe we're too shell-shocked by this huge dollop of borrowed money to go through this exercise of "What if...?"For the sake of argument, however, here is a short list of what $700 billion would buy in the realm of science and technology:
I could go on, but you get the idea: Even a modest sliver of the Wall Street bailout could dramatically increase government support for research and development of science and technology in the U.S. This may be exactly what we need right now, to pitch a little cash toward a major effort to support and speed up our non-defense national research-and-development expenditure—which now accounts for less than one-half a percentage point of G.D.P., the lowest in nearly 50 years. Historically, human innovation has produced wonders and horrors, but more often than not dramatic new technologies have given the edge to nations, cultures, and civilizations that embrace them. Whether it was the invention of the wheel or of the microchip, those who failed to embrace science and technology tended to fail, or to be left behind. This is why the next president should launch an initiative akin to John F. Kennedy's call to put a man on the moon—with a nod to Franklin Roosevelt's Works Progress Administration during the Great Depression. The effort would employ not just Ph.D.'s, but workers of all levels of education and training for projects ranging from pure research to building things based on new technologies. Some innovations might be imminently practical, such as applying new computer systems and algorithms to managing the nation's infrastructure of air and ground traffic; applying technology to build green cars; and developing new materials for the thousands of highways and bridges in desperate need of upgrades. If this sounds pie-in-the-sky in an era of crisis deficits, let me throw out another number. The entire Works Progress Administration program, which employed millions and festooned America with state-of-the-art roads, bridges, and dams during a massive global depression, cost about $11.5 billion between 1935 and 1941. That's $159 billion in 2007 dollars for a stimulus that's not a one-time tax cut encouraging people to buy another iPod, but an investment in ideas and in capital assets. Not incidentally, it would also upgrade our deteriorating infrastructure—some of which hasn't been updated since the W.P.A. 70 years ago. Tacked onto a $700 billion bailout—which is really $1.6 trillion when Fannie, Freddie, and the rest are added in—what's another $159 billion, if it's used to actually build things that will last, and will make the nation more efficient and competitive? Call it the New Technology Initiative, or New Tech. The plan would articulate a few basic, but highly ambitious goals that would be determined by a series of meetings called by the president-elect. Attendees would represent a variety of points of view in science, technology, the environment, economics, labor, finance, and public policy; together they could set a national investment agenda. Once the president has made his decisions and consulted with Congress and other leaders in the U.S., he might then engage world leaders. The U.S. would be in a position of leadership—for a change—on critical global crises such as lessening carbon-dioxide emissions, and ending the world's dependency on oil. Some will howl that government is too incompetent and corrupt to handle such an initiative. But I can give you 700 billion reasons why it can't do worse than the private sector, which has brought the world to the brink of economic collapse. There is no shortage of ideas. Despite little help from Washington for the past seven years, entrepreneurs across America have been developing technologies for everything from green fuels and novel drugs to new materials to build roads. Some ideas won't work. Failure and waste will be part of the equation—as it always is, in private as well as public enterprises—although one critical element that may help temper this would be a leadership that inspires people to think beyond their personal gain, at least for a minute or two. When Barack Obama and John McCain talk about change, let's hope it includes a realization that real change means a recommitment to creativity and adaptation. We have made many mistakes as a species in using technologies that ultimately proved dangerous, but what choice do we have other than trying to learn and adapt with new and improved technologies? Much more than our economy is at stake—this is survival.Related Links Government Hypocrisy in GSE Bailout? Larry Summers Should the Bailout Reduce Other Government Spending? Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 8 Oct 2008 | 4:00 am No Yogi BearsChristine Day, the recently appointed C.E.O. of Lululemon Athletica, exhibits the kind of optimism usually reserved for religious leaders and self-help gurus."Even the Great Depression only lasted a certain number of years!" she chirps, by way of justifying the company's expansion plans in the face of a retail climate going more sour by the day. For those who aren't familiar with the budding specialty retailer from Canada, Lululemon is a purveyor of $90 yoga pants and $60 sports bras. Its stores have "guests" rather than customers and "educators" rather than employees. At the core of the brand's identity is a 31-point manifesto that includes such imperatives and affirmations as "dance, sing, floss, and travel"; " do one thing a day that scares you"; and, somewhat more oddly, "children are the orgasm of life." In short, this is the type of company that would seem to be on the endangered-species list at a time when consumers are becoming less and less brand-centric and buying purely on price. Investors appear to agree. The stock is down 60 percent since its high of $58 last October, underperforming peers like J. Crew, American Eagle, Urban Outfitters, or Gap for the period. But if Lululemon breaks the mold of the fad, overexpanding retailer doomed to Chapter 11 scrap heap, the story behind it may be in some numbers that have been overlooked well into the current retail recession. Lululemon averaged a stunning 34 percent same-store sales growth in 2007, and as of July, it still boasted an 18 percent comparable store sales gain from a year earlier. When Lululemon announced second-quarter earnings in September, it beat analyst expectations for the period while maintaining its full-year guidance. Analysts estimate that the retailer, which generated revenues of $275 million in 2007, averages sales per square foot around $1,000—by comparison, Gap's sales per square foot of $376 in 2007, and American Eagle's were $638. All of that explains why, of the nine analysts covering Lululemon, seven rate the stock as a "strong buy" or "buy," and two rate it as a "hold." Sharon Zackfia, a research analyst at William Blair & Company, explains the poor performance over the past year as a combination of jitters over changes in senior management and the stock experiencing the multiple compression that most retailers already underwent in 2007. Still, while others are being forced to shutter stores, Lululemon is expanding. It's looking to add 30 to 35 stores per year to its current count of 91, launching an e-commerce site next fall, and quietly moving beyond yoga and into product lines for running, dance, and Pilates. The hope inside the company is that Lululemon's customers are becoming devoted in a segment that has been chronically ignored. "The women's athletic market has long been underserved by industry behemoths that have simply offered smaller sizes of men's patterns as their female product," says Zackfia. While apparel spending overall has been one of the softest areas of consumer spending over the past year, activewear continues to be a bright spot. Zackfia estimates that the women's sports-apparel market in the U.S. is as large as $10 billion. "Activewear is a category where women continue to spend, especially as there becomes increased acceptability of multiple wearing occasions beyond simply exercising," explains Kelly Tackett, a senior consultant at TNS Retail Forward. Lululemon is not, by a long shot, the only retailer noticing the opportunity. J. Crew, American Eagle, Victoria's Secret, Gap, T.J. Maxx, J.C. Penney, and Wal-Mart are among the retailers shifting focus to activewear offerings through acquisitions or new product lines. But analysts such as Howard Tubin, a senior analyst with RBC Capital Markets, see Lululemon as strategically superior to these players due to its premium image and product designs that are fashionable as well as technically sophisticated. "Lululemon is one of a handful of retail apparel doing well right now," says Tubin. "The brand is unique, the grassroots marketing they do is unique, and the price point is relatively expensive, but people have continued to pay up for it." Lululemon might remind you of another "lifestyle brand" that became a pillar of yuppie culture after pioneering the $4 latte; perhaps it's no coincidence that Day came to Lululemon after more than 20 years at Starbucks, where she served most recently as president of the Asia Pacific group. But don't think Lululemon is Starbucks minus the stimulants. While the Seattle-based coffee giant fashioned a global expansion plan based on turning out ubiquitous, carbon-copy outlets, the cornerstone of Lululemon's strategy is maintaining a local, distinct feel to each store. Day says that the Lululemon values individualism over uniformity, an ethos which extends to each store's unique "community board" listing local fitness events to every outlet designing its own window displays. Lululemon has rejected traditional advertising in favor of converting local yoga teachers, dance teachers, and running coaches in advance of a store opening to create buzz in the community. The retailer also hosts free in-store yoga classes and fitness clinics (including "dog yoga," no less) to help build consumer familiarity and loyalty. Unlike many of its competitors, Lululemon has pursued an all-retail rather than wholesale approach, believing that the in-store experience and employing knowledgeable salespeople was integral to supporting the high price point. "I learned from Starbucks to be really focused on the core of the brand and to make sure that you protect it at all costs," says Day. "At Starbucks, we kind of moved on to Frappuccinos and Caramel Macchiatos before we really owned latte. So sometimes innovation, while it can drive new customers, also takes you away from your core business." Day stresses that while Lululemon's growth plans may seem aggressive, the near-term expansion goal is for just 200 stores in the U.S. and 45 in Canada—still small enough that the chain can continue to rely solely on affluent consumers. Giving some credence to Day's assertions, shares of Lululemon have added 17 percent over the past month—perhaps the beginning of a full recovery, but that's still far from a sure bet. Howard Tubin worries that in a period of rapid expansion, the retailer's necessarily time- and labor-intensive approach to opening new stores will be difficult to maintain. Lululemon's (appropriately) selective approach to real estate could also lead the retailer to fall behind with openings, putting pressure on current growth forecasts. And even given Lululemon's promising strategy, analyst Tackett points out that the exodus to value stores is a very real trend even amongst high-income households—and one that could persist and worsen. "We're increasingly worried that there will be fundamental shift in shoppers' preferences towards value-oriented retailers and brands," says Tackett. "Obviously the hope is that they come back when they have the money, but the concern is that the longer this goes on, the more entrenched the shopping behaviors will become." Related Links No Yogi Bears Morning Hemlines: Nexcen, Milan, Paris, Margiela, Theysken, McQueen, Project Runway, Burberry Holiday Forecast: Severe Chill Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 8 Oct 2008 | 4:00 am NZ shares pegging back some ground, down 1.8pcToday's slide in the New Zealand sharemarket appears to have been arrested, but the NZX still seems to be heading for a down day following the lead set overnight in the US and Europe. The NZX-50 index is now down 54 points, or...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 3:00 am McCain and Obama clash over economyJohn McCain and Barack Obama met for their first televised debate since the campaign soured into a string of personal attacks from the rival campaigns about the past associations of the candidatesSource: FT.com - US homepage | 8 Oct 2008 | 2:56 am Economists predict OCR cut to 6.5pc this monthEconomists are expecting a historic move by the Reserve Bank (RBNZ) when it reviews the official cash rate (OCR) this month - with some forecasting a cut of 100 basis points to 6.5 per cent. The speculation follows yesterday's...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 2:00 am Australian consumer confidence takes a diveA key measure of Australian consumer confidence has sharply plunged this month as turmoil in global financial markets made people feel gloomy about the economic outlook, a survey today showed. The Westpac-Melbourne Institute consumer...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 1:30 am Court orders Petricevic Porsche to be soldThe expensive car of bankrupt Bridgecorp executive director Rod Petricevic is to be sold, a court ordered today. The 2005 Porsche, estimated to be worth between $120,000 and $150,000, has been at the centre of a legal row after...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 1:08 am Bad day on Wall St - Dow down 5pcThe misery worsened on Wall Street today, with stocks piling on losses late in the session and bringing the two-day decline in the Dow Jones industrials to more than 875 points amid escalating worries about credit markets and the...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 1:00 am BofA raises $10bn on day shares fell 26%The biggest one-day drop in at least 30 years came as investors reacted to news of a worse-than-expected quarterly profit, a dividend cut and the capital-raising planSource: FT.com - US homepage | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:40 am CBA buys BankWest in A$2b dealCommonwealth Bank of Australia will buy BankWest and St Andrew's Australia from their UK-based parent HBOS for A$2.1 billion. The nation's biggest mortgage lender said the purchase is conditional on the receipt of all necessary...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:30 am Trends & Innovations - TuesdayUltrasound can help stop bleedingSource: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:27 am Business Briefs - TuesdayEli Lilly settles on drug marketing. The drug maker will pay $62 mil to 32 states and Washington, D.C., to settle an inquiry into its marketing of...Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:27 am Overseas Expansion Helps Keep Jeans Flying Off The ShelvesArmed with a strong brand and hot fashions, apparel powerhouse Guess is packing a real punch in the fight to win over shoppers.Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:27 am After The Close - TuesdayYUM BRANDS (YUM), which operates the KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell chains, said its Q3 EPS rose 16% to 58 cents ex items, beating views by 4 cents....Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:27 am Blog: Dow zero? Just 19 more days like this one and we'll be thereSource: L.A. Times - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:02 am Executives lived it up on 'bailout' moneyLess than a week after the federal government had to bail out American International Group (AIG), the company sent executives on a US$440,000 ($712,000) retreat to a posh California spa resort, lawmakers investigating the company's...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 8 Oct 2008 | 12:00 am Emerging markets' resilience testedThe huge corrections in equity markets have undermined the idea that the developing world has grown immune to shocks to confidence, international capital flows and tradeSource: FT.com - US homepage | 7 Oct 2008 | 11:54 pm Fed to start buying commercial paperBen Bernanke, Federal Reserve chairman, opened the door to possible interest rate cuts after the central bank announced it would buy short-term debt from banks and corporations in an unprecedented attempt to unfreeze money marketsSource: FT.com - US homepage | 7 Oct 2008 | 11:36 pm Alcoa earnings drop 52%Read full story for latest details.Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 7 Oct 2008 | 11:14 pm Coal-fired power generators face new threat from EU carbon emissions curbThe future of coal-fired power generation in Europe was called into question yesterday after a European Parliament committee backed new laws that would force power companies to pay for all of their carbon dioxide emissions from 2013.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 7 Oct 2008 | 11:00 pm Ryanair crews must take unpaid leave, says Michael O'LearyFour hundred Ryanair pilots and cabin crew will be forced to take one week of unpaid leave this year as the budget airline cuts back flights from Dublin and Stansted.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 7 Oct 2008 | 11:00 pm City gloom, arts boom: let's face the music and dance, sing and laughCulture on the cheap: value-for-money artsSource: Latest Business News from Times Online | 7 Oct 2008 | 11:00 pm Sir Philip Green tells consumers to "calm down"Sir Philip Green told Britain to cheer up yesterday, despite his group’s profits having fallen by 40 per cent last year.Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 7 Oct 2008 | 11:00 pm Lower income earners to lose under National's tax planLower income earners who get Working for Families, lower income KiwiSavers and companies receiving research and development tax credits are the losers under National's tax package announced today. While many taxpayers will get...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 7 Oct 2008 | 11:00 pm BAE firm in body armour pay-outA subsidiary of UK defence giant BAE Systems has agreed to pay millions of dollars to the US government over defective body armour.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 7 Oct 2008 | 10:21 pm For Long-Term Investors, Now Is Time to Buy (Common Sense)Why buy during the worst financial crisis of my lifetime? The answer is simple.Source: SmartMoney.com | 7 Oct 2008 | 10:11 pm Students Face Steep Curve in Landing Private Loans (Deal of the Day)Private lenders are tightening requirements. Here's what students need to know.Source: SmartMoney.com | 7 Oct 2008 | 9:33 pm 6 Stocks Baited for Bottom Fishers (Stock Screen)Bottom-fishers should cast around for these six severely oversold stocks.Source: SmartMoney.com | 7 Oct 2008 | 9:32 pm Action needs to be taken on global level - IMFThe global economy faces a much more serious downturn than almost anyone has until now realised unless international governments take immediate co-ordinated action to deal with the credit crisis, the International Monetary Fund warned...Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 7 Oct 2008 | 9:30 pm VIX Index of U.S. Stock Option Prices Advances 3.1% to 53.68Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 7 Oct 2008 | 9:20 pm RBC Capital's Gero Says Gold Is Attractive Buy Via ETFsSource: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 7 Oct 2008 | 9:18 pm Poole Calls Fed Move to Buy Commercial Paper `Positive'Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 7 Oct 2008 | 9:09 pm Michael Mussa Says Panic in Markets `Is the Clear Problem'Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 7 Oct 2008 | 9:05 pm Stanford's Hall Calls U.S. Slowdown `Modern Recession'Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 7 Oct 2008 | 9:03 pm US stocks sink to five-year lowThe financial crisis sends US stocks to their lowest levels in five years despite earlier gains on European markets.Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 7 Oct 2008 | 8:51 pm ETFs Sell Off Despite Fed Efforts (Daily ETF Wrap-Up)Despite efforts by the Fed, the market continued to fret over the unknown.Source: SmartMoney.com | 7 Oct 2008 | 8:44 pm Lazear Says U.S. Taking `Aggressive' Approach to CrisisSource: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 7 Oct 2008 | 8:36 pm Dow Falls 508 PointsThe blue-chip index has lost more than 15% of its value in the last seven sessions.Source: SmartMoney.com | 7 Oct 2008 | 8:25 pm Feds back Morgan Stanley dealSource: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 7 Oct 2008 | 8:08 pm Consumer credit marks first fall since January 1998 (Reuters)
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 7 Oct 2008 | 8:02 pm Eco-Lodging (SmartMoney Magazine)Eco-fever has hit the hotel industry. We rate three pioneering properties.Source: SmartMoney.com | 7 Oct 2008 | 7:41 pm Eco-Lodging (Working and Living Green)Eco-fever has hit the hotel industry. We rate three pioneering properties.Source: SmartMoney.com | 7 Oct 2008 | 7:41 pm Mutual Funds Run by Insurance Companies Lag Their Peers (SmartMoney Magazine)Funds sold by insurance companies don't perform as well as those from fund families.Source: SmartMoney.com | 7 Oct 2008 | 7:36 pm Score More Financial Aid (SmartMoney Magazine)Education costs are skyrocketing. Here's how to maximize the financial aid that's out there.Source: SmartMoney.com | 7 Oct 2008 | 7:35 pm Making money in this marketHow bad is this bear market? Out of thousands of offerings, only one mutual fund focusing on U.S. stocks is up this year. You read that right - one!Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 7 Oct 2008 | 7:30 pm Where the pros are putting their cashMoney magazine asked several financial experts: What are you doing with your own portfolio in the wake of the financial crisis?Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 7 Oct 2008 | 7:28 pm Oil prices end above $90Oil held its gains in volatile trading Tuesday, bouncing off an 8-month low on weakness in the dollar, but the advance was kept in check by falling stock prices.Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 7 Oct 2008 | 7:16 pm 700 auto dealers could failRead full story for latest details.Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 7 Oct 2008 | 6:50 pm Ex-pats worry about U.S. troublesAmericans living abroad share their perspectives of the American financial crisis with our European Bureau Chief Stephen Beard. Another part in Marketplace's "Interested Parties" series.Source: Marketplace | 7 Oct 2008 | 6:02 pm Unemployment soars in GeorgiaJudging from the unemployment figures, the financial crisis is affecting regional economies all over the country. The state of Georgia, in particular, is feeling a lot of the pain. Steve Henn reports.Source: Marketplace | 7 Oct 2008 | 5:49 pm Letters from our listenersIn our recent batch of letters, readers gave us strong opinions on the bailout, mortgage rates, revenge and blame. Host Kai Ryssdal picked out a few.Source: Marketplace | 7 Oct 2008 | 5:48 pm Nebraska family wants fiscal changeMarketplace Money host Tess Vigeland stopped and talked with Nebraskans for our "Road to Ruin?" series. She was invited to a spirited dinner-table discussion with the Landis family, which she shares with host Kai Ryssdal.Source: Marketplace | 7 Oct 2008 | 5:47 pm Big government is counterproductiveCommentator Susan Lee says even though Americans' political will may be lacking in this financial crisis, the economic argument for less government intervention is as powerful as ever.Source: Marketplace | 7 Oct 2008 | 5:45 pm Third quarter looking bad for banksBank of America CEO Ken Lewis says he hasn't seen such difficult conditions for banks in his 39 years in the business. Ashley Milne-Tyte reports on what to expect from third-quarter statements next week.Source: Marketplace | 7 Oct 2008 | 5:44 pm Varvares Says Fed and Treasury `Pulling Out All the Stops'Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 7 Oct 2008 | 5:38 pm How commercial paper worksFollowing this economic crisis is almost like getting a degree in finance. The latest term-of-the-day is "commercial paper." Reporter Jeff Tyler asks an economist to help unravel that one.Source: Marketplace | 7 Oct 2008 | 5:20 pm Fed becomes 'lender of last resort'Credit is so tight the Fed is now loaning money to businesses in need of short-term cash. Should we be worrying about the Fed's new role as America's ATM? Washington Bureau Chief John Dimsdale reports.Source: Marketplace | 7 Oct 2008 | 5:18 pm Dinning Says Coordinated Rate Cuts Would Help ConfidenceSource: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 7 Oct 2008 | 4:55 pm Bailout Bill Saves World and Dubious Pork: CommentarySource: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 7 Oct 2008 | 4:53 pm CPM's Christian Sees Deeper, Longer RecessionSource: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 7 Oct 2008 | 4:32 pm A.I.GreedWASHINGTON—Two former C.E.O.'s of American International Group insisted today that the insurance giant was a victim of unruly markets. But lawmakers on Capitol Hill confronted them with what they said was evidence of executives' missing warning signs while awarding themselves rich payouts. A.I.G.'s House of Cards A.I.G.'s House of Cards A.I.Goodbye Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 7 Oct 2008 | 4:30 pm Don't Bury Fair-Value Accounting Just YetThe Securities and Exchange Commission and the Financial Accounting Standards Board jointly issued a release last week to respond to the current crisis in the financial markets.Contrary to what some seem to believe, the S.E.C./F.A.S.B. release does not do away with or otherwise change the F.A.S.B.'s guidelines for determining fair value in Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 157 that went into effect for many companies just this year. Rather, the S.E.C./F.A.S.B. release affirms the objective of fair value, even when used for illiquid assets, and clarifies how companies should apply the new guidelines when determining the fair value of mortgage-backed securities or other assets in markets that are no longer active. In particular, the S.E.C./F.A.S.B. release clarifies that when determining fair value, companies should focus on the relevance of the pricing information that is currently available. The new guidelines actually help assess the relevance of pricing information because F.A.S. 157 establishes a hierarchy that puts that information into one of three levels to convey the relative reliability and relevance of the asset fair values. F.A.S. 157 also requires companies to disclose the asset fair values by level in the hierarchy. Level 1 assets have directly observable market prices in active markets, like stocks traded on major exchanges. Valuing Level 2 assets, including derivatives, isn't as straightforward, but can be done by looking at other observable market information. Level 3 assets are those for which there is no active market; and pricing them can be a more involved process that relies on the holder's forecasts of expected cash flows based on its own market assumptions. The S.E.C./F.A.S.B. release notes that although these levels were not intended to establish "bright lines" for the valuation, companies must consider all available information in the valuation. Companies cannot, for example, arbitrarily choose to ignore Level 2 pricing information that is available and immediately default to Level 3 pricing information. But when markets are no longer active, as appears to be the case now for many assets, there might be some circumstances in which Level 3 pricing information is more relevant than the Level 2 pricing information available in those markets and should be used for the valuation. These circumstances might be indicated when significant adjustments are made to Level 2 pricing information. For example, companies may well need to make significant adjustments to arrive at a reasonable estimate of what a current market price would be for the asset that is being fair-valued when Level 2 pricing information represents prices in disorderly (so-called fire-sale) transactions, broker quotes that are based on models that use information available only to the broker, or other market quotes that are merely indicative bids. As a follow-up to the S.E.C./F.A.S.B. release, the F.A.S.B. issued for public comment a proposal called "Determining the Fair Value of a Financial Asset in a Market That Is Not Active." The proposal would illustrate how the new guidelines might apply in more specific circumstances. (The deadline to comment on the proposal is this Thursday, October 9; the F.A.S.B. plans to hold a meeting on Friday to discuss the comments and vote on a final document so it can be used by companies in preparing their third-quarter financial statements.) At the same time, the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008—the $700 billion package passed by Congress and signed into law by President Bush on Friday—contains a provision that restates the S.E.C.'s authority to suspend F.A.S. 157 if the S.E.C. determines that "it is necessary or appropriate in the public interest and is consistent with the protection of investors." Further, amid calls to suspend fair value accounting to put an end to more asset impairments, Representative Spencer Bachus, Republican of Alabama, has asked Barney Frank, chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, to convene hearings on fair-value accounting and the need for reforms to F.A.S. 157. It is worth noting that F.A.S. 157 is not the reason that in today's markets many assets are impaired. Further, F.A.S. 157 does not require any assets to be recorded at fair value, whether on an ongoing basis (so-called "mark-to-market" accounting) or when impaired. The fair-value concept was established long before F.A.S. 157 and was referred to in more than 60 of the authoritative pronouncements that were being used by companies when F.A.S. 157 arrived. Many of those pronouncements contained guidelines for determining fair value that were similar to the guidelines in F.A.S. 157 but that were replaced by the new guidelines to improve consistency in application. With that, conventional wisdom tells us that suspending F.A.S. 157 alone would not do away with fair-value accounting. Fair-value accounting would still be used—but without the new guidelines for determining fair value and without the new disclosures about fair value, which could add to, not reduce, the confusion that currently exists over what fair value is and what fair value means when used in financial reporting today. The fair-value debate seems certain to continue, having potential implications for the fate of F.A.S. 157. But for now, F.A.S. 157 is holding. So in preparing their financial statements, companies should plan to continue to use the new guidelines (as clarified) for the fair values that are either required or permitted under other authoritative pronouncements. The views expressed in the article are held by the author and are not necessarily representative of FTI Consulting. Related Links Do-It-Yourself Dubious Accounting A Vote of Support for Sarbanes-Oxley Did FASB Scupper the Auction-Rate Market? Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 7 Oct 2008 | 4:00 pm Chipping AwayAnd now for some good news.This morning, chipmaker AMD announced one possible way to avoid a diving share price and even create new jobs: It's selling off part of the company, and the Middle East is coming to the rescue. In a long-expected plan, AMD will get out of the manufacturing business by spinning off those operations into a new company, called The Foundry Company. With a $6 billion investment from Abu Dhabi-based Advanced Technology Investment Company and Mubadala Development Company, which already owns 8 percent of AMD, Foundry will assume control of the company's manufacturing operations in Germany, and has plans to open facilities in Saratoga County, New York, adding 5,000 jobs to the area. The plan may be AMD's only hope in its endless battle with market behemoth Intel, a fight that has drained AMD's resources and left it with less than 20 percent of the market, backed into a corner. "With The Foundry Company, AMD has developed an innovative way to focus our efforts on design while maintaining access to the leading-edge manufacturing technologies that our business needs without the required capital-intensive investments of semiconductor manufacturing," said AMD C.E.O. Dirk Meyer in a statement. "Today is a landmark day for AMD, creating a financially stronger company with a tightened focus." The spinoff moves the manufacturing business off its balance sheet entirely—along with the company's $1.2 billion debt, which will be assumed by Foundry. "Finally, [AMD] gets a brain, wrote Douglas McIntyre on BloggingStocks.com today. AMD's share price had plummeted over the last two years, from $40 in 2006 to $4 this month. Shares were up in morning trading, but it was hard to tell how much was driven by the announcement versus the rising tide of the market this morning after further overnight moves to shore up the global financial meltdown. Foundry will be run by Doug Grose, currently AMD's senior vice president of manufacturing operations. Hector Ruiz, the former C.E.O. of AMD, will become Foundry's chairman. AMD will maintain a 44 percent stake in the new venture, though analysts expect the chipmaker to be diluted out over time by A.T.I.C. A.T.I.C. is an investment company formed by the Abu Dhabi government. And while Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds and other investment funds in the region have remained strong, the global crisis has begun to spread in that direction. Yesterday, Saudi Arabia's Tadawul All-Share Index (TASI) fell 9.8 percent and the Dubai Financial Market General index dropped 7.6 percent. AMD may have chosen the wisest moment ever to do this deal before all capital markets freeze up. How much of an advantage this move will give AMD against Intel is hard to say. Intel is still the far-dominant chipmaker, holding 80 percent of the market on the world's 1 billion personal computers. AMD will surely have shored up its own financial health, but it will need more than a tighter balance sheet to find clever new ways to grab market share from Intel. Related Links Intel: Entertainment Company? All's Well at Intel First Bytes: Hulu Goes Live, AppsSavvy, AMD, Industrial Origami Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 7 Oct 2008 | 2:30 pm Firing Blanks on BanksOh, Ben. Stocks tumbled again even though the Federal Reserve pulled out a new tool and promised an old one. Ben Bernanke, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, gave the strongest hint yet that an interest rate was imminent, while the Fed moved to shore up the commercial paper market. But the Dow Jones industrial average slid more than 500 points, and the S&P 500 fell below 1,000 to its lowest close in five years. The market reaction underscores that many investors believe that central banks and governments are running out of ammunition to fight the global financial crisis. Fears over the health of many large banks dominated trading today. Shares of Bank of America tumbled after the bank announced late Monday its plans to cut its dividend in half. It also plans to raise $10 billion in capital through a stock offering. Shares of rival Citigroup fell nearly 13 percent. Morgan Stanley shares plummeted nearly 25 percent amid rumors, denied by the firm, that its deal with Mitsubishi UFJ was in trouble. Since a year ago, financial stocks have slid 55.2 percent, losing $1.48 trillion, Standard & Poor's estimates. In a speech in Washington, Ben Bernanke, the chairman of the Federal Reserve signaled that a cut in interest rates is in the offing. "The heightened financial turmoil that we have experienced of late may well lengthen the period of weak economic performance and further increase the risks to growth," Bernanke said. "To support growth and reduce the downside risks, continued efforts to stabilize the financial markets are essential. The Federal Reserve will continue to use the tools at its disposal to improve market functioning and liquidity." His comments came after the Fed announced a plan to provide a "liquidity backstop to U.S. issuers of commercial paper." It will do so through a special-purpose vehicle that will buy commercial paper, short-term debt that many companies use to finance their day-to-day operation The plan buoyed the market in early trading. But stocks resumed their slide after the Fed chairman's speech. At 1:30 p.m., the Dow was down more than 230 points. The Fed said that the commercial-paper market "has been under considerable strain in recent weeks." The stresses in that market have been cited as evidence that the credit crunch is spilling beyond Wall Street and hindering nonfinancial companies and businesses. "The Treasury believes this facility is necessary to prevent substantial disruptions to the financial markets and the economy and will make a special deposit at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in support of this facility," the Fed said. It did not indicate how much commercial paper it might buy. Yves Smith on Naked Capitalism is skeptical that this would be effective. "Once the Fed steps in as a major player (major is required to have any impact), how does the Fed wean the market of its support?" she asks. On Monday, markets around the world plunged. The Dow Jones industrial average fell as much as 800 points before trimming its losses to a decline of 369.88 points. The plan buoyed the market in early trading. But stocks resumed their slide after the Fed chairman's speech. At 1:30 p.m., the Dow was down more than 230 points. Also today, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York held a meeting with banks and institutional investors about setting up an exchange or clearinghouse for credit-default swaps. Hit the Panic Button Why Lehman Wasn't Saved The End of Lehman Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 7 Oct 2008 | 12:00 pm
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