Venezuela settles with oil firms

Venezuela pays $1.8bn in compensation to three oil firms, isolating Exxon in its dispute with the country.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:31 pm

SocGen posts record loss, may take more writedowns

PARIS (Reuters) - Societe Generale confirmed a record fourth-quarter loss after absorbing a huge rogue trading scandal that has made France's second-biggest listed bank a potential takeover target.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:23 pm

China asks U.S. to be fair in 3Com bid

Read full story for latest details.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:18 pm

Stocks in Europe stage broad-based rebound

European shares rebounded on Thursday, led by food stocks after Swiss giant Nestle posted a well-received set of earnings.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:17 pm

Stocks ready to resume rally

Stocks looked set for a higher open Thursday, as investors looked past stagflation concerns and bet that the Federal Reserve remains committed to juicing economic growth.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:14 pm

Confident BAE Systems reports 22% rise in profits

BAE Systems, the maker of Typhoon jet fighters and Nimrod planes, reported a 22 per cent rise in 2007 preliminary pre-tax profit and said that although Britain might extend delivery deadlines on some projects to meet its budgetary constraints, there were unlikely to be any order cancellations from the government.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:13 pm

Google to store patients' health records

Read full story for latest details.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:13 pm

Continental Airlines posts wider net loss (Reuters)

Reuters - Continental Airlines Inc posted a net loss of $32 million in the fourth quarter, compared to a loss of $26 million a year ago.
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:12 pm

The hottest business on Wall Street

When lenders stop asking for golf dates and start throwing F-bombs, it's usually time to find a restructuring firm. Among the small number of bankers and CPAs who specialize in this practice, New York's Alvarez & Marsal is often the first phone call for these sweating execs - and it's already profiting from corporate America's credit-market misery.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:03 pm

Updates, advisories and surprises

A roundup of the latest corporate earnings reports and what companies are saying about future quarters.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:01 pm

Thursday's biggest gaining and declining stocks

Among the companies whose shares are expected to see active trade in Thursday's session are the bond insurers, Ameristar, Analog Devices, ChoicePoint, Hornbeck, Icon, Netease, Psychiatric Solutions, Research in Motion, and Reed Elsevier


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:00 pm

High street rebound hits interest rate cut hopes

Widespread price cuts fuelled the strongest month on the high street for almost a year in January in figures that could delay the next interest rate cut by the Bank of England.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:49 am

Reed Elsevier snaps up ChoicePoint for $4bn

Reed Elsevier has put its New Scientist and Farmers Weekly publishing wing up for sale and spent $4.1bn (£2.1bn) on US risk management company ChoicePoint as it continues to reshape its portfolio.
Source: Telegraph Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:45 am

British Gas profits jump to £571m

Profits at British Gas rise to £571m from £95m in 2006 amid criticism from consumer groups over higher prices.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:43 am

Continental Airlines posts wider net loss

(Reuters) - Continental Airlines Inc posted a net loss of $32 million in the fourth quarter, compared to a loss of $26 million a year ago.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:41 am

Allianz net halved as subprime hits Dresdner (Reuters)

Reuters - Allianz's net profit dropped by more than half in the fourth quarter, as strength in its main property-casualty insurance business could not offset the damage from subprime write-downs at its banking arm.
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:40 am

Allianz net halved as subprime hits Dresdner

MUNICH (Reuters) - Allianz's net profit dropped by more than half in the fourth quarter, as strength in its main property-casualty insurance business could not offset the damage from subprime write-downs at its banking arm.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:40 am

EU slashes 2008 growth forecast

Read full story for latest details.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:40 am

Oil hovers above $100 a barrel

Read full story for latest details.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:39 am

French inflation up on food costs

Increasing food and fuel costs pushed up French inflation to 3.2% in January, from 2.8% in December.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:34 am

A common sense fix for the bond crisis

What the municipal bond market needs most is not an injection of capital into the bond insurance companies. What it needs is an injection of common sense into its credit rating system.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:30 am

Dark Victory for 401(k)

The Supreme Court has come down with  an unanimous ruling that, at first blush, looks like a big win for employees who count on their 401(k) plans for their retirement nest eggs.

It's not.

In an opinion written by Justice John Paul Stevens, the court ruled that workers could sue under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act,  or Erisa, the federal law that protects pensions and other employee benefits, to recover their losses.

In the case, James LaRue contended that the value of his stock holdings plummeted $150,000 when plan administrators failed to follow his instructions and switch to safer investments. His case came to the Supremes from the Court of Appeals for the Fourth  Circuit in Richmond, Virginia,  a notoriously conservative venue among the federal appeals courts, which had his individual lawsuit for breach of fiduciary duty.

Most other federal appeals courts had allowed such individual lawsuits, and so, when the Supremes took LaRue's case, the fear was that an adverse ruling could be devastating to employees. And most observers predicted a win for LaRue.

That has now happened. But corporate lawyers are already finding a silver lining in a concurrence written by Chief Justice John Roberts, which was joined by Justice Anthony Kennedy.

Picking up on a theory espoused by the Erisa Industry Committee, which filed an amicus brief on behalf of the respondent company, Roberts suggested that the 401(k) claims could be filed as a claim for denial of benefits under another provision of ERISA, and that would require the employee to exhaust his or her administrative remedies before filing suit.

"It's really a very radical argument," said Peter Stris, a law professor at Whittier Law School in Costa Mesa, Calif. and Erisa expert, who argued LaRue's case before the justices. Stris expects companies to start crafting arguments against lawsuits using Roberts' concurrence. "If I were representing a company, I'd be doing that," he said." I think it's the next frontier."

IRussell Hirschhorn, a lawyer with Proskauer Rose in New York, which defends Erisa claims, agrees. Reached on Wednesday, he was already at work on a client alert about the LaRue decision.  "Justice Roberts' concurrence may provide a pleasant surprise form the defense perspective," he says.

And so, a ruling that should have been a comfort for the workingman is now cause for concern.

"This decision, but for the Roberts concurrence, would have settled an area of law; Now he has just made it more confusing," says Karen Handorf, a lawyer with Cohen Milstein Hausfeld & Toll who worked on the amicus brief filed by the Pension Rights Center on behalf of LaRue.

"It's a brand new argument," she says, adding it doesn't make any sense, because to recover on a denial of benefit claim, a 401(k) participant would have to take money from other 401(k) beneficiaries.

There are more worries over at the Workplace Prof Blog, a group of law professors, who note in a post on the LaRue decision that Roberts' concurrence "has the potential to undermine the holding of the La Rue majority" and say it would be "disastrous" for workers like LaRue who try to recover losses from their individual accounts.

Surely, there's a corporate lawyer somewhere already crafting a brief based on the wisdom of Roberts. And to think, the Bush administration weighed in on LaRue's behalf.

Related Links
Class Actions Endangered? Hardly.
Vonage Seeks Supreme Salvation
Stonewalling Stoneridge


Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:30 am

Retail sales data lift pound

The pound jumped on Thursday after UK retail sales came in far stronger than expected, dampening expectations for aggressive cuts in interest rates. Figures revealed UK sales grew 0.8 per cent in January,...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:24 am

Lexis Nexis owner in $4 billion deal

Read full story for latest details.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:17 am

Conrad Black in new bid to avoid jail

Conrad Black has requested an emergency delay to the start of his six-year sentence for defrauding shareholders at Hollinger International while his lawyers appeal against his conviction.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:17 am

FTSE cheered by upbeat earnings

Upbeat corporate earnings helped London shares higher on Thursday. The indices were also boosted by a strong overnight showing on Wall Street and in Asian markets, where Japan's Nikkei 225 index closed...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:16 am

TomTom hit despite strong sales

Shares in sat-nav device maker TomTom drop on fears that falling prices will hurt profits.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:15 am

British pound surges on strong retail data; dollar mainly lower

LONDON (MarketWatch) -- The British pound surged Thursday, boosted by data on U.K. retail sales for January that came in much stronger than expected.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:13 am

Price cuts lift UK retail sales

Price cuts helped UK retail sales to rebound in January, figures show, but underlying growth remains steady.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:11 am

BA pilots vote for strike action

British Airways pilots have voted to go on strike, over the airline's plans to launch a new transatlantic subsidiary.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:08 am

U.S. futures edge higher; Cisco set to rise after upgrade

U.S. stock market futures edged higher Thursday, adding to a late rally in the previous session, with Cisco Systems among the stocks set to rise after a broker upgrade.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:07 am

UBS backs Marcel Ospel for a new term as chairman

Marcel Ospel, criticised for overseeing UBS's first ever annual loss of SwFr4.4 billion (£2.06 billion), has been nominated by the bank for re-election as its chairman at its annual meeting on April 23.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 21 Feb 2008 | 11:04 am

Reed to buy ChoicePoint, sell info division

LONDON (Reuters) - Reed Elsevier announced the acquisition of U.S. risk-management business ChoicePoint Inc for $4.1 billion including debt alongside its results, as well as a renewed cost-savings drive and the planned sale of an advertising-dependent information business.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:58 am

401(k)s: Why they're no tax trap

As a Money reader, you're likely well aware of the wonders of a 401(k). You don't pay up-front taxes on the money you contribute, and you don't owe taxes on your investment earnings until you withdraw the cash in retirement. But some financial advisers (and a couple of books) have begun to voice a dissenting view: If you invest in your 401(k), they say, you'll end up paying more in taxes than you have to. On the face of it, this argument looks plausible. If you buy stocks or stock mutual funds in a regular brokerage account, you will pay a 15% long-term capital-gains rate when you eventually sell. But you'll have to pay ordinary income tax rates of 28% or even 35% on your 401(k) withdrawals. Could the 401(k) skeptics be right?


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:57 am

Nestle price rises help drive up 2007 profits (Reuters)

Reuters - Nestle, the world's largest food company, brushed off fears of commodity price inflation and global slowdown to post an above forecast 15.8 percent rise in 2007 net profits sending its shares higher.
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:50 am

Nestle price rises help drive up 2007 profits

VEVEY, Switzerland (Reuters) - Nestle, the world's largest food company, brushed off fears of commodity price inflation and global slowdown to post an above forecast 15.8 percent rise in 2007 net profits sending its shares higher.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:50 am

Wall Street seen rising further

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - Stock index futures pointed to a firmer start on Thursday, adding to the previous session's gains as investors turn to key economic data for support while keeping an eye on the oil price.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:45 am

BA pilots vote to strike, threatening Easter chaos

British Airways pilots have voted to go on strike in a row over pay and conditions that could see thousands of flights cancelled over the Easter holidays.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:39 am

Don't forgive debt, postpone it

A plan that would help troubled mortgage borrowers today - and might make lenders whole later on - was unveiled today in Washington.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:38 am

Northern Rock on the Red Box blog

<a href="http://timesonline.typepad.com/politics/2008/02/northern-rocky.html">Northern Rocky: will the Lib Dems withdraw their support?</a>
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:26 am

Telstra raises guidance on subscriber growth

Telstra, Australia's dominant telecoms group, reported a stronger-than-expected 13 per cent rise in half-year profits and raised its full-year guidance on the back of solid gains in its internet and...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:25 am

U.S. concerns stall Bain, 3Com deal on Chinese stake

PHILADELPHIA/SHANGHAI (Reuters) - Bain Capital Partners and China's Huawei Technologies have withdrawn their application for U.S. security approval of a $2.2 billion purchase of 3Com Corp after failing to satisfy the concerns of a U.S. government panel.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:23 am

Europe higher after Nestle numbers shine

European stocks came out of the doldrums on Thursday morning, on strong earnings reports and after a positive session in the US overnight. Nestle, the world's biggest foods group, led the way with strong...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:21 am

BT scraps costly 0870 and 0845 numbers

BT has called time on its charges for ringing 0870 consumer service and helpdesk numbers, in a move that will cost the company millions of pounds.
Source: Telegraph Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:20 am

Nestle posts 16% increase in annual profit after raising prices

LONDON (MarketWatch) -- Nestle SA, the world's largest food company, on Thursday reported a 16% improvement in 2007 profit as an increased focus on healthier foods paid off and it managed to pass off higher commodity costs to consumers via price increases.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:19 am

Virgin Galactic plans more spaceships

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Virgin Galactic, billionaire Richard Branson's space travel venture, plans to order five more spaceships and aims to turn a profit in five years from its commercial launch in 2010, an official told Reuters on Thursday.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:16 am

Virgin Galactic plans more spaceships

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Virgin Galactic, billionaire Richard Branson's space travel venture, plans to order five more spaceships and aims to turn a profit in five years from its commercial...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:16 am

U.S. concerns stall Bain, 3Com deal on Chinese stake (Reuters)

Reuters - Bain Capital Partners and China's Huawei Technologies have withdrawn their application for U.S. security approval of a $2.2 billion purchase of 3Com Corp after failing to satisfy the concerns of a U.S. government panel.
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:02 am

Centrica profits jump following price rise

Centrica, owner of British Gas, on Thursday sought to head off protests from consumer groups over increased in gas prices after it reported a 50 per cent rise in pre-tax profits and raised its dividend...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 10:00 am

SocGen posts loss, slashes dividend, warns of more write-downs

Societe Generale, the French bank hit by a rogue-trader scandal, on Thursday reported a fourth-quarter loss of 3.35 billion euros, slashed its dividend and warned that its asset-management arm could see further write-downs.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:57 am

SocGen Posts Q4 Loss

Troubled French bank Societe Generale SA said Thursday that a trading scandal and writedowns linked to the crisis in financial markets led to a net loss in the fourth quarter last year.
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:56 am

Google to sell display ads in Web videos

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Web search leader Google Inc. plans to start selling ads to appear in Web videos after it agreed a partnership with YuMe, an online video advertising network.
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:55 am

Google to sell display ads in Web videos

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Web search leader Google Inc. plans to start selling ads to appear in Web videos after it agreed a partnership with YuMe, an online video advertising network.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:55 am

Microsoft upbeat on 2008 sales to Taiwan PC makers

TAIPEI (Reuters) - Microsoft Corp expects its sales to Taiwan's contract manufacturers of PCs, including Quanta and Asustek , to rise more than 10 percent in 2008, the head of its Taiwan unit said on Thursday.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:52 am

Microsoft upbeat on 2008 sales to Taiwan PC makers

TAIPEI (Reuters) - Microsoft Corp expects its sales to Taiwan's contract manufacturers of PCs, including Quanta and Asustek , to rise more than 10 percent in 2008, the head of its Taiwan...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:52 am

US sales lift BAE Systems profit

Profits at defence company BAE Systems rise 44% thanks to the US firm Armor holdings it bought last year.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:51 am

Commodity shares lead gains in Asia

Asia's larger markets rebounded on Thursday, but sentiment was mixed as some investors bought commodity-related stocks on the back of rising prices while others worried about the impact of those prices...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:50 am

Reed Elsevier shares shine in stronger London

Shares in Reed Elsevier rose sharply in London on Thursday morning, as the publisher reported a near doubling in fiscal-year profit and said it would buy the U.S. insurance-data and -analytics firm ChoicePoint.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:46 am

Allianz Q4 net halved as subprime hits Dresdner

MUNICH (Reuters) - Allianz's net profit dropped by more than half in the fourth quarter, as strength in its main property-casualty insurance business could not offset the damage from...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:43 am

SocGen profit despite trader loss

French bank Societe Generale reports a profit for 2007, but it is down sharply from 2006 because of a trading scandal.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:42 am

Kingfisher expects tougher conditions

Kingfisher, the retail group that owns B&Q, the UK do-it-yourself chain, on Thursday outlined better sales in the key Christmas and new year period than many analysts had expected, although sales...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:40 am

Nestle price rises help drive up 2007 profits

VEVEY, Switzerland (Reuters) - Nestle , the world's largest food company, posted a higher than expected 15.8 percent leap in 2007 net profit on Thursday and detailed plans to push into...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:36 am

Big unwind may lift cost of corporate borrowing

BAA, the UK airports operator, is the subject of a fascinating rumour doing the rounds in the City that reveals much about the impact of credit derivatives on modern companies and their financing. The...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:30 am

Wall Street gains, resource rally lift Asian markets

Most Asian markets tracked Wall Street higher Thursday, recouping from the previous session, with energy stocks such as Inpex Holdings Inc. in Japan, PetroChina Co. in Hong Kong and Woodside Petroleum in Sydney advancing after crude-oil prices ended at a record in the U.S.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:26 am

Babcock beats its own profit forecasts

Babcock & Brown, which competes with bigger rival Macquarie Group for global infrastructure assets, reported group net profit of A$643m ($590m) compared with its own forecast of at least A$590m....
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:21 am

Qantas forecasts 40% rise in earnings

Qantas Airways on Thursday forecast that full-year earnings would grow at least 40 per cent, saying there was little evidence the global economic slowdown was having a "significant dampening in demand"...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:11 am

Reed to buy ChoicePoint, sell info division (Reuters)

Reuters - Reed Elsevier announced the acquisition of U.S. risk-management business ChoicePoint Inc for $4.1 billion including debt alongside its results, as well as a renewed cost-savings drive and the planned sale of an advertising-dependent information business.
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 9:10 am

Societe Generale missed 75 warnings on trader Kerviel

Societe Generale missed 75 warning signs on the activities of rogue trader Jerome Kerviel, an independent report has found, as France's second-largest bank posted a 82 per cent fall in last year's profit.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:57 am

Iowa Researcher Works on Ethanol Project

The nation's top ethanol producer is teaming with an Iowa State University researcher in hopes of squeezing more ethanol out of a kernel of corn. Sioux Falls-based Poet LLC already...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:54 am

Kingfisher will meet full-year forecasts despite sales slump

Kingfisher, owner of the B&Q DIY chain, attempted to reassure investors this morning it would meet full-year profit targets despite a 1.9 per cent fall in like-for-like sales in the UK during the fourth quarter.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:46 am

Reed Elsevier pays $4bn cash for ChoicePoint$

Reed Elsevier, the Anglo Dutch publishing and information group, said today that it will pay $4.1 billion ($£2.1 billion) cash for ChoicePoint, the US risk information group, and has put 15,000 trade magazines up for sale for an undisclosed sum.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:37 am

States Redefine Family Health Policies

Thomas Mahoney came out of a seizure last December surrounded by paramedics ready to take him to the hospital by ambulance. Mindful of the cost, he asked his mom and girlfriend to drive...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:24 am

British Gas warns prices may remain high

British Gas profits surge
Source: Telegraph Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:20 am

British Gas warns prices may remain high

British Gas profits surge
Source: Telegraph Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:20 am

BASF posts record 2007 results, is confident for 2008

German chemical giant BASF wrapped up 2007 with record results owing to positive contributions from recently acquired companies, a statement said Thursday. Net profit leapt...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:14 am

German banks involved in Liechtenstein tax scandal: report

German private banks and other financial services companies are involved in some cases of tax evasion by foundations based in Liechtenstein, a press report said Thursday. ...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:02 am

Pensions for sole proprietors

Dear Karen: I'm a sole proprietor with my only pension a Roth IRA. Is it possible that I can deduct my contributions?


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

HP leads Dow higher

The tech giant's strong earnings report helps the index gain 90.04 points and overcome grim inflation data.

Stocks and bonds Wednesday shook off a surprising jump in consumer price inflation and another record close for oil prices.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

Incentives keep drapery firm from bolting

Drapes 4 Show had outgrown its Calabasas space and was set to move to Vegas when L.A. offered an affordable alternative.

Sometimes, what happens in Vegas can stay in Los Angeles.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

Prices pose dilemma for Fed

Its priority is prodding expansion, but in a surprise, inflation accelerated in January.

An ominous scenario of rising prices and slowing growth showed itself in spades Wednesday as the government reported that consumer prices are rising at a fast pace even as the housing sector remains stuck in its worst slump in a quarter-century.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

L.A. sues insurer over cancellations

The city attorney says Health Net defrauded policyholders by dropping patients who needed costly care.

One of the state's largest insurers, Health Net Inc. of Woodland Hills, sold individual policies with the promise of medical coverage while engaging in a secret and illegal scheme to drop patients if they needed expensive treatment, the Los Angeles city attorney contended in a lawsuit filed Wednesday.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

O.C. investments lose market value as SIV nears default

The investment in England-based Whistlejacket is a small portion of Orange County's overall portfolio, but the once-bankrupt county remains gun-shy about financial risk.

Orange County's latest investments in complex financial deals took a turn for the worse Wednesday when a fund in which the county placed $80 million neared default after a major U.K. bank aborted plans for a bailout.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

HIV treatment becoming profitable

It wasn't long ago that the pharmaceutical industry viewed HIV drugs as more of a public service than possible bestsellers.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

A year-round tax strategy

Making a plan and seeing it through can prevent headaches and expensive surprises at the last minute.

Laura Yamanaka isn't stressing over tackling her company's taxes.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

British Gas profits soar 83 per cent

Energy giant Centrica is set to come under renewed attack today after it reported record pre-tax profits up 60 per cent to £1.1 billion, just weeks after raising gas and electricity prices for 16 million British Gas customers by 15 per cent.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 21 Feb 2008 | 7:43 am

British Gas owner Centrica sees profits surge

British Gas profits surge
Source: Telegraph Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 7:35 am

Google pushes into online video ads

Google will launch a new advertising technology that will allow publishers to incorporate text ads into online videos in a move long awaited by the industry
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 21 Feb 2008 | 7:10 am

Sale of 3Com to Bain, Huawei stymied over security concerns

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Concerns about national security appeared Wednesday to have scuttled the $2.2 billion sale of networker 3Com Corp., whose shares dropped as much as 20% on Wednesday.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 21 Feb 2008 | 5:49 am

US missile hits defunct satellite

The US Navy has successfully used a missile to intercept a damaged spy satellite that was falling to Earth, the Pentagon said
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 21 Feb 2008 | 4:34 am

Fed slashes growth forecast for US economy (AFP)

The Federal Reserve building. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday slashed its 2008 US economic growth forecast by a half point to a range of 1.3 to 2.0 percent, citing the housing slump, tight credit and higher oil prices.(AFP/File)AFP - The Federal Reserve on Wednesday slashed its 2008 US economic growth forecast by a half percentage point, citing a housing slump, tight credit and higher oil prices.



Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 3:43 am

Global retail giants battle for market share in China (AFP)

File photo shows a paedestrian walking past a Wal-Mart signboard in Beijing. With millions of consumers at stake, global retail giants Carrefour and Wal-Mart are battling it out for market share in China with aggressive expansion plans aimed at opening ever more stores.(AFP/File/Teh Eng Koon)AFP - With millions of consumers at stake, global retail giants Carrefour and Wal-Mart are battling it out for market share in China with aggressive expansion plans aimed at opening ever more stores.



Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 3:09 am

For McCain, a risky confidence on ethics

John McCain's relationship with a female lobbyist underscores a paradox: Even as he embraces high ethical standards, his confidence in his own integrity sometimes seems to blind him to potential conflicts of interest, says the New York Times
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 21 Feb 2008 | 2:50 am

Qantas H1 profit beats estimates, affirms outlook

SYDNEY - Qantas Airways Ltd , Australia's biggest airline, doubled its first-half profit, beating market estimates and said it was on track to achieve at least a 40 per cent rise in full-year earnings. "Qantas is seeing no significant...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 2:30 am

Brazil theft 'linked to gas find'

Brazilian police link a mysterious computer theft to the recent discovery of a huge gas field.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 21 Feb 2008 | 2:27 am

China fears scupper $2bn deal for 3Com

Bain Capital and Huawei Technologies have shelved their $2.2bn deal to acquire 3Com, saying a key Washington committee charged with vetting foreign investments had told Bain it would not approve the purchase
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 21 Feb 2008 | 2:22 am

Shoppers make fewer electronic card transactions

Electronic card transaction (ECT) figures for January show further evidence of a slowdown in retail spending. Releasing the figures today, Statistics New Zealand (SNZ) said the seasonally adjusted value of core retail electronic...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 2:00 am

Downer first half profit edges up

SYDNEY - Australian engineering contractor Downer EDI Ltd said its first-half profit rose 2 per cent as it reviews its businesses under the helm of new Chief Executive Geoff Knox, who took over February 1. Downer, which services...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 1:30 am

GE vows accounts clampdown

General Electric has vowed to keep tightening its accounting procedures after an internal probe triggered by a regulatory investigation found "significant deficiencies" in how it booked revenues
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 21 Feb 2008 | 1:15 am

Data fuel fears of US stagflation

Federal Reserve policymakers have cut their forecasts for growth this year but marked up their estimates for inflation, the central bank revealed
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 21 Feb 2008 | 1:13 am

In Brief - Wednesday

Nucor, a steel maker, said it will spend $115 mil-$125 mil to build a sheet and coiled plate processing center in Mexico. It rose 3.3%.

Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:42 am

Trends & Innovations - Wednesday

Mobile phones linked to cancer

Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:42 am

Business Briefs - Wednesday

Transocean up on strong demand

Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:42 am

Consumers Tracking Interest Rates Help Financial Web Site Grow

While investment banks were crying the subprime blues last year, Bankrate, a leading online source for rate information, was laughing all the way...

Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:42 am

After The Close - Wednesday

THREE S BIO (SSRX), a Chinese biotech firm that went public in Feb. '07, posted Q4 EPS of 11 cents, missing views by 2 cents. Revenue grew 40% to...

Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:42 am

Australia's Fairfax H1 profit rises

Australia's Fairfax Media Ltd said today its first-half net profit rose 37.8 per cent, helped a strong performance at its regional businesses which offset weak markets in major cities. The Sydney-based publisher said net profit...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:30 am

Topping named as William Hill boss

William Hill today announced the appointment of Ralph Topping as chief executive of the British bookmaker giant.
Source: Telegraph Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:05 am

Tax take brings Darling welcome relief

The tax take for the month of January hit a record high (in a growing economy this is taken as a given), but the scale of the receipts surprised the markets which had been expecting a surplus £9.5bn number; they actually got £14.1bn!
Source: Telegraph Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:05 am

Sandler faces Northern Rock funding quandary

The nationalisation of Northern Rock will not include the £50bn off-balance sheet vehicle called Granite which funds half of the Newcastle-based lender's mortgages.
Source: Telegraph Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:01 am

What's in the pipeline for Nord Stream?

On the face of it, laying a pipeline at the bottom of the Baltic Sea shouldn't prove that much of a problem. It's a technical and logistical challenge, but still pretty routine. Except that this is the oil and gas industry, where nothing is simple and everything carries political risk.
Source: Telegraph Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:01 am

Anglo American eyes BHP and Rio Tinto's ore assets

Anglo American wants to mop up the prized Australian iron ore assets of rivals BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto in the event that anti-trust regulators force them to make disposals before clearing a tie-up between the pair.
Source: Telegraph Business | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:01 am

Oil Near $100, Investors Target Commodities

Oil held near $100 a barrel on Thursday, close to all-time highs, boosted by a surge of investor cash into commodities that has banished for now concerns over a slowdown in top oil consumer the United States.

Source: CNBC Top News and Analysis | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

RIM Boosts Subscriber Outlook, Confirms EPS

Research In Motion boosted its fourth-quarter subscriber outlook and reconfirmed its revenue and earnings outlook Thursday, fueled by momentum from its BlackBerry smart phones.
Source: CNBC Top News and Analysis | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

Itemized Deductions You Don't Want to Miss


Source: CNBC Top News and Analysis | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

LexisNexis Owner Buys Risk Manager ChoicePoint

Reed Elsevier announced the acquisition of U.S. risk-management business ChoicePoint for $4.1 billion including debt alongside its results, as well as a renewed cost-savings drive and the planned sale of an advertising-dependent information business.
Source: CNBC Top News and Analysis | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

Societe Generale Posts Record Loss

Societe Generale confirmed a record fourth-quarter loss after absorbing the world's biggest rogue trading scandal which has made the No. 2 French bank a takeover target.
  Finding Fortune In Financials and Food 

Source: CNBC Top News and Analysis | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

Anheuser, Miller Face Caffeinated Drinks Probe

Brewers Anheuser-Busch and Miller Brewing said on Wednesday that several U.S. state Attorneys General have demanded information on how they market and sell caffeinated alcoholic drinks.
Source: CNBC Top News and Analysis | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

That '70s Look: Stagflation

Lately, many people are hearing an echo — faintly perhaps but distinctly audible — of the stagflation of the 1970s.
Source: CNBC Top News and Analysis | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

Nestle Price Increases Drive Up 2007 Profit

Nestle, the world's largest food company, brushed off fears of commodity price inflation and global slowdown to post an above forecast 15.8 percent rise in 2007 net profits sending its shares higher.
Source: CNBC Top News and Analysis | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

EU Cuts Euro Zone Growth Outlook, Sees Inflation Up

Euro zone economic growth is expected to slow to 1.8 percent this year from 2.7 percent in 2007, while inflation should stay well above the European Central Bank target, the European Commission said on Thursday.
Source: CNBC Top News and Analysis | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

Former Refco CFO Pleads Guilty to Fraud

The former chief financial officer of Refco pleaded guilty Wednesday to a $2.4 billion fraud in a criminal case stemming from the 2005 collapse of the futures and commodities broker.
Source: CNBC Top News and Analysis | 21 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

NZ stocks: Sharemarket flat despite strong Wall St

The sharemarket was flat in early trading today despite a strong performance of Wall Street stocks overnight. The benchmark NZSX-50 index was up 1.6 points to 3599 at 10.15am. Market leader Telecom regained the 2c it lost yesterday...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 20 Feb 2008 | 10:45 pm

LaSalla Says ETFs Let Investors `Bet' on Industry Group


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 20 Feb 2008 | 10:16 pm

Oil at a record again in New York

For the second day in a row, oil prices close at a record in New York amid Opec production fears.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 20 Feb 2008 | 9:57 pm

Volatility Index Falls 4.65% to Close at 24.40


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 20 Feb 2008 | 9:50 pm

Auckland Airport result hit by costs

Takeover target Auckland International Airport has reported a 3.9 per cent fall in first half net profit after tax to $47.6 million. The company said today that the fall in profit was a result of $5.8 million of costs associated...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 20 Feb 2008 | 9:45 pm

Supreme Court rules workers can sue over 401(k) losses

Workers gained a powerful weapon Wednesday by winning the right to sue employers when their retirement plans are mismanaged, raising the possibility of lawsuits over other worker-fund matters as well.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 20 Feb 2008 | 9:22 pm

Business owners displaced in Kenya

Threatened by ethnic violence that has killed more than 1,000 people, many small-business owners in Kenya have had to leave behind their livelihood. And some will not have businesses to return to. Sara Nics reports.
Source: Marketplace | 20 Feb 2008 | 8:53 pm

Fed: Keep Rates Low for Now

Federal Reserve policymakers are increasingly concerned about inflation, according to minutes released this afternoon. But stock market investors, after being spooked by signs of growing inflation earlier in the day, chose instead to focus on the Fed's assessment that risks to the economy persist even after two deep cuts in interest rates, and stocks traded higher.

With the prolonged slump in the housing market and the problems in the credit markets, the Fed now expects the economy to grow at an annual pace of between 1.3 and 2 percent this year, slower than the rate of 1.8 to 2.5 percent forecast in October.

On January 22, the Fed surprised the markets with a three-quarter-point reduction in its benchmark interest rate. A week later, at its regularly scheduled meeting, the central bank cut it by a half-point.

"With no signs of stabilization in the housing sector and with financial conditions not yet stabilized, the committee agreed that downside risks to growth would remain even after this action," minutes of the January 29–30 meeting said.

But policymakers noted that inflation data received since the previous meeting in December had been "disappointing." And some expressed concern about "stubbornly high" commodity prices.
 
The Fed minutes also indicate that the central bank is poised to change course quickly once the economic stabilizes: "Members were also mindful of the need for policy to promote price stability, and some noted that, when prospects for growth had improved, a reversal of a portion of the recent easing actions, possibly even a rapid reversal, might be appropriate."

Indeed, an inflation hawk, William Poole, the soon-to-retire president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, underscored the fears within the Fed. "The seeds of an inflation problem are sown several years in advance, and it is not always easy to see the seeds as they sprout," Poole said today in a speech at Truman State University. "In present circumstances, monetary policymakers will need to be careful to react to evidence on the state of the economy and likely outlook for employment."

Still, the market is already pricing in another quarter-point cut when Fed policymakers meet next, on March 18. Some see the rate going as low as 2.25 or even 2 percent by the end of the year.
 
Related Links
Door Wide Open for Rate Cuts
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Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 20 Feb 2008 | 8:30 pm

U.S. should define its secret technology

Commentator Robert Reich says that when it comes to technology the government doesn't know what should be sold to foreign countries and what should be kept secret.
Source: Marketplace | 20 Feb 2008 | 8:11 pm

Medicines tainting world's water

Medicine has been found in treated wastewater, which flows into rivers, lakes and oceans, harming fish and other marine life. Sarah Gardner reports on new efforts to encourage proper disposal of drugs.
Source: Marketplace | 20 Feb 2008 | 8:11 pm

Yahoo takeover bid turns to proxy fight

Microsoft is reported to be considering a proxy fight in its continuing bid to take over Yahoo. Kai Ryssdal talks to Professor James Brock about how Microsoft could force a deal by appealing directly to Yahoo's shareholders.
Source: Marketplace | 20 Feb 2008 | 8:11 pm

What's behind new cell-phone plans?

Verizon, AT&T and T-Mobile say they'll offer unlimited-use cell phone plans at around $100. Some of the plans even include text messaging and Internet access. Janet Babin reports on the flat-rate trend.
Source: Marketplace | 20 Feb 2008 | 8:11 pm

High oil price starts hitting at the pump

Today is a good day to shop around if you are filling up the tank after BP put their fuel prices up, a motorists' lobby group says. Automobile Association general manager Mike Noon said BP put their prices up last night but others...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 20 Feb 2008 | 8:00 pm

NBC wants advertisers, not upfronts

NBC has decided not to attend the annual network upfronts in New York in favor of introducing programming directly to advertisers throughout the year. Lisa Napoli reports on why NBC thinks a staggered schedule will attract more viewers.
Source: Marketplace | 20 Feb 2008 | 7:49 pm

High prices spread throughout economy

This month's inflation statistics show that, along with higher food and energy costs, consumer prices have risen all across the economy. John Dimsdale reports on why the price hikes are so widespread.
Source: Marketplace | 20 Feb 2008 | 7:49 pm

Konigsberg Says Long-Term Plan Needed for U.S. Budget


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 20 Feb 2008 | 7:37 pm

Fresh credit market turmoil

Credit markets were thrown into fresh turmoil as the cost of protecting the debt of US and European companies against default surged to all-time highs
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 20 Feb 2008 | 7:32 pm

No Amnesty From Congress For Bush Surveillance: Commentary


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 20 Feb 2008 | 7:25 pm

Deal of the Day: Five Reasons to Hold Off on Buying Blu-ray

Even though it won the high-def format wars, now's not the best time to buy into Blu-ray.


Source: SmartMoney.com | 20 Feb 2008 | 7:16 pm

One-Day Wonder: Wireless Price War Spooks Telecom Investors

Unlimited wireless calling plans spook telecom investors.


Source: SmartMoney.com | 20 Feb 2008 | 6:59 pm

Today From Barron's: Very Picky Stockpicker

With nerves of steel, Waddell & Reed fund manager Dan Becker gains an edge by chasing shunned stocks.


Source: SmartMoney.com | 20 Feb 2008 | 6:57 pm

Merkel warns Liechtenstein of 'isolation'

Angela Merkel, German chancellor, threatened Liechtenstein with isolation in Europe unless the Alpine tax haven moved to ease bank secrecy
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 20 Feb 2008 | 6:50 pm

Techsmart: Better to Buy H-P's Stock on the Next Dip

We love the stock. But after such a quick run-up we'd wait for a drop before buying.


Source: SmartMoney.com | 20 Feb 2008 | 6:30 pm

Consumer prices rise more than expected

The 0.4% increase, coupled with a slight uptick in housing construction last month, points toward a possible 'stagflation' -- an uneasy period of slow growth and high prices.

WASHINGTON -- Consumer prices climbed more than expected and across the board in January, suggesting the nation may be in for a new round of inflation, the government said this morning.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 20 Feb 2008 | 5:34 pm

Grasher Says MBIA, Ambac Driven by Mortgage `Hysteria'


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 20 Feb 2008 | 5:13 pm

Power backup options outlined as lake levels dip

A report on eletricity use released today confirms that we should be able to get through the winter unscathed, provided the lakes get a reasonable amount of rainfall during the autumn months. There were concerns hydro lake storage...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 20 Feb 2008 | 5:00 pm

Blue Chip investors left in dark over unpaid bills

Investors who bought Auckland inner-city units through companies associated with Blue Chip face having their electricity cut off because bills have gone unpaid for weeks. Electricity supplier Bosco Connect is to begin disconnections...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 20 Feb 2008 | 5:00 pm

Currency: Dollar 'will head' towards US83c

The New Zealand dollar's brief sojourn above US80c yesterday won't be the last as the kiwi hitches its wagon to the surging Australian dollar, leading currency watchers say. The kiwi rose as high as US80.22c in overseas trade early...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 20 Feb 2008 | 5:00 pm

GMAC Whack

Cerberus Capital Management, the big hedge-fund-turned-private-equity firm, looks increasingly to be circling the wagons on its two biggest bets, GMAC and Chrysler.

Today, GMAC said it would cut about 15 percent of its auto-finance workforce, or 930 jobs, and consolidate to four regional offices in the U.S. and one in Canada. As of May, GMAC had 16 offices in the U.S.

"Although it is difficult to reduce staffing levels, we need to position GMAC with a more competitive cost structure and greater operational flexibility for future growth," GMAC's president, Bill Muir, said in a statement.

The cutbacks may be a precursor to a merger of GMAC's and Chrysler's auto-financing operations. As detailed by Daniel Roth in Condé Nast Portfolio last year, a combination could increase efficiency and opportunities.

Cerberus acquired 51 percent of GMAC from General Motors for $14 billion in the fall of 2006. Earlier this month, GMAC reported a $724 million loss for the fourth quarter of 2007 and a $2.3 billion loss for the year, largely as a result of problems at its mortgage unit, Residential Capital. GMAC has said it expects to return to profitability in 2008.

Still, in a letter to investors dated January 22, Stephen Feinberg, the founder and chief executive of Cerberus, acknowledged that GMAC "is an investment about which we have significant concerns."

"If the credit markets continue to decline and we find ourselves in a prolonged environment of capital market shutdown, GMAC could run into substantial difficulty."

That, along with the challenges being faced by Chrysler, is why "if there is one buyout portfolio that Wall Street worries about most, it is Cerberus'," according to Andrew Ross Sorkin's DealBook column in the New York Times on Tuesday.


Related Links
How Cerberus's Cost Cutting Threatens the US Economy
GMAC Faces the Music
Mortgage Slump Builds; GMAC Hit


Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 20 Feb 2008 | 5:00 pm

The Economy: Post-Castro Cuba Is Ripe for Trade With U.S.

Just 90 miles away, post-Castro Cuba is ripe to become a major U.S. trade partner.


Source: SmartMoney.com | 20 Feb 2008 | 4:13 pm

The Contrarian: Hunting for Yield? Try Income-Producing Stocks

With Treasury yields so low, income-producing stocks look attractive.


Source: SmartMoney.com | 20 Feb 2008 | 4:01 pm

Analysts Calls: Hewlett Packard, Meritage Homes, Watsco


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 20 Feb 2008 | 2:42 pm

Breaking News: Fed Helps Bulls Shed Reserve

Stocks swung higher as Fed minutes deflected inflation worries. H-P led the Dow. Oil hit $101 a barrel.


Source: SmartMoney.com | 20 Feb 2008 | 2:02 pm

Inflation Rears Its Ugly Head

Signs are mounting that inflation is accelerating even as the economy slows. Anyone remember stagflation?

Led by a surge in food prices, consumer prices rose 0.4 percent in January, the Labor Department reported today. That gain was slightly above forecasts and was the biggest since June 2006.

For the last 12 months, consumer inflation has been running at a 4.3 percent pace.

Food costs climbed 0.7 percent in January.

Last week, the Labor Department reported that import prices rose 1.7 percent in January. Prices of goods imported from China, which is wrestling with its own surging inflation rate, rose 0.8 percent in January.

Today, the department said that the "core" rate of inflation, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.3 percent, following a 0.2 percent gain in December.

The problem of course is the essentials that lie outside the core: energy and food.

Crude oil prices are hovering around $100 a barrel, the highest since 1980. Today, prices retreated to $99 after rising as high as $100.10 on Tuesday.

Speculation that OPEC may cut production when it meets in two weeks, a refinery explosion in Texas, and reports that a Nigerian rebel leader had been shot dead contributed to the recent run-up in prices.

Other commodity prices are sharply higher, including those for agricultural products. The price of wheat has more than doubled since last May.

Food costs climbed 0.7 percent in January.

In his testimony before the Senate Banking Committee last week, Ben Bernanke, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, warned that growing expectations that inflation will rise may tie the Fed's hands when it comes to easing.

"Any tendency of inflation expectations to become unmoored or for the Fed's inflation-fighting credibility to be eroded could greatly complicate the task of sustaining price stability and reduce the central bank's policy flexibility to counter shortfalls in growth in the future," he said.


Also on Portfolio.com
Interactive: Crude Variations
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Door Wide Open for Rate Cuts
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Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 20 Feb 2008 | 2:00 pm

Turbulence Ahead

The boards of Delta Air Lines and Northwest Airlines are scheduled to meet today to approve a merger that would create the world's largest airline in terms of traffic.

The one hang-up, reports the Associated Press, is that negotiators for the two airlines' pilots unions have been unable to agree on how seniority for the 12,000 pilots would work under a merger.

Still, if the hurdle is overcome, that merger would certainly trigger another deal, a combination of United and Continental airlines. Then the consolidation long sought by the industry and by Wall Street may finally have arrived.

Not so fast.

The conventional wisdom holds that these deals are almost certain to be approved. The alternative for the high-cost, thin-margin industry is bleak. For some airlines, oil above $100 will book them another trip through bankruptcy.

But that may not be the view of regulators.

"Airline mergers haven't had great luck" at the Justice Department, says one antitrust lawyer in private practice. There are staff lawyers at Justice who are well versed in challenging airline mergers and there is ample precedent for rigorous review of these deals.

"Their history is that they have been concerned about a lot of these deals, and this is not an area in which they have been laissez-faire," said another antitrust lawyer in private practice.

In 2001, United Airlines abandoned a $4.3 billion takeover of US Airways based on its judgment that the deal would not make it through the antitrust review process at the Justice Department. Bush administration antitrust appointees removed themselves from review of the case because of conflicts of interest—a "bad break" according to one antitrust lawyer—and the case was handled mainly by staff lawyers.

Still, the Justice Department has given approval to smaller deals, such as a combination between America West and US Airways, whose networks barely overlap. But the proposed combinations by Delta and United "look more like" the UAL/US Airways deal, says one of these antitrust lawyers.

The Justice Department analyzes the competitive impact of airline mergers by examining "city pairs" and looking for overlaps. In the past, mergers have gotten through Justice by divesting of certain routes and gate rights. "What people have speculated, though, is that we are running out of room to do that because we are getting at a level of concentration," says one antitrust lawyer.

  Indeed, concern about concentration was a factor in the Justice Department's review of the failed UAL/US Airways deal. In a 2005 speech outlining how Justice vets airline mergers, J. Bruce McDonald, then deputy assistant attorney general in the antitrust division, said Justice opposed the deal in part because it "increased concentration in large business centers along the east coast" and "would have lessened competition in several trans-Atlantic markets."

One factor favoring consolidation is that the market has changed significantly since 2001. Low-cost carriers such as Southwest Airlines, JetBlue, and AirTran Airways account for a much larger percentage of the domestic market than they did in 2001. At the same time, an agreement between the United States and European Union that takes effect this year promises to open airports and lower airfares for travel between U.S. and European cities that were historically restricted by pacts with a single country. Historically, for instance, only PanAm and TWA could fly into London's Heathrow airport, the rights purchased by American Airlines and United.

The agreement, hailed as "historic" by the Department of Transportation, means lower barriers to entry that will give the international dimension of these deals a better chance of clearing a review by the Justice Department.

"All of the important issues are international; none of the important issues is domestic," says Hubert Horan, an airline consultant who worked on the international alliances, but has authored a paper opposing the current wave of airline mergers. "The whole objective of this is to reduce the U.S.-to-continental-Europe market to a two airline oligopoly."

Kevin P. Mitchell, chairman of the Business Travel Coalition, who spent 14 months convincing regulators to oppose the UAL/US Air deal, would not comment on the deals until they are formally announced. But he said, "I will weigh in strongly against industry consolidation. If the Delta/Northwest deal happens, the others are going to find their own dance partners and we are quickly going to go down from six major carriers to three or four."

The airlines are trying to seize the moment with the Bush administration's antitrust division, according to conventional wisdom. But antitrust lawyers say there might not be enough of a window of opportunity. "Time is running out on these things. The review of an airline deal is not a short, quick thing to do," says one lawyer in private practice.

Also on Portfolio.com:

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Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 20 Feb 2008 | 1:00 pm

Trouble in the House of K.K.R.

A publicly traded affiliate of private equity titan Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. has again delayed repayment of billions of dollars in short-term debt and has begun talks with its creditors.

The disclosure unnerved investors in Asia and Europe who saw it as a sign that the credit crunch is continuing to squeeze even institutions that have already received a lifeline. In September, Henry Kravis and other K.K.R. partners bailed out the affiliate with $270 million.

The Nikkei index in Tokyo fell more than 3.3 percent.

"The mood was generally bad already, and then this came out. It really dented confidence," Hiroaki Osakabe, fund manager at Chibagin Asset Management in Japan, told the BBC.

KKR Financial Holdings has delayed its repayments from February to half on March 3 and the rest on March 13.

K.K.R. owns 12 percent of KKR Financial, an investment vehicle that sells short-term commercial paper to buy mortgages. Last summer, the affiliate sold nearly half its loans as it struggled with what it called "unprecedented disruptions" in the residential-mortgage market.

The Financial Times' Alphaville blog notes that last summer, KKR Financial had more than $5 billion of mortgages. "Since then that seems to have mutated into a $7.6 billion portfolio of corporate debt," the blog says.

Is it really possible that the affiliate moved from mortgages to corporate loan obligations? From the frying pan, to the fire?

The disclosure by KKR Financial "shows there is still a lot of levered investments in the credit market that we can't see," Felix Freund of Union Investment in Frankfurt told Bloomberg News.



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Deals: A Difference a Year Makes
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Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 20 Feb 2008 | 12:30 pm