Yahoo! and News Corp explore tie-up

News Corporation is in talks with Yahoo! over plans to merge their online assets in a move to fend off Microsoft’s $45 billion ($£23 billion) hostile takeover offer for the online search engine.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 14 Feb 2008 | 9:50 pm

Ingersoll net jumps on Bobcat gain

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Diversified manufacturer Ingersoll-Rand Co. Ltd. reported a sharply higher quarterly profit on Thursday that reflected a large gain on the sale of its Bobcat machinery division.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:47 pm

Oil prices extend rise above $93 a barrel

Read full story for latest details.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:46 pm

U.S. stock futures lean higher before Bernanke testimony

U.S. stock futures leaned higher on Thursday ahead of testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, with markets awaiting for the Fed chief’s assessment of the economy and whether a surprising rise in retail sales was an aberration or a signal of data to come.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:44 pm

Thursday's biggest gaining and declining stocks

Among the companies whose shares are expected to see active trade in Thursday's session are Agilent, Arbitron, Avis Budget, Bally Technologies, Bear Stearns, Comcast, Ingram Micro, Nvidia, and Yahoo..


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:41 pm

Euro zone sees fourth-quarter slowdown

Economic growth slowed sharply across Germany, France and much of the rest of the euro zone in the final three months of 2007, with gross domestic product expanding at half the rate seen in the previous three months of the year.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:37 pm

Comcast woos investors with profit, buyback plan


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:36 pm

Stocks in Europe rise amid wave of earnings

Stocks in Europe advanced on Thursday, supported by a string of mostly well-received results from leading French companies including Capgemini, Havas and Groupe Danone.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:36 pm

Banks to ask government to take bad loan risk: report (Reuters)

Reuters - The banking industry is proposing to members of the U.S. Congress and the White House that some of the risk of troubled mortgages should be shifted to the federal government, according to a report in the Wall Street Journal on Thursday.
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:31 pm

Banks to ask government to take bad loan risk: report

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The banking industry is proposing to members of the U.S. Congress and the White House that some of the risk of troubled mortgages should be shifted to the federal government, according to a report in the Wall Street Journal on Thursday.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:31 pm

Updates, advisories and surprises

A roundup of the latest corporate earnings reports and what companies are saying about future quarters.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:31 pm

Daimler reports healthy profits

A strong performance from Mercedes-Benz helps Daimler to report a net profit of 4bn euros for 2007.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:29 pm

Futures flat ahead of Bernanke testimony

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Stock index futures were little changed on Thursday, pausing after a three-day rally, with traders wary of placing bets before Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's testimony on the outlook for the economy.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:29 pm

Yang tries to reassure Yahoo shareholders

In a letter to Yahoo shareholders, CEO Jerry Yang tries to make the case for keeping the company out of Microsoft's grasp, Michal Lev-Ram reports.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:24 pm

Stocks await Bernanke, Paulson

U.S. stock futures pointed to a flat start Thursday as investors waited for Senate testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:20 pm

Rising risk appetite spells weakness for dollar and Japan's yen

LONDON (MarketWatch) -- Stronger-than-expected Japanese economic data enhanced traders' appetite for risk, putting pressure Thursday on Japan's yen and the U.S. dollar, analysts said.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:19 pm

Air France flies above industry storm clouds

Air France-KLM flew a record 57.7 million passengers in the first nine months of the year showing few signs of the economic gloom that has hit demand for flights at rival carriers.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:17 pm

7 tips for job hunting in a tougher market

With the U.S. economy apparently getting ready to take one of its cyclical snoozes, employers are more hesitant to take on new hires than they were even just three or four months ago - and the recent uptick in unemployment means more competition for each opening. That doesn't mean you need to give up on the idea of looking for a new job. In fact, if your company is going through a merger or seems likely to announce layoffs, your best bet may be to start your job search right away.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:16 pm

Comcast posts higher profit

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Comcast Corp said on Thursday that it would pay an annual dividend and set a 2009 target to complete a stock buyback program, two actions aimed at addressing investor demands to boost its share price.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:16 pm

UBS posts 1st-ever annual loss, in for rough '08


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:13 pm

Homebuilders catch fire

The hard-charging homebuilding stocks are making believers of some investors.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:11 pm

Softbank unlikely to derail Microsoft-Yahoo bid (Reuters)

Reuters - Japanese Internet firm Softbank Corp, under pressure from both sides in Microsoft Corp's bid for Yahoo Inc, may hold out for more leverage but is unlikely to derail the bid.
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:11 pm

Softbank unlikely to derail Microsoft-Yahoo bid

TOKYO (Reuters) - Japanese Internet firm Softbank Corp, under pressure from both sides in Microsoft Corp's bid for Yahoo Inc, may hold out for more leverage but is unlikely to derail the bid.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:11 pm

Comcast posts higher profit (Reuters)

Reuters - Comcast Corp said on Thursday that it would pay an annual dividend and set a 2009 target to complete a stock buyback program, two actions aimed at addressing investor demands to boost its share price.
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:10 pm

Third aid loan for struggling IKB

The German government agrees to a 1.5bn euros rescue package for struggling bank IKB.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:09 pm

UBS reveals new U.S. loans exposure (Reuters)

Reuters - Swiss bank UBS has revealed $26.6 billion in exposure to risky U.S. mortgages distinct from subprime loans, increasing its vulnerability to the global credit crisis and sending its shares sharply lower.
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:09 pm

UBS reveals new U.S. loans exposure

ZURICH (Reuters) - Swiss bank UBS has revealed $26.6 billion in exposure to risky U.S. mortgages distinct from subprime loans, increasing its vulnerability to the global credit crisis and sending its shares sharply lower.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:08 pm

Deals: A Difference a Year Makes

Today is Valentine's Day, but it is also the 61st birthday of Stephen Schwarzman, co-founder of the Blackstone Group, one of the biggest and most successful private equity firms in the world.

Why is that worth noting?

A year and a day ago, hundreds of the best and brightest in finance, politics, and the arts gathered on a cold, wet night inside the Seventh Regiment Armory on Park Avenue in Manhattan to celebrate. Guests ate lobster and baked Alaska, Rod Stewart entertained, and Patti LaBelle sang "Happy Birthday."

It was that $3 million birthday party—given by himself—that soon became a symbol of private equity's new power and its self-indulgence. Schwarzman soon became, as James Stewart in a profile in the New Yorker put it, "the designated villain of an era on Wall Street."

Much has changed since that night. Washington lawmakers called for changes in the way that private equity is taxed, although nothing has come of that. Deals got bigger—and then they seemed to evaporate completely amid a credit crunch that dried up financing. By year-end, some deals had collapsed. In June, Blackstone went public at $31 a share to much hooplah. Today, its stock price is down 43 percent.

So perhaps it is not surprising that, according to the New York Post, "Schwarzman plans to celebrate his 61st birthday with a low-key evening at home with his family and a few friends."

Haven't sent a card with your birthday greetings yet? Send one from Portfolio.com.


Related Links
Blackstone: The First of Many Private Equity IPOs
Masters of the Masters
Wall Street's Next Crisis


Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:00 pm

Coffee's Class War

"As I sit down to write this note (6:30 Sunday morning)," begins a recent missive to employees from Howard Schultz, Starbucks' newly reinstated chief executive. "I am enjoying a spectacular cup of sumatra, brewed my favorite way—in a French press."

The president of Dunkin' Donuts, Will Kussell, is, in contrast, an original blend kind of guy. His morning standard is Dunkin Donuts' classic brew, with milk. And at 8:30 A.M. on a rainy  Wednesday, he's standing cup in hand in a small midtown Manhattan Dunkin' Donuts, blending in with the steady flow of commuters stopping by for the their morning fix.

"We are mainstream America," says Kussell, leaning forward in a molded plastic chair.  "Mainstream is an attitude. It's people who are unpretentious, down to earth, they have a work ethic, and they want to get things done."

Kussell and Schultz are the two faces of a battle that is being wage for the $50 billion coffee  market.

The competition—between Dunkin' and Starbucks, as well as with chains like McDonalad's—is heating up just as the economy is slowing down. And that could very well tilt the advantage to Dunkin' Donuts.

Michael J. Silverstein, senior partner with the Boston Consulting Group and author of Treasure Hunt and Trading Up, divides the coffee market in three segments: Starbucks loyalists, fuel users, and switchers: people who make coffee buying decisions based on their current financial situation.  

"The whole battle is over switchers, who buy Starbucks when they feel they have money and just seek fuel when money is tight," Silverstein says.

According to a survey run last month by market research group BIGresearch, a whopping 50 percent of consumers report that they have found themselves focusing more in the last 6 months on what they "need" rather than what they "want."

Dunkin' Donuts' no-frills approach plays well to that sense of need.  "No-nonsense" is a recurring theme in how Kussell describes "Dunkin' Tribe Members," the company's moniker for its core consumer base.

"Really it's an attitude. Hard working people, busy people with busy lives," Kussell continues. "We're about people who get things done."

Harry Balzer, vice president of the NPD Group and national expert on food trends, sees such "fuel seeking" behavior as becoming more and more prominent as people increasingly value speed and convenience when making food decisions.

"There is a structural change in how we're feeding ourselves at breakfast—we're pressed for time," Balzer says.  

Dunkin has become a more aggressive national competitor, introducing espresso beverages in 2003. Since then, it has been fueled by a $2.4 billion buyout of Dunkin Brands in 2006 by a consortium of Bain Capital, Thomas H. Lee Partners, and Carlyle.

The franchiser as been  expanding beyond its longtime core in Northeast and now has more than 5,700 stores in the United States, with plans for three times that figure by 2020.  Dunkin is taking advantage of its cash infusion from its new owners not only to expand the number of stores, but to push franchisees to refurbish existing locations, and continue to innovate  the menu. On Wednesday, it introduced a  line of new oven-warmed snacks aimed at increasing afternoon traffic.

In 2007, Dunkin's revenue was $5.27 billion, and the chain had become the No. 1 U.S. seller of regular coffee, iced coffee, donuts, bagels, and muffins, and the number two in breakfast sandwiches.

As breakfast food becomes a factor in driving traffic, McDonald's has become another major player by relaunching a premium brewed coffee offering. The quick service giant will launch espresso beverages starting this spring, complete with in-store coffee bar and drive-thru ordering capability.

Surprisingly, while consumers pledge that they are interested in cutting costs, neither Silverstein nor Balzer believe that pricing on coffee drinks is anywhere near as big a factor as speed and convenience.

McDonald's espresso-based offerings are priced from $1.99 to $3.29. Pricing for Starbucks and Dunkin Donuts varies by region and franchise, but Kussell says Dunkin is "about 10 to 20 percent cheaper" than its competitor - which in Manhattan falls in the $3 to $4 range for lattes of varying sizes.

If tomorrow's America will be a nation of fuel-seekers, where does that leave Starbucks?

With its stock price having been cut almost in half from this time last year, Schulz has pledged a major turnaround for the brand.
 
Judging by Schulz's first weeks back in office, Starbucks will choose to focus on retaining "Starbucks loyalists" rather than catering to the masses with a speed-oriented approach.

Where Dunkin' and McDonald's are looking to increase convenience, Starbucks has slowed new store growth and is emphasizing their historical success with the trademark "Starbucks experience."  That means investing in improving employee training, maintaining their stores' premium feel, and offering free WiFi to customers. Where others are pushing hard on hot breakfast, Starbucks is discontinuing heated foods because they  "interfere with the coffee aroma." Given Schulz's gripes last year about Starbucks' shift to automatic espresso machines, a return to those theatrical manual machines might make a reappearance. 

As for who will be emerge victorious in the battle for the coffee dollar, Silverstein thinks it's too early to project a winner. 

"A win or loss in same store sales is driven by 1 percent of consumers," Silverstein says. "But right now, I think that 1 percent is up for grabs."


 
Related Links
The Not-So-Affluent Society
Innovations in Coffee
Coffee Fuels McDonald's


Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:00 pm

Capgemini holds takeover talks with India's Reliance Communications

Capgemini, the French IT services group, has held early-stage talks with Reliance Communications, of India, that could result in the first acquisition of a significant Western IT house by one of India's fast-growing competitors.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 14 Feb 2008 | 11:53 am

China promises $1 billion in snow aid (AP)

AP - China will spend more than $1.25 billion to rebuild wrecked houses, restore farms and help the poor pay for food and heat in areas where snowstorms killed at least 107 people, the government said Thursday.
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 11:51 am

Cereal prices hit poor countries

Poor countries will pay 35% more for cereals this year, causing "major global concern", the UN says.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 14 Feb 2008 | 11:43 am

Advertising gives Diageo a boost

Successful marketing campaigns helped drinks giant Diageo to report a small rise in profits for the last six months of 2007.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 14 Feb 2008 | 11:42 am

Hope Now: When loan workouts don't work out

More troubled mortgage borrowers than ever are now being granted loan relief - but many will still wind up losing their homes.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 14 Feb 2008 | 11:38 am

News Corp 'in secret Yahoo talks'

Rupert Murdoch's News Corporation is in talks with Yahoo about a possible deal, according to a press report.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 14 Feb 2008 | 11:33 am

Citic and Bear Stearns renegotiating tie-up

Bear Stearns and Citic Securities, China's largest securities firm, are renegotiating the share swap agreement they reached last year to reflect a subsequent fall in their stock prices
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 14 Feb 2008 | 11:32 am

Blue chips that can ride out a recession

Really bad stock markets knock down shares of all kinds. That's essentially what has been happening since the start of 2008, as subprime fallout led to recession anxiety. But not every market sector faces the same problems and uncertainties.


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 14 Feb 2008 | 11:25 am

Super drugs for 'superbugs'

Smaller biotechnology companies are ready to take the lead away from big pharma in developing antibiotics that can take on a new generation of deadly "superbugs."


Source: Business and financial news - CNNMoney.com | 14 Feb 2008 | 11:01 am

Thomas Cook buys travel website hotels4U

Thomas Cook has snapped up hotel bookings website hotels4U.com for £21.8m, in a bid the up its game within the ever-competitive online travel market
Source: Telegraph Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 10:45 am

Rally on Wall St seen to continue

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - Stock index futures rose on Thursday, indicating the rally on Wall Street may continue for a fourth consecutive day as investors focused on fresh jobs data and kept a...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 10:44 am

Stylo announces agreement to buy Dolcis

Stylo, the footwear retailer, announced today that it had agreed with the administrators of Dolcis to purchase the stricken shoe chain’s trading stock and brand name.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 14 Feb 2008 | 10:38 am

India unveils 'people's phone' for £10

India has already built the world's cheapest car — the £1,200 Tata Nano — now the country has delivered the telecoms equivalent: the £10 "people's phone".
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 14 Feb 2008 | 10:29 am

Writedown clouds Commerzbank

Commerzbank reports a record profit in 2007 despite 774m euros of writedowns linked to the sub-prime mortgage crisis.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 14 Feb 2008 | 10:20 am

Softbank unlikely to derail Microsoft-Yahoo bid

TOKYO (Reuters) - Japanese Internet firm Softbank Corp , under pressure from both sides in Microsoft Corp's bid for Yahoo Inc , may hold out for more leverage but is unlikely to derail the
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 10:19 am

Daimler, Renault report rising margins as recovery continues

LONDON (MarketWatch) -- Daimler AG and Renault SA on Thursday reported improving operating margins as Europe's leading automakers continue on the recovery path in a tough sales environment.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 14 Feb 2008 | 10:19 am

Prosecutors raid Deutsche Post chief's offices

Klaus Zumwinkel, chief executive of Deutsche Post and one of Germany's highest-profile businessmen, is being investigated by prosecutors and his offices have been searched, the company confirmed on Thursday....
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 10:01 am

Tokyo fires up Asian markets on strong GDP data

Japanese stocks rallied Thursday to lead Asian markets higher, with machinery maker such as Komatsu and exporters such as Canon Inc. pacing gains on the country's surprisingly robust economic growth and a continued advance on Wall Street.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 14 Feb 2008 | 9:58 am

Vodka maker Diageo shines in modestly higher U.K. market

Shares in alcoholic drinks maker Diageo put in solid gains on Thursday morning in London, as investors welcomed improving margins on the back of stronger Scotch whisky sales.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 14 Feb 2008 | 9:53 am

Earnings lift European equities

A results-laden Europe rose on Thursday as financial services groups Zurich and Swedbank both beat market expectations with their latest earnings. The FTSE Eurofirst 300 rose 0.7 per cent to 1,343.09,...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 9:48 am

Oil rises near $94, investors eye U.S. crude stocks

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil climbed towards $94 a barrel on Thursday, supported by a smaller-than-expected rise in U.S. crude stocks as imports slowed and refiners revved up.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 14 Feb 2008 | 9:47 am

Oil rises near $94, investors eye U.S. crude stocks

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil climbed towards $94 a barrel on Thursday, supported by a smaller-than-expected rise in U.S. crude stocks as imports slowed and refiners revved up.
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 9:47 am

Swiss bank UBS reports huge loss for 2007 after subprime debacle

Swiss banking giant UBS said on Thursday it had suffered a net loss of 4.4 billion Swiss francs (4.0 billion dollars, 2.7 billion euros) in 2007 after losing billions in the US mortgage...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 9:44 am

UBS faces difficult 2008 after $13.7 bln write-down and '07 loss

LSwiss banking giant UBS on Thursday said it still has significant exposure to the troubled U.S. mortgage market, raising fears of further write-downs, as it confirmed a $13.7 billion charge had sent its bottom line plunging into the red.


Source: MarketWatch.com - Top Stories | 14 Feb 2008 | 9:43 am

Daimler posts 5.3-percent rise in 2007 profit

The German luxury car maker Daimler posted on Thursday a 2007 net profit of 4.0 billion euros (5.8 billion euros), up by 5.3 percent from the figure one year earlier. The...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 9:41 am

IKB jumps on news of €1.5bn bail-out

The German government is to lead a €1.5bn bail-out of IKB in a third attempt to save the small-business lender, after the finance minister said the potential fallout from its insolvency would be "incalculable"
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 14 Feb 2008 | 9:22 am

IKB jumps on news of 1.5bn bail-out

Shares in IKB jumped on Thursday after the German government said it would lead a 1.5bn ($2.18bn) bail-out in a third attempt to save the small-business lender, as the finance minister said the potential...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 9:22 am

Market comment: economies are like super-tankers - they need time and space to turn

Overnight the Nikkei has advanced some 500 points after Japanese growth (far from edging towards recession as was feared) came in at double economists' estimates, at 3.7pc, annualised in the fourth quarter.
Source: Telegraph Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 9:20 am

Thomas Cook buys online travel group

Thomas Cook has bolstered its independent travel operation by acquiring Hotels4U.com, the UK's largest independent bed bank which sells exclusively over the internet. The acquisition is the first since...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 9:11 am

SFO in High Court over dropped BAE investigation

The decision by the Serious Fraud Office (SFO) to drop its investigation into possible corruption in BAE Systems’ arms dealing with Saudi Arabia is being challenged in the High Court today.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 14 Feb 2008 | 9:10 am

Diageo proves resilient as sales rise

Continued good demand for Diageo's premium spirits brands in North America and a return to growth in the UK from Guinness helped the drinks group on Thursday to report a 5.3 per cent increase in pre-tax...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 9:10 am

Britons' renewed taste for Guinness boosts Diageo

Diageo, the world’s largest alcoholic drinks maker, reported pre-tax profits up 5.3 per cent for the first six months of the year as UK drinkers returned to Guinness and Americans consumed more spirits.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:57 am

Thomas Cook buys web firm

Thomas Cook buys hotels website Hotels4U.com, as it says it cut losses in the Christmas run-up.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:55 am

Auto case has minimal impact on China firms: officials

SHANGHAI (Reuters) - China faces its first defeat at the World Trade Organisation over a dispute on its import tariffs for car parts, but industry officials say the impact on domestic parts
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:49 am

German lender IKB estimates losses at one billion euros

Troubled German business lender IKB has estimated its latest losses at around 1.0 billion euros (1.45 billion dollars), which should be covered by an aid package from the government, the...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:48 am

Germany in $2.2bn effort to save IKB

The German government is to lead a 1.5bn ($2.18bn) bail-out of IKB in a third attempt to save the small-business lender, after the finance minister said the potential fallout from its insolvency would...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:48 am

Asian stocks rise as economic fears ease

Asian shares rose on Thursday with the Nikkei showing its biggest one-day rise since March 2002 as investors digested data from Japan showing faster than expected economic growth and a surprise increase...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:46 am

FTSE higher as miners rally

A strong overnight session on Wall Street launched London's equity market higher on Thursday, as Asian indices all made strong gains. In opening trade, the FTSE 100 was up 55.6 points, or 1 per cent,...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:37 am

UBS posts $13.7bn sub-prime write-down

UBS has reported the biggest ever fourth quarter loss by a bank after it made a $13.7bn (£7bn) write-down on positions related to the US sub-prime mortgage market.
Source: Telegraph Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:30 am

Price worries slow German growth

The German economy slowed in the final three months of 2007 after price rises led shoppers to cut spending
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:29 am

UBS confirms sub-prime loss woes

Swiss bank UBS confirms a $4bn loss for 2007, after it was hit by exposure to US sub-prime home loans.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:23 am

MANNING GETS GIANT GATORADE AD BOOST

Madison Avenue is cashing in on New York Giants quarterback and Super Bowl MVP Eli Manning. Gatorade is airing a new spot highlighting how Manning held up under pressure during his team's stunning upset...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:06 am

RIGGING STOCK MARKETS IS EVEN OK ABROAD

IF you still don't believe me that the US government has an organization called the Plunge Protection Team that intervenes in the stock market, consider this: * A former Federal Reserve official proposed...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNPaperBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:06 am

Banks to ask U.S. govt to take bad loan risk: report

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The banking industry is proposing to members of the U.S. Congress and the White House that some of the risk of troubled mortgages should be shifted to the federal
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:02 am

Talks on horizon for actors

With the writers strike ended and Hollywood finally returning to work, pressure is mounting on the Screen Actors Guild from prominent members, and indirectly from the studios, to begin early negotiations for a new contract to avert another costly walkout.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

Southern California home sales drop to a 20-year low

Only 9,983 houses and condominiums were sold in the six-county region last month, a data-tracking firm says.

Low interest rates, falling prices and promises of government relief were not enough to slow the pace of Southern California's housing downturn, which hit a new bottom last month.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

Heat is on health insurers

Elected leaders in New York and Los Angeles initiate campaigns to curb and punish abuses.

With medical costs rising, record numbers of people losing their coverage and healthcare at the top of the domestic agenda, health insurers found themselves Wednesday in the cross-hairs of regulators, elected officials and law enforcement in California and across the nation.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

Romance and work are 'blend-ins' here

How do Paula and Jim Sheftel run a business together and stay married? They play to their strengths.

Paula Armour was working at her frozen yogurt shop in 1987 when a man dressed in a Hawaiian shirt and shorts walked in, ordered a blueberry smoothie and left.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

Coca-Cola earnings jump 79%

Coca-Cola Co. on Wednesday reported a 79% jump in fourth-quarter profit and maintained its growth targets despite a slowing U.S. economy.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

Murdoch pursues shrewd Yahoo

The Web firm is sizing up suitors but is hoping Microsoft will sweeten its offer, analysts say.

Could Rupert Murdoch be Yahoo Inc.'s white knight?


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

Dreaming big for Latino firms in L.A.

Ruben Guerra, head of the Latin Business Assn., wants to expand and add programs to boost the group's profile and effectiveness.

Ask for his business card and you're likely to get a handful from Ruben Guerra, chairman of the Latin Business Assn. in Los Angeles.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

No tax return? No rebate check

About 20 million Social Security recipients and other Americans who aren't required to file tax returns will need to do just that if they want to get rebate checks under the economic stimulus package signed into law Wednesday.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

NBC's Silverman sells production company

A Murdoch daughter buys Reveille, which had raised conflict-of-interest questions.

NBC Entertainment co-Chairman Ben Silverman on Wednesday sold his television production company to London-based Shine Ltd., owned by media baron Rupert Murdoch's daughter Elisabeth, for $125 million.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

Studios hope to launch franchises this weekend

If 'Spiderwick' and 'Jumper' get box-office love this weekend they could spawn offspring.

It starts today with Valentine's Day and runs through Presidents Day, but what Hollywood executives hope to celebrate on this long holiday weekend is something closer to their hearts than Cupid or Lincoln: the movie franchise.


Source: L.A. Times - Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 8:00 am

NY regulator: Bond insurers may be split up

NEW YORK/WASHINGTON (Reuters) -New York insurance regulator Eric Dinallo, who is heading up efforts to rescue bond insurers, is set to testify that he will consider allowing the companies...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 7:56 am

Morgan Stanley to cut 1,000 jobs

About 1,000 jobs will go at Morgan Stanley as the US bank cuts back its home lending business.
Source: BBC News | Business | World Edition | 14 Feb 2008 | 7:51 am

Air France-KLM to invest in Delta-Northwest: report

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Air France-KLM Group , Europe's biggest airline, plans to invest in a combined Delta Air Lines Inc and Northwest Airlines Corp carrier in exchange for a board seat, Bloomberg said on its Website on Wednesday.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 14 Feb 2008 | 7:50 am

Oil Steadies at $93 After Slight Rise

Oil prices were steady Thursday after rising moderately in the previous session, supported by Wall Street's overnight rise and threats to U.S. oil supplies. Wall Street rallied...
Source: Infocious RSS raw feed - channel BNewsBusiness | 14 Feb 2008 | 7:47 am

UBS warns of a difficult 2008 as profits dive

UBS, Europe's largest bank, confirmed its first loss in a decade today as it fell SwFr 4.4 billion (£2 billion) into the red and wrote off $13.7 billion ($£7 billion) on investments related to US sub-prime mortgages.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 14 Feb 2008 | 7:42 am

UBS predicts 'another difficult year'

Europe's biggest casualty of the meltdown in US subprime securities confirmed that losses in fixed income trading had heavily outweighed another successful year in private banking
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 14 Feb 2008 | 7:27 am

Paulson says U.S. economy should dodge recession (Reuters)

Reuters - The United States is experiencing a "significant" housing market downturn but the economy is fundamentally sound and should avoid recession, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson will tell Congress on Thursday.
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 6:07 am

Paulson says U.S. economy should dodge recession

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The United States is experiencing a "significant" housing market downturn but the economy is fundamentally sound and should avoid recession, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson will tell Congress on Thursday.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 14 Feb 2008 | 6:06 am

Bond insurer woes could become market tsunami: Spitzer

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The bond insurer problem must be fixed, or else it could become a "financial tsunami" that wreaks havoc on the broader economy, New York Governor Eliot Spitzer is due to tell the U.S. Congress on Thursday.


Source: Reuters: Business News | 14 Feb 2008 | 5:39 am

Australia's jobless rate drops to 33-year low

CANBERRA - The unemployment rate dropped to a fresh 33-year low of 4.1 per cent in January, fuelling speculation of another interest rate hike. The unemployment rate fell to a seasonally-adjusted 4.1 per cent in January compared...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 3:10 am

MGIC falls to record $1.47bn loss

MGIC, one of the largest US mortgage insurers, suffered its largest quarterly loss in the fourth-quarter as the numbers of homeowners unable to keep up with payments on mortgages soared
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 14 Feb 2008 | 2:11 am

Debt crisis spreads to US municipalities

A collapse in confidence in a $330bn corner of the debt market has left US municipalities and student loan providers facing spiralling interest rate costs
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 14 Feb 2008 | 1:42 am

Cheese and butter lead the way as food rises

Butter and cheddar cheese prices jumped 14.7 per cent in January. The price rises for both dairy products were a key factor in pushing the food price index up 0.4 per cent last month, Statistics New Zealand (SNZ) said today. The...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 1:35 am

Lion Nathan revises profit guidance

Transtasman brewer Lion Nathan Ltd has revised its guidance for net profit for the 2008 financial year to between A$265m-A$275m. In November last year, Lion Nathan forecast a net operating profit in a range of A$270 million to...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 1:30 am

Blue Chip suspended from Australian sharemarket

The Australian listed entity Blue Chip Financial Solutions Ltd is to be suspended indefinitely from the ASX, at the request of the company. The company's shares had been in a trading halt since about midday yesterday. Today's...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 1:30 am

Singapore to be top investor in TPG fund

Government Investment Corp of Singapore, a sovereign wealth fund, is expected to be the lead investor in a $6bn fund that TPG, the private equity firm, is raising to invest in troubled financial firms
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 14 Feb 2008 | 1:05 am

McCain considers public financing

John McCain would accept public financing in the general election were his Democratic opponent to do so, his campaign said, raising the prospect that the most expensive election in US history might conclude in a taxpayer-funded finale
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 14 Feb 2008 | 1:03 am

Insurer Finds Niches It Can Own And Grows Through Acquisitions

Growth at AmTrust Financial Services is often just an acquisition away.

Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:47 am

Trends & Innovations - Wednesday

ID fraud declines, tactics go retro

Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:47 am

In Brief - Wednesday

Total (TOT), the French oil giant, said Q4 net profit rose 61% to $5.23 bil, topping forecast. It rose 1.7% to 72.46.

Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:47 am

After The Close - Wednesday

NAVIGATORS (NAVG), a marine insurer, said its Q4 EPS rose 25% to $1.51 ex items, 11 cents over views. Sales rose 21% to $183 mil. It fell.

Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:47 am

Business Briefs - Wednesday

Agrium beats, gives bullish outlook

Source: Investor's Business Daily: BUSINESS | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:47 am

Steel & Tube profit hit by price volatility

Steel & Tube saw profit slide 42 per cent for the first half, worse than a previously forecast decline of up to a quarter, despite a 7 per cent rise in revenue. Net profit fell to $8.6 million for the six months ended December...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:45 am

News Corp joins Yahoo battle

Rupert Murdoch's News Corp has jumped into the fight for control of Yahoo, reviving discussions with the internet company about a possible combination that would thwart Microsoft and its $40.69bn takeover offer
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:18 am

Diageo rises on strong spirit sales

Diageo, the maker of Guinness and Smirnoff vodka, sought to distance itself from a slowdown in the consumer sector today after reporting a 9pc rise in operating profits in the six months to the end of December.
Source: Telegraph Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:05 am

Buy-to-let just 'a rich man's game'

Buy-to-let property investment is becoming "a rich man's game" with little space for the amateur speculator, the head of Britain's largest provider of second-home mortgages said yesterday.
Source: Telegraph Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:01 am

Fraudulent broker gets 15 months

A fake stockbroker who caused clients to lose more than £350,000 has been sentenced to 15 months in prison following a prosecution brought by the Financial Services Authority.
Source: Telegraph Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:01 am

M&S washes its dirty undies on eBay

This was always likely to happen. Following our story yesterday about Marks & Spencer desperately distributing 800,000 discount vouchers offering 20pc off clothing, food and homeware, here comes another sale.
Source: Telegraph Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:01 am

Year's delay urged for non-doms levy

Pressure is growing for a one-year delay to Alistair Darling's proposals to tax non-domiciles after a watering down of the complex policy failed to convince foreign residents to stay.
Source: Telegraph Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:01 am

British Energy profits hit by shutdowns

Britain's biggest power producer, British Energy, saw third-quarter pre-tax profits fall £101m to £192m on the back of nuclear reactor shutdowns and lower electricity prices.
Source: Telegraph Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:01 am

Modern investors turn into sun worshippers

The need for renewable energy sources is driving a move into high-quality stocks in the clean-tech sector.
Source: Telegraph Business | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:01 am

Ferrari roars ahead with a full order book

Piero Ferrari inherited the distinctive eyes of his late father, Enzo, but at least Piero radiates a sense of inner calm and happiness. Enzo was never seen without his sunglasses after the untimely death of his first son, Alfredo, also known as Dino, in 1956. Devastated, he famously wrote in his diary - using his trademark purple ink - “the match is lost”. On a personal level, Enzo Ferrari endured much tragedy, but the company that bears his name is going from strength to strength.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

British Energy ponders £5.5 billion break-up

British Energy, the UK’s biggest electricity generator, is considering a £5.5 billion break-up plan that would involve creating a new company focused on building the next generation of nuclear power plants, <i>The Times </i>has learnt.
Source: Latest Business News from Times Online | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

Comcast Fourth-Quarter Profit Jumps 54 Percent

Comcast said on Thursday that it would pay an annual dividend and set a 2009 target to complete a stock buyback program, two actions aimed at addressing investor demands to boost its share price.

Source: CNBC Top News and Analysis | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

Daimler's Profit Misses, Forecasts Higher Growth

Daimler forecast higher unit sales and underlying operating profit in 2008, sending its shares higher despite fourth-quarter earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) that missed market expectations.
Source: CNBC Top News and Analysis | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

No Hearing for Dendreon on Alleged Conflict of Interest

Potentially stock moving news on Dendreon, with CNBC's Mike Huckman
Source: CNBC Top News and Analysis | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

UBS, Hit by Mortgage Risk, Sees Hard Year Ahead

Swiss bank UBS has revealed $26.6 billion in exposure to risky U.S. mortgages distinct from subprime loans, increasing its vulnerability to the global credit crisis and sending its shares sharply lower.
  Take a Long-Term View on Banks

Source: CNBC Top News and Analysis | 14 Feb 2008 | 12:00 am

Asset sale lifts Northport half-year

Listed Northland Port Corporation has announced an improved profit of $8.827 million for the half year to December. The result compared with a surplus of $7.474 million for the same period in 2006. The main contributor was a...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 13 Feb 2008 | 11:30 pm

NZ stocks : Market rises early, even as Rakon hit

High technology manufacturer Rakon took a hit when the sharemarket opened today after lowering its forecast for the year to March. Rakon shares were down 33c shortly after the market opened to 279, its lowest price since July 2006. As...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 13 Feb 2008 | 11:00 pm

Treasurys fall on strong retail sales (AP)

AP - Treasury prices fell Wednesday after a new retail sales report showed an unexpected increase in consumer spending for January after the dismal holiday season.
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 13 Feb 2008 | 10:46 pm

Volatility Index Falls 5.51% to Close at 24.88


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 13 Feb 2008 | 9:50 pm

Property trust boosts credit limit

Listed property investor ING Property Trust has secured a $200m extension to its current banking facility. The trust now has a limit of $600m with ANZ National Bank. The move would provide the trust with enough flexibility to...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 13 Feb 2008 | 9:30 pm

Kiwi web company finds offshore partner

A local multi-media company has attracted investment interest from advertising and marketing leader Omnicom Group. Privately owned Shift had been winning international "Webby" awards for some years but Omnicom would take it to...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 13 Feb 2008 | 9:00 pm

Vector hails Vodafone fibre network deal, but profit down

Auckland lines company Vector today reported an 18 per cent fall in its December half year net profit to $90.7 million. The company also announced an extension of its tie-up with Vodafone that will use another 300km of Vector's...
Source: New Zealand Herald - Business | 13 Feb 2008 | 9:00 pm

Deal of the Day: 8 Ways to Save on Engagement Rings

How to hunt down and haggle for an engagement ring without spending a fortune.


Source: SmartMoney.com | 13 Feb 2008 | 8:42 pm

Morgan Stanley cuts 1,000 mortgage jobs (Reuters)

A vacant house for sale is pictured at the Green Valley Ranch neighborhood in Denver, Colorado July 26, 2007. (Rick Wilking/Reuters)Reuters - Morgan Stanley will slash 1,000 jobs, scale back its U.S. home-lending business and shut down a British mortgage unit as new management takes a hard look at the continued deterioration in mortgage markets.



Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 13 Feb 2008 | 8:29 pm

Baseball star denies drug use to Congress

Roger Clemens, the superstar baseball pitcher, told a congressional committee under oath that he never used performance-enhancing drugs
Source: FT.com - US homepage | 13 Feb 2008 | 8:02 pm

One-Day Wonder: Playboy Swings to a Quarterly Loss

Playboy's quarterly loss attracted the ire of investors on Wednesday.


Source: SmartMoney.com | 13 Feb 2008 | 7:41 pm

The Invisible Hand: Buffett's Bond-Rescue Plan Raises Eyebrows

Bond insurers are in a dangerous spot: between the Oracle of Omaha and a profit.


Source: SmartMoney.com | 13 Feb 2008 | 7:19 pm

Stock Screen: Clothing Chain Popular With Teens, Investors

A clothing chain is proving popular with teenagers and investors alike.


Source: SmartMoney.com | 13 Feb 2008 | 6:54 pm

New York Takes Aim at Health Insurers

A shakeup in managed health care may not have to wait for whomever occupies the White House next year.

Just as his predecessor forced changes on Wall Street, Andrew Cuomo, the New York State attorney general, has begun a very ambitious investigation that could change the way health insurance does business. Cuomo says that his office is examining a "scheme by health insurers to defraud consumers by manipulating reimbursement rates."

At issue is how the insurers compute "reasonable and customary" rates to health-care providers that are outside the insurer's network. Cuomo contends that providers are not realistically reimbursed and that patients are then forced to pay the difference.

Cuomo is focusing on Ingenix, a unit of UnitedHealth Group, which operates a database that most major health insurers use to set reimbursement rates.

"When insurers like United create convoluted and dishonest systems for determining the rate of reimbursement, real people get stuck with excessive bills and are less likely to seek the care they need," Cuomo said in a statement.

His office is threatening to sue UnitedHealth. It has also sent 16 subpoenas to insurers, including Aetna and Cigna.

How rates and costs are determined and how they are disclosed are at the heart of the frustrations patients and physicians have with health insurance.

"In an era of increasing health-care transparency, it is shocking and unacceptable for a health insurer to profit from deliberately withholding information from patients and physicians," Dr. Nancy Nielsen, president-elect of the American Medical Association, said about the New York investigation.

The UnitedHealth unit Ingenix is the largest provider of health-care billing information in the country. It had revenue of more than $1.7 billion last year, a 46 percent increase from 2006.

UnitedHealth says it is cooperating with the investigation.


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Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 13 Feb 2008 | 6:30 pm

Ratings Companies Downgrade Munis Hastily: Commentary


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 13 Feb 2008 | 6:26 pm

Goldman of Asteri Says Credit Crisis Is `Only Beginning'


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 13 Feb 2008 | 6:18 pm

Venezuela: No Oil for You!

Venezuela's president, Hugo Chavez, has threatened to cut off oil shipments to the United States, and his oil minister has accused Exxon Mobil of "legal terrorism," but for the moment, Venezuela is limiting its fire to halting sales of crude to the oil company.

Venezuela is cutting off Exxon after the company won a temporary injunction in a British court to freeze some $12 billion in assets of Venezuela's state oil company. Exxon is challenging a move by Venezuela last summer to take over its majority stake in an oil-development project in the prized Orinoco Belt, south of Caracas.

The Venezuelan oil company said it "has paralyzed sales of crude to Exxon Mobil" and suspended all commercial relations with the company.

But Venezuela's move is expected to have little impact on Exxon.

The fourth-largest supplier of oil to the United States, Venezuela exported 41 million barrels in November, according to U.S. government data, but Exxon bought only 2.6 million barrels of that.

Fadel Gheit, an analyst with Oppenheimer & Co., told MarketWatch that Exxon will not have any trouble finding replacement crude.

"Hugo Chavez is sorely mistaken," Gheit said. "Exxon buys oil in 35 different varieties—more flavors than Baskin Robbins."

The Christian Science Monitor says that the legal victory by Exxon is prompting oil- and gas-producing nations to reconsider whether to push economic nationalism and renegotiate contracts with energy companies.

"It may embolden other companies to do the same thing," Miguel Tinker-Salas, a Latin American oil and politics expert at Pomona College in Claremont, California, told the paper.

But the battle isn't over yet. Venezuela's fellow member nations in OPEC could support it in its fight against Exxon. "We don't think Venezuela should be treated this way and we are going to look at this," Libya's top oil official, Shokri Ghanem, told Dow Jones. OPEC next meets on March 4, and Ghanem said the legal dispute would likely be discussed.


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Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 13 Feb 2008 | 5:30 pm

The Contrarian: 10 Strategies Investors Need to Use Now

Don't be swayed by the market's mood swings. Here's a plan investors should stick with.


Source: SmartMoney.com | 13 Feb 2008 | 5:13 pm

SmartMoney Magazine: Green Mutual Funds Ride Wave of Popularity


Source: SmartMoney.com | 13 Feb 2008 | 4:56 pm

FTSE hit by bank sector worries (FT.com)

FT.com - London stocks ended lower on Wednesday as Bradford & Bingley kicked off the bank reporting season in worrying fashion.
Source: Yahoo! News: Business | 13 Feb 2008 | 4:50 pm

Bulls Find a Voice

With all of the talk of recession speculation, declining consumer confidence, mounting credit worries, and a slumping housing market, it's good to know there are still a few glass-half-full types out there. And in recent days, they've found plenty of traction for their optimism.

Investors jumped at the news this morning from the Commerce Department that January retail sales rose 0.3 percent. It may sound like a minor increase, but economists had everyone bracing for a drop in sales of 0.3 percent. January's rosy numbers were driven by increased spending on cars, clothes, and gasoline.

The translation is that it's not over until the consumer stays home. "As the consumer goes, so goes the economy," said Joel Naroff, chief economist at Naroff Economic Advisors told the Associated Press. "It appears the consumer may have slowed down, but not left the field of battle."

While that burst of optimism may last for just the short term, others remain bullish even farther out on the horizon.

In a report published yesterday, Morningstar analyst Jeffrey Ptak predicted that the Dow Jones industrial average will rise to 18,500 in the next three years—more than 6,000 points from where it trades today, or about 17 percent annualized returns including dividends.

Morningstar's analysis doesn't include any macroeconomic factors—no consideration of interest rates, trade deficits, currency weakness, or credit turmoil. It's based entirely on what its analysts have determined is the "fair value estimate" of each of the 30 Dow components. The changes made to the index earlier this week only bolster his analysis.

The Financial Times, meanwhile, informally polled corner-office suites in some of America's biggest corporations and concluded that C.E.O.'s aren't letting the economic Debbie Downers slow them down. "When it comes to the health of the world’s largest economy, it appears that economists are from Mars and businesspeople are from Venus," its reporters write.

Large multinational corporations like General Electric, Kraft, and Procter & Gamble remain optimistic on the global front, even if the U.S. economy experiences a slowdown.

Even many small-business owners remain bullish. "Recession, schmecession. That’s what most small-business owners appear to be saying about the economic storm clouds," Michael Alter, president of payroll company SurePayroll, told the F.T. "Our data indicate that the news of the demise of the economy has been greatly exaggerated."

And as if that's not enough to sway even the most bearish analysts out there, there's always the Sports Illustrated swimsuit-issue indicator.

The number crunchers over at Bespoke Investment Group tried hard to find a connection between the nationality of the issue's cover model and the direction of the stock market, and they managed to reach an optimistic conclusion.

The S&P 500 index averaged a gain of 13.9 percent in the years that an American donned the cover, which happened again this year. When international models were picked, the index gained only 7.2 percent on average.

Of course, if S.I.'s editors really want to see the bulls come roaring back, perhaps next year they should start scouring Germany. A German graced the cover of the swimsuit issue only once, in 1998, when the S&P soared 26.7 percent.

 

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Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 13 Feb 2008 | 4:00 pm

Analysts Calls: GM, Masco, Blue Nile, Brown-Forman


Source: Bloomberg - All Podcasts | 13 Feb 2008 | 2:54 pm

Breaking News: Rally Rolls for Third Day

Stocks climbed again, leaving the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 370 points since Friday's close.


Source: SmartMoney.com | 13 Feb 2008 | 2:10 pm

A Pilot for UBS' Foundering Ship

Getting to pilot the Titanic on its next voyage is not an enviable task.

UBS has named a chief executive for its investment bank, which has been a massive deadweight around the neck of the Swiss banking giant. Battered by losses on investments tied to the American subprime mortgage market, UBS has said it expects to write down $14 billion when it reports fourth-quarter results on Thursday. In the third quarter, it took a $3.6 billion write-down.

The previous head of the investment bank, Huw Jenkins, stepped down in October and UBS has cut some 7 percent of the investment bank's workforce.

Indeed, as the Wall Street Journal notes, "UBS had a hard time finding candidates for the investment-banking job in part because of the unit's uncertain future."

The new chief is Jerker Johansson, a longtime executive at Morgan Stanley, who apparently fell out of favor when Zoe Cruz was ousted.

Mike Verdin on Breakingviews.com says Johansson should add momentum to UBS' efforts to overhaul the investment bank. "But Johansson can't solve all UBS' problems on his own," he says.

UBS's flaw was "its bureaucratic risk system, which allowed a huge subprime position to slip under the radar."

Johansson, who made more than $20 million at Morgan Stanley in 2006, starts next month and will be based in London.


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Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 13 Feb 2008 | 1:30 pm

A White Knight for Yahoo?

Can Rupert Murdoch ride in as Yahoo's white knight?

Peter Kafka in Silicon Alley Insider says that Yahoo and Murdoch's News Corp. have been discussing some sort of a deal, short of an acquisition, to "create an alternative" to a unwelcome takeover by Microsoft.

Michael Arrington on TechCrunch has confirmed that there are talks.

The idea under discussion, he says, is a deal that would put Fox Interactive Media, which includes MySpace into Yahoo, along with a cash investment by News Corp. and a private equity fund.

The result would be a stronger Yahoo, with a value of $50 billion, above Microsoft's initial offer of $44.6 billion. News Corp. would get a stake of more than 20 percent in the new Yahoo.

News Corp. would be "effectively in control of the combined Yahoo/Fox Interactive Media entity and their nearly 150 billion monthly page views (which would be second only to Google)," TechCrunch says.

The companies have discussed variations of such a deal several times over the last 18 months, Jessica Vascellaro of the Wall Street Journal reports.  "But discussions have previously fallen apart amid disagreements over MySpace's valuation, which affects the size of the stake News Corp. would get in Yahoo," she says.
 
Another big hurdle, according to TechCrunch, is that with an alliance with News Corp, Yahoo would still need to outsource search marketing to Google to make a deal financially viable.

And Google's enthusiasm for such an alliance has waned in recent days, reports Kevin Delaney of the Wall Street Journal, because of the likely opposition from regulators.

See Portfolio.com's full coverage of the Microsoft-Yahoo merger.

 

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Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 13 Feb 2008 | 12:30 pm

Writers End 100-Day War

The Hollywood shutdown that began on November 5 when screen and TV writers walked off the job is now officially over.

As Fred Schruers reported on the Hollywood Deal blog, at 7:03 p.m. Los Angeles time, the Writers Guild of America, West, and the Writers Guild of America, East announced that their members had voted overwhelmingly to end the strike. The union said that 3,775 writers cast ballots, with 92.5 percent voting to go back to work.

Later this month, the writers will vote on whether to ratify a new contract that gives them part of the revenue generated when their work is on the Web.

"This was not a strike we wanted, but one we had to conduct in order to win jurisdiction and establish appropriate residuals for writing in new media and on the internet," said Patric Verrone, president of the Writers Guild of America, West. "Those advances now give us a foothold in the digital age."

In the Los Angeles Times, Steven Beer, an entertainment attorney at Greenberg Traurig, predicted that writers may find fewer opportunities as studios use the strike as a means to reduce programming budgets and cut the number of pilots.

"Writers got hard-fought and well-earned improvements, but it could be tougher sledding for the rank and file in the future," he said.

The strike wreaked havoc in Hollywood, shutting down production on television shows, putting off film production, and obscuring the Golden Globe Awards.

A report from the Anderson School of Management at the University of California, Los Angeles, estimated that a five-month strike would have cost about $380 million in economic losses, according to the New York Times.


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Source: Portfolio.com: Top 5 | 13 Feb 2008 | 12:00 pm